NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Working Papers by Victor Zarnowitz

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Working Papers

January 2002Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles
with Ataman Ozyildirim: w8736
August 2001The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make It More Timely
with Robert H. McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim: w8430
May 2000The Old and the New in U.S. Economic Expansion of the 1990s
w7721
April 1999Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?
w6367
March 1999Theory and History Behind Business Cycles: Are the 1990s the Onset of a Golden Age?
w7010
October 1997Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter
w6230
January 1992Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance
with Phillip Braun: w3965
October 1991What is a Business Cycle?
w3863
Has Macro-Forecasting Failed?
w3867
October 1989Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Hypotheses of Sticky Wages and Prices (SEE ALSO WP3132-send out together)
w3131
Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Causes and Effects of OBserved Changes (SEE ALSO WP3131-Send out together)
w3132
February 1989Facts and Factors in the Recent Evolution of Business Cycles in the United States
w2865
1989Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes: Some Estimates of Their Interrelations, 1886-1982
with Phillip Braun: w2812
September 1987The Regularity of Business Cycles
w2381
June 1987The Development and Role of the National Bureau's Business Cycle Chronologies
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w1394
May 1987Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w1395
December 1986The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting
w2099
November 1986Forecasting Recessions Under the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Law
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w2066
September 1985Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Review of Theories and Evidence
w1503
June 1984Business Cycles Analysis and Expectational Survey Data
w1378
July 1983Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction
with Louis A. Lambros: w1171
1983Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts
w1070
December 1982The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys
w1053
1982Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys
w0845
April 1981Business Cycles and Growth: Some Reflections and Measures
w0665
December 1980On Functions, Quality, and Timeliness of Economic Information
w0608
April 1979An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level
r0010
February 1979Information, Measurement, And Prediction In Economics
w0318
May 1978Forecasting with the Index of Leading Indicators
with Beatrice N. Vaccara: w0244
1978On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts
w0229
July 1973A Review of Cyclical Indicators for the United States: Preliminary Results
w0006

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