NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Papers on Labor Studies

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2018
w24321 Daron Acemoglu
Pascual Restrepo

Modeling Automation
w24324 Ran Abramitzky
Roy Mill
Santiago Pérez

Linking Individuals Across Historical Sources: a Fully Automated Approach
w24329 Emily Breza
Cynthia Kinnan

Measuring the Equilibrium Impacts of Credit: Evidence from the Indian Microfinance Crisis
w24332 Michael Geruso
Heather Royer

The Impact of Education on Family Formation: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the UK
w24333 Katharine G. Abraham
Melissa S. Kearney

Explaining the Decline in the U.S. Employment-to-Population Ratio: A Review of the Evidence
w24337 Ioana Marinescu
No Strings Attached: The Behavioral Effects of U.S. Unconditional Cash Transfer Programs
w24339 Joshua S. Graff Zivin
Elizabeth Lyons

Can Innovators be Created? Experimental Evidence from an Innovation Contest
w24343 Alan Benson
Danielle Li
Kelly Shue

Promotions and the Peter Principle
w24315 Elira Kuka
Na'ama Shenhav
Kevin Shih

Do Human Capital Decisions Respond to the Returns to Education? Evidence from DACA
w24313 Achyuta Adhvaryu
Namrata Kala
Anant Nyshadham

The Skills to Pay the Bills: Returns to On-the-job Soft Skills Training
w24296 Gordon B. Dahl
Anne C. Gielen

Intergenerational Spillovers in Disability Insurance
w24300 Susan Payne Carter
Abigail Wozniak

Making Big Changes: The Impact of Moves on Marriage among U.S. Army Personnel
w24303 Susan W. Parker
Tom Vogl

Do Conditional Cash Transfers Improve Economic Outcomes in the Next Generation? Evidence from Mexico
w24307 Efraim Benmelech
Nittai Bergman
Hyunseob Kim

Strong Employers and Weak Employees: How Does Employer Concentration Affect Wages?
w24312 Damon Jones
Ioana Marinescu

The Labor Market Impacts of Universal and Permanent Cash Transfers: Evidence from the Alaska Permanent Fund
w24274 Guido Matias Cortes
Nir Jaimovich
Henry E. Siu

The "End of Men" and Rise of Women in the High-Skilled Labor Market
w24278 Gharad T. Bryan
James J. Choi
Dean Karlan

Randomizing Religion: The Impact of Protestant Evangelism on Economic Outcomes
w24285 David A. Jaeger
Joakim Ruist
Jan Stuhler

Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration
w24247 Hoyt Bleakley
Longevity, Education, and Income: How Large is the Triangle?
w24248 Adriana D. Kugler
Ingrid Rojas

Do CCTs Improve Employment and Earnings in the Very Long-Term? Evidence from Mexico
w24249 Nicholas Bloom
Aprajit Mahajan
David McKenzie
John Roberts

Do Management Interventions Last? Evidence from India
w24259 James Feigenbaum
Alexander Hertel-Fernandez
Vanessa Williamson

From the Bargaining Table to the Ballot Box: Political Effects of Right to Work Laws
w24215 Daniel S. Hamermesh
Why Are Professors "Poorly Paid"?
w24217 Marta Lachowska
Alexandre Mas
Stephen A. Woodbury

Sources of Displaced Workers' Long-Term Earnings Losses
w24219 Henrik Kleven
Camille Landais
Jakob Egholt Søgaard

Children and Gender Inequality: Evidence from Denmark
w24220 Lance Lochner
Youngmin Park
Youngki Shin

Wage Dynamics and Returns to Unobserved Skill
w24225 Titus J. Galama
Adriana Lleras-Muney
Hans van Kippersluis

The Effect of Education on Health and Mortality: A Review of Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Evidence.
w24227 Manudeep Bhuller
Gordon B. Dahl
Katrine V. Løken
Magne Mogstad

Intergenerational Effects of Incarceration
w24229 Damon Jones
David Molitor
Julian Reif

What Do Workplace Wellness Programs Do? Evidence from the Illinois Workplace Wellness Study
w24231 Melvin Stephens
Jr.
Desmond J. Toohey

The Impact of Health on Labor Market Outcomes: Experimental Evidence from MRFIT
w24238 Roland G. Fryer
Jr

Reconciling Results on Racial Differences in Police Shootings
w24236 Ryan A. Decker
John C. Haltiwanger
Ron S. Jarmin
Javier Miranda

Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
w24196 Daron Acemoglu
Pascual Restrepo

Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work
w24198 Hans K. Hvide
Paul Oyer

Dinner Table Human Capital and Entrepreneurship
w24201 Francesco Decarolis
Leonardo M. Giuffrida
Elisabetta Iossa
Vincenzo Mollisi
Giancarlo Spagnolo

Bureaucratic Competence and Procurement Outcomes
w24202 Bocar Ba
Jeffrey Grogger

The Introduction of Tasers and Police Use of Force: Evidence from the Chicago Police Department
w24203 C. Kirabo Jackson
Cora Wigger
Heyu Xiong

Do School Spending Cuts Matter? Evidence from the Great Recession
w24181 Rebecca Diamond
Timothy McQuade
Franklin Qian

The Effects of Rent Control Expansion on Tenants, Landlords, and Inequality: Evidence from San Francisco
w24186 Will Dobbie
Hans Grönqvist
Susan Niknami
Mårten Palme
Mikael Priks

The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration
w24189 Tatyana Avilova
Claudia Goldin

