NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Working Papers by Menzie D. Chinn

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info

Working Papers

January 2014For a Few Dollars More: Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises
with Matthieu Bussière, Gong Cheng, Noëmie Lisack: w19791
May 2013Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun’s law
with Laurent Ferrara, Valérie Mignon: w19047
October 2012Long Horizon Uncovered Interest Parity Re-Assessed
with Saad Quayyum: w18482
March 2012Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?
with Yin-Wong Cheung, XingWang Qian: w17875
October 2011A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances
with Barry Eichengreen, Hiro Ito: w17513
September 2010The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time
with Kavan J. Kucko: w16398
April 2010Surfing the Waves of Globalization: Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma
with Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito: w15876
March 2010The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures
with Olivier Coibion: w15830
January 2009China's Current Account and Exchange Rate
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Eiji Fujii: w14673
December 2008Assessing the Emerging Global Financial Architecture: Measuring the Trilemma's Configurations over Time
with Joshua Aizenman, Hiro Ito: w14533
October 2008A Faith-based Initiative: Does a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime Really Facilitate Current Account Adjustment?
with Shang-Jin Wei: w14420
July 2008Private Information and a Macro Model of Exchange Rates: Evidence from a Novel Data Set
with Michael J. Moore: w14175
Pitfalls in Measuring Exchange Rate Misalignment: The Yuan and Other Currencies
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Eiji Fujii: w14168
April 2008The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
with Jeffrey A. Frankel: w13909
September 2007East Asia and Global Imbalances: Saving, Investment, and Financial Development
with Hiro Ito: w13364
January 2007The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Eiji Fujii: w12850
August 2006Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment
with Ron Alquist: w12481
July 2006ICT Use in the Developing World: An Analysis of Differences in Computer and Internet Penetration
with Robert W. Fairlie: w12382
December 2005Three Current Account Balances: A "Semi-Structuralist" Interpretation
with Jaewoo Lee: w11853
November 2005Current Account Balances, Financial Development and Institutions: Assaying the World "Savings Glut"
with Hiro Ito: w11761
October 2005Supply Capacity, Vertical Specialization and Tariff Rates: The Implications for Aggregate U.S. Trade Flow Equations
w11719
August 2005Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
with Jeffrey Frankel: w11510
A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates: Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation
w11521
May 2005What Matters for Financial Development? Capital Controls, Institutions, and Interactions
with Hiro Ito: w11370
January 2005Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era
with Guy Meredith: w11077
The Predictive Content of Energy Futures: An Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline
with Michael LeBlanc, Olivier Coibion: w11033
August 2004The Determinants of the Global Digital Divide: A Cross-Country Analysis of Computer and Internet Penetration
with Robert Fairlie: w10686
October 2003The Chinese Economies in Global Context: The Integration Process and Its Determinants
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Eiji Fujii: w10047
March 2003A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time
with Kristin J. Forbes: w9555
Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined
w9521
December 2002Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Antonio Garcia Pascual: w9393
May 2002Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence
with Hiro Ito: w8967
March 2002Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle
with Ron Alquist: w8824
September 2000Fin de Siecle Real Interest Parity
with Eiji Fujii: w7880
International Capital Inflows, Domestic Financial Intermediation and Financial Crises under Imperfect Information
with Kenneth M. Kletzer: w7902
March 2000Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration
with Eswar S. Prasad: w7581
February 2000How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Ian W. Marsh: w7524
November 1999Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics
with Yin-Wong Cheung: w7416
Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders
with Yin-Wong Cheung: w7417
October 1999Market Structure and the Persistence of Sectoral Real Exchange Rates
with Yin-Wong Cheung, Eiji Fujii: w7408
April 1999Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises
with Michael P. Dooley, Sona Shrestha: w7091
February 1999Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys
with Yin-Wong Cheung: w6926
November 1998Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
with Guy Meredith: w6797
August 1998On the Won and Other East Asian Currencies
w6671
April 1998Before the Fall: Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?
w6491
The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate: A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies
with Jaewoo Lee: w6495
July 1997Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States: Does One Size Fit All?
with Michael P. Dooley: w6092
The Usual Suspects? Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asia-Pacific Real Exchange Rates
w6108
April 1997Sectoral Productivity, Government Spending and Real Exchange Rates: Empirical Evidence for OECD Countries
w6017
February 1997Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models
with Yin-Wong Cheung: w5943
November 1996Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP
with Yin-Wong Cheung: t0206
Financial and Capital Account Liberalization in the Pacific Basin: Korea and Taiwan during the 1980's
with William F. Maloney: w5814
August 1996Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks: Evidence from a Panel of 14 Countries
with Louis Johnston: w5709
November 1995Financial Repression and Capital Mobility: Why Capital Flows and Covered Interest Rate Differentials Fail to Measure Capital Market Integration
with Michael P. Dooley: w5347
September 1995Asia-Pacific Capital Markets: Measurement of Integration and the Implications for Economic Activity
with Michael Dooley: w5280
August 1991Exchange Rate Expectations and the Risk Premium: Tests For a Cross- Section of 17 Currencies
with Jeffrey Frankel: w3806
Patterns in Exchange Rate Forecasts for 25 Currencies
with Jeffrey Frankel: w3807

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