NBER Working Papers by Justin Wolfers

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info

Working Papers

December 2013Awareness Reduces Racial Bias
with Devin G. Pope, Joseph Price: w19765
April 2013Subjective Well-Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation?
with Betsey Stevenson: w18992
March 2013Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress
with Betsey Stevenson: w18916
July 2012Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
with Erik Snowberg, Eric Zitzewitz: w18222
April 2011How Prediction Markets Can Save Event Studies
with Erik Snowberg, Eric Zitzewitz: w16949
March 2011Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle
with Betsey Stevenson: w16891
October 2010Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth
with Daniel W. Sacks, Betsey Stevenson: w16441
April 2010Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
with Erik Snowberg: w15923
May 2009The Paradox of Declining Female Happiness
with Betsey Stevenson: w14969
August 2008Economic Growth and Subjective Well-Being: Reassessing the Easterlin Paradox
with Betsey Stevenson: w14282
Happiness Inequality in the United States
with Betsey Stevenson: w14220
June 2007Racial Discrimination Among NBA Referees
with Joseph Price: w13206
March 2007Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces
with Betsey Stevenson: w12944
December 2006Party Influence in Congress and the Economy
with Erik Snowberg, Eric Zitzewitz: w12751
October 2006Aggregate Shocks or Aggregate Information? Costly Information and Business Cycle Comovement
with Laura Veldkamp: w12557
May 2006Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
with Eric Zitzewitz: w12200
March 2006Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
with Erik Snowberg, Eric Zitzewitz: w12073
Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
with Eric Zitzewitz: w12083
February 2006Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
with Andrew Leigh: w12053
Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets
with Eric Zitzewitz: w12060
January 2006Uses and Abuses of Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate
with John J. Donohue III: w11982
Diagnosing Discrimination: Stock Returns and CEO Gender
Happiness and the Human Development Index: Australia is Not a Paradox
with Andrew Leigh: w11925
Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
with Refet Gurkaynak: w11929
May 2004Prediction Markets
with Eric Zitzewitz: w10504
December 2003Bargaining in the Shadow of the Law: Divorce Laws and Family Distress
with Betsey Stevenson: w10175
October 2003Did Unilateral Divorce Laws Raise Divorce Rates? A Reconciliation and New Results
June 2003Disagreement about Inflation Expectations
with N. Gregory Mankiw, Ricardo Reis: w9796
April 2003Is Business Cycle Volatility Costly? Evidence from Surveys of Subjective Wellbeing
March 2003What Do Financial Markets Think of War in Iraq?
with Andrew Leigh, Eric Zitzewitz: w9587
August 1999The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence
with Olivier Blanchard: w7282

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info


National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email:

Contact Us