What Can UWE Do for Economics?
w24191 Michael Gilraine
Hugh Macartney
Robert McMillan

Education Reform in General Equilibrium: Evidence from California's Class Size Reduction
2017
w24159 Michael D. Frakes
Melissa F. Wasserman

Knowledge Spillovers and Learning in the Workplace: Evidence from the U.S. Patent Office
w24160 Jared Ashworth
V. Joseph Hotz
Arnaud Maurel
Tyler Ransom

Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences
w24161 John Gathergood
Neale Mahoney
Neil Stewart
Joerg Weber

How Do Individuals Repay Their Debt? The Balance-Matching Heuristic
w24165 Anna M. Stansbury
Lawrence H. Summers

Productivity and Pay: Is the link broken?
w24166 Job Boerma
Loukas Karabarbounis

Inferring Inequality with Home Production
w24169 John A. List
Fatemeh Momeni

When Corporate Social Responsibility Backfires: Theory and Evidence from a Natural Field Experiment
w24172 Atila Abdulkadiroglu
Joshua D. Angrist
Yusuke Narita
Parag A. Pathak

Impact Evaluation in Matching Markets with General Tie-Breaking
w24173 V. Joseph Hotz
Per Johansson
Arizo Karimi

Parenthood, Family Friendly Firms, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers
w24174 Anton Korinek
Joseph E. Stiglitz

Artificial Intelligence and Its Implications for Income Distribution and Unemployment
w24151 Robert Z. Lawrence
Recent Manufacturing Employment Growth: The Exception That Proves the Rule.
w24136 Sören Blomquist
Whitney Newey

The Bunching Estimator Cannot Identify the Taxable Income Elasticity
w24140 Matthew Davis
Fernando V. Ferreira

Housing Disease and Public School Finances
w24141 Charles R. Hulten
The Importance of Education and Skill Development for Economic Growth in the Information Era
w24147 José Azar
Ioana Marinescu
Marshall I. Steinbaum

Labor Market Concentration
w24150 William N. Evans
Melissa S. Kearney
Brendan C. Perry
James X. Sullivan

Increasing Community College Completion Rates among Low-Income Students: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluation of a Case Management Intervention
w24114 David Neumark
Peter Shirley

The Long-Run Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit on Women's Earnings
w24119 Daron Acemoglu
Pascual Restrepo

Low-Skill and High-Skill Automation
w24117 Pierre Nguimkeu
Augustine Denteh
Rusty Tchernis

On the Estimation of Treatment Effects with Endogenous Misreporting
w24127 Maria D. Fitzpatrick
Timothy J. Moore

The Mortality Effects of Retirement: Evidence from Social Security Eligibility at Age 62
w24128 Jaegeum Lim
Jonathan Meer

Persistent Effects of Teacher-Student Gender Matches
w24097 Sari Pekkala Kerr
William R. Kerr
Tina Xu

Personality Traits of Entrepreneurs: A Review of Recent Literature
w24107 Janna E. Johnson
Morris M. Kleiner

Is Occupational Licensing a Barrier to Interstate Migration?
w24110 Philippe Aghion
Ufuk Akcigit
Ari Hyytinen
Otto Toivanen

The Social Origins of Inventors
w24109 Lea Cassar
Stephan Meier

Intentions for Doing Good Matter for Doing Well: The (Negative) Signaling Value of Prosocial Incentives
w24062 Alexander M. Bell
Raj Chetty
Xavier Jaravel
Neviana Petkova
John Van Reenen

Who Becomes an Inventor in America? The Importance of Exposure to Innovation
w24069 Audra Bowlus
Eda Bozkurt
Lance Lochner
Chris Robinson

Wages and Employment: The Canonical Model Revisited
w24067 Brian Duncan
Jeffrey Grogger
Ana Sofia Leon
Stephen J. Trejo

New Evidence of Generational Progress for Mexican Americans
w24074 Katarína Borovičková
Robert Shimer

High Wage Workers Work for High Wage Firms
w24077 Aaron B. Flaaen
Matthew D. Shapiro
Isaac Sorkin

Reconsidering the Consequences of Worker Displacements: Firm versus Worker Perspective
w24079 Ralph Stinebrickner
Todd R. Stinebrickner
Paul J. Sullivan

Job Tasks, Time Allocation, and Wages
w24080 Brian J. Asquith
Sanjana Goswami
David Neumark
Antonio Rodriguez-Lopez

U.S. Job Flows and the China Shock
w24081 John (Jianqiu) Bai
Daniel Carvalho
Gordon M. Phillips

The Impact of Bank Credit on Labor Reallocation and Aggregate Industry Productivity
w24087 David G. Blanchflower
Andrew Oswald

Unhappiness and Pain in Modern America: A Review Essay, and Further Evidence, on Carol Graham's Happiness for All?
w24049 Philippe Aghion
Ufuk Akcigit
Matthieu Lequien
Stefanie Stantcheva

Tax Simplicity and Heterogeneous Learning
w24058 Paige Ouimet
Geoffrey Tate

Learning from Coworkers: Peer Effects on Individual Investment Decisions
w24061 Javier Cano-Urbina
Lance Lochner

The Effect of Education and School Quality on Female Crime
w24060 Benjamin M. Marx
Lesley J. Turner

Student Loan Nudges: Experimental Evidence on Borrowing and Educational Attainment
w24035 Amitabh Chandra
Douglas O. Staiger

Identifying Sources of Inefficiency in Health Care
w24042 Itzik Fadlon
Torben Heien Nielsen

Family Health Behaviors
w24003 Alberto Abadie
Susan Athey
Guido W. Imbens
Jeffrey Wooldridge

When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?
w24006 Richard Blundell
Luigi Pistaferri
Itay Saporta-Eksten

Children, Time Allocation and Consumption Insurance
w24008 John Ameriks
Joseph S. Briggs
Andrew Caplin
Minjoon Lee
Matthew D. Shapiro
Christopher Tonetti

Older Americans Would Work Longer If Jobs Were Flexible
w24012 Juan Saavedra
Dario Maldonado
Lucrecia Santibanez
Luis Omar Herrera Prada

Premium or Penalty? Labor Market Returns to Novice Public Sector Teachers
w24017 Parag A. Pathak
Peng Shi

How Well Do Structural Demand Models Work? Counterfactual Predictions in School Choice
w24019 Martha Bailey
Connor Cole
Morgan Henderson
Catherine Massey

How Well Do Automated Methods Perform in Historical Samples? Evidence from New Ground Truth
w23996 Stefano DellaVigna
Matthew Gentzkow

Uniform Pricing in US Retail Chains
w24000 Robert A. Pollak
How Bargaining in Marriage drives Marriage Market Equilibrium
w23976 Emmanuel Saez
Benjamin Schoefer
David Seim

Payroll Taxes, Firm Behavior, and Rent Sharing: Evidence from a Young Workers' Tax Cut in Sweden
w23971 Martha J. Bailey
Olga Malkova
Zoë M. McLaren

Does Parents' Access to Family Planning Increase Children's Opportunities? Evidence from the War on Poverty and the Early Years of Title X
w23959 Brian J. Asquith
Judith K. Hellerstein
Mark J. Kutzbach
David Neumark

Social Capital and Labor Market Networks
w23947 Brian K. Kovak
Lindsay Oldenski
Nicholas Sly

The Labor Market Effects of Offshoring by U.S. Multinational Firms: Evidence from Changes in Global Tax Policies
w23953 Anusha Chari
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Gender Representation in Economics Across Topics and Time: Evidence from the NBER Summer Institute
w23954 Jonathan Chapman
Mark Dean
Pietro Ortoleva
Erik Snowberg
Colin Camerer

Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept are Probably Less Correlated Than You Think
w23957 Karthik Muralidharan
Paul Niehaus

Experimentation at Scale
w23922 Mark J. Chin
Thomas J. Kane
Whitney Kozakowski
Beth E. Schueler
Douglas O. Staiger

School District Reform in Newark: Within- and Between-School Changes in Achievement Growth
w23925 Jonathan M.V. Davis
Jonathan Guryan
Kelly Hallberg
Jens Ludwig

The Economics of Scale-Up
w23934 Davide Cantoni
Jeremiah Dittmar
Noam Yuchtman

Religious Competition and Reallocation: The Political Economy of Secularization in the Protestant Reformation
w23935 Gaetano Basso
Giovanni Peri
Ahmed Rahman

Computerization and Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the United States
w23938 Isaac Sorkin
Ranking Firms Using Revealed Preference
w23902 Anna Maria Mayda
Francesc Ortega
Giovanni Peri
Kevin Shih
Chad Sparber

The Effect of the H-1B Quota on Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born Labor
w23905 Nathaniel Hilger
All Together Now: Leveraging Firms to Increase Worker Productivity Growth
w23906 Alexandre Mas
Amanda Pallais

Labor Supply and the Value of Non-Work Time: Experimental Estimates from the Field
w23907 Raymond Fisman
Keith Gladstone
Ilyana Kuziemko
Suresh Naidu

Do Americans Want to Tax Capital? Evidence from Online Surveys
w23908 Fiona Burlig
Christopher Knittel
David Rapson
Mar Reguant
Catherine Wolfram

Machine Learning from Schools about Energy Efficiency
w23912 Atila Abdulkadiroglu
Parag A. Pathak
Jonathan Schellenberg
Christopher R. Walters

Do Parents Value School Effectiveness?
w23914 David H. Autor
Christopher J. Palmer
Parag A. Pathak

Gentrification and the Amenity Value of Crime Reductions: Evidence from Rent Deregulation
w23867 Abhijit Banerjee
Sylvain Chassang
Sergio Montero
Erik Snowberg

A Theory of Experimenters
w23869 Murillo Campello
Janet Gao
Jiaping Qiu
Yue Zhang

Bankruptcy and the Cost of Organized Labor: Evidence from Union Elections
w23877 Aline Bütikofer
Giovanni Peri

The Effects of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills on Migration Decisions
w23884 Randall Wright
Philipp Kircher
Benoit Julîen
Veronica Guerrieri

Directed Search: A Guided Tour
w23885 Jongkwan Lee
Giovanni Peri
Vasil Yasenov

The Employment Effects of Mexican Repatriations: Evidence from the 1930's
w23891 Joshua D. Angrist
Sydnee Caldwell
Jonathan V. Hall

Uber vs. Taxi: A Driver's Eye View
w23844 Danny Yagan
Employment Hysteresis from the Great Recession
w23851 Daniel Kreisman
Kevin Stange

Vocational and Career Tech Education in American High Schools: The Value of Depth Over Breadth
w23860 Jeffrey T. Denning
Benjamin M. Marx
Lesley J. Turner

ProPelled: The Effects of Grants on Graduation, Earnings, and Welfare
w23862 Johanna Catherine Maclean
Keshar M. Ghimire
Lauren Hersch Nicholas

The Effect of State Medical Marijuana Laws on Social Security Disability Insurance and Workers' Compensation Claiming
w23807 Nava Ashraf
Edward Glaeser
Abraham Holland
Bryce Millett Steinberg

Water, Health and Wealth
w23811 Ashley C. Craig
Roland G. Fryer
Jr

Complementary Bias: A Model of Two-Sided Statistical Discrimination
w23816 Francine D. Blau
Lawrence M. Kahn
Peter Brummund
Jason Cook
Miriam Larson-Koester

Is There Still Son Preference in the United States?
w23838 Karthik Muralidharan
Paul Niehaus
Sandip Sukhtankar

General Equilibrium Effects of (Improving) Public Employment Programs: Experimental Evidence from India
w23817 Pablo Kurlat
Florian Scheuer

Signaling to Experts
w23824 Gadi Barlevy
Derek Neal

Allocating Effort and Talent in Professional Labor Markets
w23826 Isaiah Andrews
Emily Oster

Weighting for External Validity
w23769 David Card
A. Abigail Payne

High School Choices and the Gender Gap in STEM
w23785 Francesco D’Acunto
Marcel Prokopczuk
Michael Weber

Historical Antisemitism, Ethnic Specialization, and Financial Development
w23792 Roland G. Fryer
Jr
Meghan Howard Noveck

High-Dosage Tutoring and Reading Achievement: Evidence from New York City
w23793 Anna Raute
Can Financial Incentives Reduce the Baby Gap? Evidence from a Reform in Maternity Leave Benefits
w23744 Maya Escueta
Vincent Quan
Andre Joshua Nickow
Philip Oreopoulos

Education Technology: An Evidence-Based Review
w23749 Felipe A. Dunsch
David K. Evans
Ezinne Eze-Ajoku
Mario Macis

Management, Supervision, and Health Care: A Field Experiment
w23756 Parag Mahajan
Dean Yang

Taken by Storm: Hurricanes, Migrant Networks, and U.S. Immigration
w23731 R. Jason Faberman
Andreas I. Mueller
Ayşegül Şahin
Giorgio Topa

Job Search Behavior among the Employed and Non-Employed
w23733 Randall Akee
Maggie R. Jones
Sonya R. Porter

Race Matters: Income Shares, Income Inequality, and Income Mobility for All U.S. Races
w23735 Adriana D. Kugler
Catherine H. Tinsley
Olga Ukhaneva

Choice of Majors: Are Women Really Different from Men?
w23736 David J. Deming
Christopher R. Walters

The Impact of Price Caps and Spending Cuts on U.S. Postsecondary Attainment
w23738 Christopher R. Dobronyi
Philip Oreopoulos
Uros Petronijevic

Goal Setting, Academic Reminders, and College Success: A Large-Scale Field Experiment
w23693 John Haltiwanger
Henry Hyatt
Erika McEntarfer

Who Moves Up the Job Ladder?
w23694 Greg Kaplan
Kurt Mitman
Giovanni L. Violante

The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence
w23696 Jonathan B. Berk
Jules H. van Binsbergen

Regulation of Charlatans in High-Skill Professions
w23698 Joshua Angrist
Pierre Azoulay
Glenn Ellison
Ryan Hill
Susan Feng Lu

Inside Job or Deep Impact? Using Extramural Citations to Assess Economic Scholarship
w23703 Catherine J. Weinberger
Engineering Educational Opportunity: Impacts of 1970s and 1980s Policies to Increase the Share of Black College Graduates with Major in Engineering or Computer Science
w23709 Naci H. Mocan
Han Yu

Can Superstition Create a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? School Outcomes of Dragon Children of China
w23717 Daniel Aaronson
Rajeev Dehejia
Andrew Jordan
Cristian Pop-Eleches
Cyrus Samii
Karl Schulze

The Effect of Fertility on Mothers' Labor Supply over the Last Two Centuries
w23724 David G. Blanchflower
Andrew Oswald

Do Humans Suffer a Psychological Low in Midlife? Two Approaches (With and Without Controls) in Seven Data Sets.
w23641 Christian Belzil
Arnaud Maurel
Modibo Sidibé

Estimating the Value of Higher Education Financial Aid: Evidence from a Field Experiment
w23644 Francine D. Blau
Anne E. Winkler

Women, Work, and Family
w23655 Bruce D. Meyer
James X. Sullivan

Consumption and Income Inequality in the U.S. Since the 1960s
w23656 John R. Logan
Andrew Foster
Jun Ke
Fan Li

The Uptick in Income Segregation: Real Trend or Random Sampling Variance
w23660 Elizabeth Dhuey
David Figlio
Krzysztof Karbownik
Jeffrey Roth

School Starting Age and Cognitive Development
w23661 David N. Figlio
Umut Özek

Unwelcome Guests? The Effects of Refugees on the Educational Outcomes of Incumbent Students
w23667 Grace Lordan
David Neumark

People Versus Machines: The Impact of Minimum Wages on Automatable Jobs
w23669 Robert M. Sauer
Christopher R. Taber

Indirect Inference with Importance Sampling: An Application to Women's Wage Growth
w23625 Victor Stango
Joanne Yoong
Jonathan Zinman

Quicksand or Bedrock for Behavioral Economics? Assessing Foundational Empirical Questions
w23607 Mark Duggan
Gopi Shah Goda
Emilie Jackson

The Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage and Labor Market Outcomes
w23608 Michael Bailey
Ruiqing (Rachel) Cao
Theresa Kuchler
Johannes Stroebel
Arlene Wong

Measuring Social Connectedness
w23609 Peter Ganong
Daniel W. Shoag

Why Has Regional Income Convergence in the U.S. Declined?
w23611 David Neumark
Bogdan Savych

The Effects of Provider Choice Policies on Workers' Compensation Costs
w23613 Duha T. Altindag
Elif S. Filiz
Erdal Tekin

Does It Matter How and How Much Politicians are Paid?
w23618 Raj Chetty
John N. Friedman
Emmanuel Saez
Nicholas Turner
Danny Yagan

Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility
w23619 Hugh Macartney
John D. Singleton

School Boards and Student Segregation
w23596 Alex Edmans
Xavier Gabaix
Dirk Jenter

Executive Compensation: A Survey of Theory and Evidence
w23568 Magne Mogstad
Andres Santos
Alexander Torgovitsky

Using Instrumental Variables for Inference about Policy Relevant Treatment Effects
w23573 Ozkan Eren
Naci Mocan

Juvenile Punishment, High School Graduation and Adult Crime: Evidence from Idiosyncratic Judge Harshness
w23574 Dan A. Black
Yu-Chieh Hsu
Seth G. Sanders
Lynne Steuerle Schofield
Lowell J. Taylor

The Methuselah Effect: The Pernicious Impact of Unreported Deaths on Old Age Mortality Estimates
w23575 Rodney J. Andrews
Scott A. Imberman
Michael F. Lovenheim

Risky Business? The Effect of Majoring in Business on Earnings and Educational Attainment
w23578 Tom Krebs
Pravin Krishna
William F. Maloney

Income Mobility, Income Risk and Welfare
w23582 Jonas Hjort
Jonas Poulsen

The Arrival of Fast Internet and Employment in Africa
w23584 David Neumark
The Employment Effects of Minimum Wages: Some Questions We Need to Answer
w23595 Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Brian K. Kovak

Margins of Labor Market Adjustment to Trade
w23552 Mark Aguiar
Mark Bils
Kerwin Kofi Charles
Erik Hurst

Leisure Luxuries and the Labor Supply of Young Men
w23564 Victor Chernozhukov
Denis Chetverikov
Mert Demirer
Esther Duflo
Christian Hansen
Whitney Newey
James Robins

Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Structural Parameters
w23534 Andrés F. Barrientos
Alexander Bolton
Tom Balmat
Jerome P. Reiter
John M. de Figueiredo
Ashwin Machanavajjhala
Yan Chen
Charles Kneifel
Mark DeLong

A Framework for Sharing Confidential Research Data, Applied to Investigating Differential Pay by Race in the U. S. Government
w23539 Richard V. Burkhauser
Nicolas Hérault
Stephen P. Jenkins
Roger Wilkins

Survey Under-Coverage of Top Incomes and Estimation of Inequality: What is the Role of the UK's SPI Adjustment?
w23543 John G. Fernald
Robert E. Hall
James H. Stock
Mark W. Watson

The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009
w23544 Michael L. Anderson
Jeremy Magruder

Split-Sample Strategies for Avoiding False Discoveries
w23545 Will Dobbie
Jae Song

Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers
w23546 Nittai K. Bergman
Rajkamal Iyer
Richard T. Thakor

The Effect of Cash Injections: Evidence from the 1980s Farm Debt Crisis
w23548 Edward P. Lazear
Why Are Some Immigrant Groups More Successful than Others?
w23516 Brantly Callaway
William J. Collins

Unions, Workers, and Wages at the Peak of the American Labor Movement
w23520 C. Justin Cook
Jason M. Fletcher

High School Genetic Diversity and Later-life Student Outcomes: Micro-level Evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study
w23523 George Akerlof
Pascal Michaillat

Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief
w23524 Alan I. Barreca
Matthew Neidell
Nicholas J. Sanders

Long-Run Pollution Exposure and Adult Mortality: Evidence from the Acid Rain Program
w23525 Shulamit Kahn
Donna Ginther

Women and STEM
w23528 Jesse Rothstein
Robert G. Valletta

Scraping By: Income and Program Participation After the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits
w23529 Jennifer Hunt
How Restricted is the Job Mobility of Skilled Temporary Work Visa Holders?
w23532 Ekaterina Jardim
Mark C. Long
Robert Plotnick
Emma van Inwegen
Jacob Vigdor
Hilary Wething

Minimum Wage Increases, Wages, and Low-Wage Employment: Evidence from Seattle
w23484 Erling Barth
James C. Davis
Richard B. Freeman
Andrew J. Wang

The Effects of Scientists and Engineers on Productivity and Earnings at the Establishment Where They Work
w23485 John Haltiwanger
Henry Hyatt
Lisa B. Kahn
Erika McEntarfer

Cyclical Job Ladders by Firm Size and Firm Wage
w23504 George J. Borjas
Still More On Mariel: The Role of Race
w23486 Joshua D. Angrist
Victor Lavy
Jetson Leder-Luis
Adi Shany

Maimonides Rule Redux
w23489 Rucker C. Johnson
C. Kirabo Jackson

Reducing Inequality Through Dynamic Complementarity: Evidence from Head Start and Public School Spending
w23494 SeHyoun Ahn
Greg Kaplan
Benjamin Moll
Thomas Winberry
Christian Wolf

When Inequality Matters for Macro and Macro Matters for Inequality
w23498 William N. Evans
Daniel Fitzgerald

The Economic and Social Outcomes of Refugees in the United States: Evidence from the ACS
w23503 Javier Cravino
Sebastian Sotelo

Trade Induced Structural Change and the Skill Premium
w23507 Vellore Arthi
Brian Beach
W. Walker Hanlon

Estimating the Recession-Mortality Relationship when Migration Matters
w23491 Emily Breza
Arun G. Chandrasekhar
Tyler H. McCormick
Mengjie Pan

Using Aggregated Relational Data to Feasibly Identify Network Structure without Network Data
w23465 Martha J. Bailey
Jason M. Lindo

Access and Use of Contraception and Its Effects on Women's Outcomes in the U.S.
w23470 Jonathan de Quidt
Johannes Haushofer
Christopher Roth

Measuring and Bounding Experimenter Demand
w23461 Steven W. Hemelt
Brian Jacob

Differentiated Accountability and Education Production: Evidence from NCLB Waivers
w23466 David Autor
Andreas Ravndal Kostol
Magne Mogstad
Bradley Setzler

Disability Benefits, Consumption Insurance, and Household Labor Supply
w23472 Manasi Deshpande
Yue Li

Who Is Screened Out? Application Costs and the Targeting of Disability Programs
w23478 Andrew Bacher-Hicks
Mark J. Chin
Thomas J. Kane
Douglas O. Staiger

An Evaluation of Bias in Three Measures of Teacher Quality: Value-Added, Classroom Observations, and Student Surveys
w23439 Erik O. Kimbrough
Andrew D. McGee
Hitoshi Shigeoka

How Do Peers Impact Learning? An Experimental Investigation of Peer-to-Peer Teaching and Ability Tracking
w23442 Rodney J. Andrews
John Thompson

Earning your CAP: A Comprehensive Analysis of The University of Texas System's Coordinated Admissions Program
w23443 Jonathan M.V. Davis
Sara B. Heller

Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs
w23453 Holger Sieg
Yu Wang

The Impact of Student Debt on Education, Career, and Marriage Choices of Female Lawyers
w23414 Leonardo Bursztyn
Bruno Ferman
Stefano Fiorin
Martin Kanz
Gautam Rao

Status Goods: Experimental Evidence from Platinum Credit Cards
w23421 David Arnold
Will Dobbie
Crystal S. Yang

Racial Bias in Bail Decisions
w23433 Michael A. Clemens
Jennifer Hunt

The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results
w23437 Roland G. Fryer
Jr

Management and Student Achievement: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment
w23395 William J. Collins
Marianne H. Wanamaker

Up from Slavery? African American Intergenerational Economic Mobility Since 1880
w23396 David Autor
David Dorn
Lawrence F. Katz
Christina Patterson
John Van Reenen

The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms
w23397 William J. Collins
Michael Q. Moody

Racial Differences in American Women's Labor Market Outcomes: A Long-Run View
w23398 John Horton
William R. Kerr
Christopher Stanton

Digital Labor Markets and Global Talent Flows
w23400 Rafael Dix-Carneiro
Rodrigo R. Soares
Gabriel Ulyssea

Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization
w23404 Andrew Seltzer
Daniel S. Hamermesh

Co-authorship in Economic History and Economics: Are We Any Different?
w23406 Thomas Le Barbanchon
Roland Rathelot
Alexandra Roulet

Unemployment Insurance and Reservation Wages: Evidence from Administrative Data
w23408 Melissa S. Kearney
Riley Wilson

Male Earnings, Marriageable Men, and Nonmarital Fertility: Evidence from the Fracking Boom
w23376 Charles Courtemanche
Rusty Tchernis
Xilin Zhou

Parental Work Hours and Childhood Obesity: Evidence using Instrumental Variables Related to Sibling School Eligibility
w23381 Erling Barth
Sari Pekkala Kerr
Claudia Olivetti

The Dynamics of Gender Earnings Differentials: Evidence from Establishment Data
w23380 Hilary Hoynes
Mark Stabile

How do the U.S and Canadian Social Safety Nets Compare for Women and Children?
w23384 Wolfgang Keller
William W. Olney

Globalization and Executive Compensation
w23387 Michael E. Waugh
Firm Dynamics and Immigration: The Case of High-Skilled Immigration
w23392 Anna Aizer
Janet Currie

Lead and Juvenile Delinquency: New Evidence from Linked Birth, School and Juvenile Detention Records
w23393 Sandra E. Black
Erik Grönqvist
Björn Öckert

Born to Lead? The Effect of Birth Order on Non-Cognitive Abilities
w23351 Anders Frederiksen
Lisa B. Kahn
Fabian Lange

Supervisors and Performance Management Systems
w23362 Alexander M. Gelber
Damon Jones
Daniel W. Sacks
Jae Song

Using Kinked Budget Sets to Estimate Extensive Margin Responses: Method and Evidence from the Social Security Earnings Test
w23367 Costas Cavounidis
Kevin Lang

Ben-Porath meets Lazear: Lifetime Skill Investment and Occupation Choice with Multiple Skills
w23371 Fatih Guvenen
Greg Kaplan
Jae Song
Justin Weidner

Lifetime Incomes in the United States over Six Decades
w23373 Markus Ibert
Ron Kaniel
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Roine Vestman

Are Mutual Fund Managers Paid For Investment Skill?
w23374 Andrew Barr
Sarah Turner

A Letter and Encouragement: Does Information Increase Post-Secondary Enrollment of UI Recipients?
w23333 Rachel Baker
Eric Bettinger
Brian Jacob
Ioana Marinescu

The Effect of Labor Market Information on Community College Students' Major Choice
w23336 Stuart Adam
David Phillips
Barra Roantree

35 Years of Reforms: A Panel Analysis of the Incidence of, and Employee and Employer Responses to, Social Security Contributions in the UK
w23328 David Deming
Lisa B. Kahn

Skill Requirements across Firms and Labor Markets: Evidence from Job Postings for Professionals
w23308 Adriana Kugler
Maurice Kugler
Luis Omar Herrera Prada

Do Payroll Tax Breaks Stimulate Formality? Evidence from Colombia's Reform
w23321 Fatih Guvenen
Greg Kaplan

Top Income Inequality in the 21st Century: Some Cautionary Notes
w23292 Bruce Sacerdote
Fifty Years Of Growth In American Consumption, Income, And Wages
w23296 M. Keith Chen
Judith A. Chevalier
Peter E. Rossi
Emily Oehlsen

The Value of Flexible Work: Evidence from Uber Drivers
w23298 Isaiah Andrews
Maximilian Kasy

Identification of and Correction for Publication Bias
w23300 Nicholas Bloom
Erik Brynjolfsson
Lucia Foster
Ron S. Jarmin
Megha Patnaik
Itay Saporta-Eksten
John Van Reenen

What Drives Differences in Management?
w23264 Paloma Acevedo
Guillermo Cruces
Paul Gertler
Sebastian Martinez

Living Up to Expectations: How Job Training Made Women Better Off and Men Worse Off
w23265 Atila Abdulkadiroglu
Yeon-Koo Che
Parag A. Pathak
Alvin E. Roth
Olivier Tercieux

Minimizing Justified Envy in School Choice: The Design of New Orleans' OneApp
w23282 David Card
Stefano DellaVigna

What do Editors Maximize? Evidence from Four Leading Economics Journals
w23284 Holger M. Mueller
Constantine Yannelis

Students in Distress: Labor Market Shocks, Student Loan Default, and Federal Insurance Programs
w23285 Daron Acemoglu
Pascual Restrepo

Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets
w23244 Timm Bönke
Markus Grabka
Carsten Schröder
Edward N. Wolff

A Head-to-Head Comparison of Augmented Wealth in Germany and the United States
w23247 Mitchell Hoffman
Stephen V. Burks

Training Contracts, Employee Turnover, and the Returns from Firm-sponsored General Training
w23263 Katherine Eriksson
Gregory T. Niemesh
Melissa Thomasson

Revising Infant Mortality Rates for the Early 20th Century United States
w23224 John M. Abowd
Kevin L. McKinney
Nellie L. Zhao

Earnings Inequality and Mobility Trends in the United States: Nationally Representative Estimates from Longitudinally Linked Employer-Employee Data
w23230 Melissa S. Kearney
Phillip B. Levine

The Economics of Non-Marital Childbearing and The "Marriage Premium for Children"
w23232 Zhuan Pei
Jörn-Steffen Pischke
Hannes Schwandt

Poorly Measured Confounders are More Useful on the Left Than on the Right
w23236 George J. Borjas
The Earnings of Undocumented Immigrants
w23240 Mitchell Hoffman
Stephen V. Burks

Worker Overconfidence: Field Evidence and Implications for Employee Turnover and Returns from Training
w23242 Mark L. Egan
Gregor Matvos
Amit Seru

When Harry Fired Sally: The Double Standard in Punishing Misconduct
w23209 Christian Dippel
Robert Gold
Stephan Heblich
Rodrigo Pinto

Instrumental Variables and Causal Mechanisms: Unpacking The Effect of Trade on Workers and Voters
w23215 Elizabeth U. Cascio
Does Universal Preschool Hit the Target? Program Access and Preschool Impacts
w23216 Efraim Benmelech
Carola Frydman
Dimitris Papanikolaou

Financial Frictions and Employment during the Great Depression
w23218 Michael L. Anderson
Justin Gallagher
Elizabeth Ramirez Ritchie

School Lunch Quality and Academic Performance
w23188 Mariana Carrera
Heather Royer
Mark F. Stehr
Justin R. Sydnor

The Structure of Health Incentives: Evidence from a Field Experiment
w23190 Jonathan Eyer
Matthew E. Kahn

Prolonging Coal's Sunset: The Causes and Consequences of Local Protectionism for a Declining Polluting Industry
w23192 Alex Hollingsworth
Christopher J. Ruhm
Kosali Simon

Macroeconomic Conditions and Opioid Abuse
w23193 Caroline M. Hoxby
The Returns to Online Postsecondary Education
w23201 Matthew E. Kahn
Is Local Public Sector Rent Extraction Higher in Progressive Cities or High Amenity Cities?
w23203 Yaa Akosa Antwi
Johanna Catherine Maclean

State Health Insurance Mandates and Labor Market Outcomes: New Evidence on Old Questions
w23173 David Autor
David Dorn
Gordon Hanson

When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Young Men
w23174 Benjamin U. Friedrich
Martin B. Hackmann

The Returns to Nursing: Evidence from a Parental Leave Program
w23176 Xavier Giroud
Holger M. Mueller

Firms' Internal Networks and Local Economic Shocks
w23180 Jon Kleinberg
Himabindu Lakkaraju
Jure Leskovec
Jens Ludwig
Sendhil Mullainathan

Human Decisions and Machine Predictions
w23182 Andreas Fagereng
Luigi Guiso
Luigi Pistaferri

Firm-Related Risk and Precautionary Saving Response
w23185 Nir Jaimovich
Henry E. Siu

High-Skilled Immigration, STEM Employment, and Non-Routine-Biased Technical Change
w23163 Fatih Guvenen
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Jae Song
Motohiro Yogo

Worker Betas: Five Facts about Systematic Earnings Risk
w23144 Joshua D. Angrist
Jörn-Steffen Pischke

Undergraduate Econometrics Instruction: Through Our Classes, Darkly
w23153 John Bound
Gaurav Khanna
Nicolas Morales

Understanding the Economic Impact of the H-1B Program on the U.S.
w23168 Eleanor W. Dillon
Christopher T. Stanton

Self-Employment Dynamics and the Returns to Entrepreneurship
w23118 Tiffany Chou
Adam Looney
Tara Watson

Measuring Loan Outcomes at Postsecondary Institutions: Cohort Repayment Rates as an Indicator of Student Success and Institutional Accountability
w23122 Robert Jensen
Nolan H. Miller

Keepin' 'em Down on the Farm: Migration and Strategic Investment in Children's Schooling
w23123 Elwyn Davies
Marcel Fafchamps

When No Bad Deed Goes Punished: Relational Contracting in Ghana versus the UK
w23125 Michael A. Clemens
Ethan G. Lewis
Hannah M. Postel

Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion
w23130 Raymond Fisman
Jing Shi
Yongxiang Wang
Rong Xu

Social Ties and Favoritism in Chinese Science
w23091 Kelly Shue
Richard Townsend

How do Quasi-Random Option Grants Affect CEO Risk-Taking?
w23096 Daniel S. Hamermesh
Katie R. Genadek
Michael Burda

Racial/Ethnic Differences in Non-Work at Work
w23092 Bradley Heim
Ithai Lurie
Kosali I. Simon

The Impact of the Affordable Care Act Young Adult Provision on Childbearing, Marriage, and Tax Filing Behavior: Evidence from Tax Data
w23102 Chinhui Juhn
Kristin McCue
Holly Monti
Brooks Pierce

Firm Performance and the Volatility of Worker Earnings
w23103 Jeremy Greenwood
Nezih Guner
Guillaume Vandenbroucke

Family Economics Writ Large
w23108 David Autor
David Dorn
Lawrence F. Katz
Christina Patterson
John Van Reenen

Concentrating on the Fall of the Labor Share
w23111 Daniel J. Benjamin
Kristen Cooper
Ori Heffetz
Miles S. Kimball

Challenges in Constructing a Survey-Based Well-Being Index
w23059 Edward P. Lazear
Kristin McCue

Hires and Separations in Equilibrium
w23062 Sandra E. Black
Sanni Breining
David N. Figlio
Jonathan Guryan
Krzysztof Karbownik
Helena Skyt Nielsen
Jeffrey Roth
Marianne Simonsen

Sibling Spillovers
w23063 Joshua Goodman
The Labor of Division: Returns to Compulsory High School Math Coursework
w23070 David A. Keiser
Joseph S. Shapiro

Consequences of the Clean Water Act and the Demand for Water Quality
w23071 Alan Gerber
Mitchell Hoffman
John Morgan
Collin Raymond

One in a Million: Field Experiments on Perceived Closeness of the Election and Voter Turnout
w23073 Raimond Maurer
Olivia S. Mitchell
Ralph Rogalla
Tatjana Schimetschek

Optimal Social Security Claiming Behavior under Lump Sum Incentives: Theory and Evidence
w23079 Kristin F. Butcher
Kyung H. Park
Anne Morrison Piehl

Comparing Apples to Oranges: Differences in Women's and Men's Incarceration and Sentencing Outcomes
w23082 Paul A. Gompers
Sophie Q. Wang

Diversity in Innovation
w23084 Jeffrey Clemens
Michael R. Strain

Estimating the Employment Effects of Recent Minimum Wage Changes: Early Evidence, an Interpretative Framework, and a Pre-Commitment to Future Analysis
w23043 Leonardo Bursztyn
Thomas Fujiwara
Amanda Pallais

'Acting Wife': Marriage Market Incentives and Labor Market Investments
w23048 John Kennan
Open Borders in the European Union and Beyond: Migration Flows and Labor Market Implications
w23051 Claudia Olivetti
Barbara Petrongolo

The Economic Consequences of Family Policies: Lessons from a Century of Legislation in High-Income Countries
w23054 Hope Corman
Dhaval Dave
Ariel Kalil
Nancy E. Reichman

Effects of Maternal Work Incentives on Youth Crime
w23026 A. Mitchell Polinsky
Prison Work Programs in a Model of Deterrence
w23029 Joseph G. Altonji
Seth D. Zimmerman

The Costs of and Net Returns to College Major
w23018 Nathan Goldschlag
Stefano Bianchini
Julia Lane
Joseba Sanmartín Sola
Bruce Weinberg

Research Funding and Regional Economies
w23019 Wan-Ying Chang
Wei Cheng
Julia Lane
Bruce Weinberg

Federal Funding of Doctoral Recipients: Results from new Linked Survey and Transaction Data

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