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NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Working Papers by John Whalley

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Working Papers

October 2014How Do the "GATS-Plus" and "GATS-Minus" Characteristics of Regional Service Agreements Affect Trade in Services?
with Nianli Zhou: w20551
August 2014How Close is Asia to Already Being A Trade Bloc?
with Chunding Li: w20424
Numerical General Equilibrium Analysis of China's Impacts from Possible Mega Trade Deals
with Chunding Li, Jing Wang: w20425
February 2014Are Chinese Markets for Manufactured Products More Competitive than in the US?: A Comparison of China -US Industrial Concentration Ratios
with Jun Wang: w19898
January 2014China's Regional and Bilateral Trade Agreements
with Chunding Li, Jing Wang: w19853
June 2013Intergenerational Transfer, Human Capital and Long-term Growth in China under the One Child Policy
with Xi Zhu, Xiliang Zhao: w19160
Capital-Labor-Energy Substitution in Nested CES Production Functions for China
with Keting Shen: w19104
May 2013The 1991 Reforms, Indian Economic Growth, and Social Progress
with Manmohan Agarwal: w19024
China and India: Reforms and the Response: How Differently have the Economies Behaved
with Manmohan Agarwal: w19006
Offshore jurisdictions (including Cyprus), corruption money laundering and Russian round-trip investment
with Svetlana Ledyaeva, Päivi Karhunen: w19019
October 2012Cross Country Fairness Considerations and Country Implications of Alternative Approaches to a Global Emission Reduction Regime
with Huifang Tian, Xiaojun Shi : w18443
June 2012Water Availability as a Constraint on China's Future Growth
with Dana Medianu: w18124
May 2012China and the TPP: A Numerical Simulation Assessment of the Effects Involved
with Chunding Li: w18090
March 2012Indirect Tax Initiatives and Global Rebalancing
with Chunding Li: w17919
February 2012China's Potential Future Growth and Gains from Trade Policy Bargaining: Some Numerical Simulation Results
with Chunding Li: w17826
December 2011The Contribution of China, India and Brazil to Narrowing North-South Differences in GDP/capita, World Trade Shares, and Market Capitalization
with Jing Wang, Dana Medianu: w17681
Linking External Sector Imbalances and Changing Financial Instability before the 2008 Financial Crisis
with Manmohan Agarwal, Jing Wang, Sean Walsh, Chen Yan: w17645

Published: “External Sector Rebalancing and Endogenous Trade Imbalance Models.” Contemporary Economics 6 (4), October 2012, pp. 20-26.

November 2011Ownership Characteristics, Real Exchange Rate Movements and Labor Market Adjustment in China
with Risheng Mao: w17565
October 2011The Contribution of Chinese FDI to Africa's Pre Crisis Growth Surge
with Aaron Weisbrod: w17544

Published: Whalley John & Weisbrod Aaron, 2012. "The Contribution of Chinese FDI to Africa's Pre Crisis Growth Surge," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 12(4), pages 1-28, December. citation courtesy of

What Role for Trade in a Post 2012 Global Climate Policy Regime
w17498

Published: John Whalley, 2011. "What Role for Trade in a Post‐2012 Global Climate Policy Regime," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(11), pages 1844-1862, November. citation courtesy of

August 2011The WTO Government Procurement Agreement and Its Impacts on Trade
with Hejing Chen: w17365
Gains and Losses from Potential Bilateral US-China Trade Retaliation
with Yan Dong: w17366

Published: Dong, Yan & Whalley, John, 2012. "Gains and losses from potential bilateral US–China trade retaliation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2226-2236. citation courtesy of

March 2011The Possibilities For Global Poverty Reduction Using Revenues From Global Carbon Pricing
with James B. Davies, Xiaojun Shi: w16878

The Possibilities for Global Inequality and Poverty Reduction Using Revenues from Global Carbon Pricing” (with James Davies, Xiaojun Shi). Journal of Economic Inequality, forthcoming.

January 2011Rebalancing and the Chinese VAT: Some Numerical Simulation Results
with Chunding Li: w16686

Published: LI, Chunding & WHALLEY, John, 2012. "Rebalancing and the Chinese VAT: Some numerical simulation results," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 316-324. citation courtesy of

December 2010The Contribution of Human Capital to China's Economic Growth
with Xiliang Zhao: w16592

Published: John Whalley & Xiliang Zhao, 2013. "The Contribution Of Human Capital To China'S Economic Growth," China Economic Policy Review (CEPR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(01), pages 1350001-1-1. citation courtesy of

The Regional Distribution of Skill Premia in Urban China
with Chunbing Xing: w16575
October 2010Chinese Firm and Industry Reactions to Antidumping Initiations and Measures
with Chunding Li: w16446
August 2010Foreign Affiliate Sales and Trade in Both Goods and Services
with Chunding Li, Yan Chen: w16273
June 2010The Trade Performance of Asian Economies During and Following the 2008 Financial Crisis
with Jing Wang: w16142
The Potential Global and Developing Country Impacts of Alternative Emission Cuts and Accompanying Mechanisms for the Post Copenhagen Process
with Huifang Tian: w16090
Monetary Theory from a Chinese Historical Perspective
with Zheng Xueyi, Yaguang Zhang: w16092

Published: “Monetary Theory from a Chinese Historical Pers pective” (with Zheng Xueyi and Zhang Yaguang). China Economic Review , 26, September 2013, pp. 89-104.

December 2009Recent Russian Debate on Moving from VAT to Sales Taxes and Its Global Implications
with Vera Kononova: w15615

Published: John Whalley & Vera Kononova, 2010. "Recent Russian Debate on Moving from VAT to Sales Taxes and Its Global Implications," Journal of Globalization and Development, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 1(2), pages 4. citation courtesy of

How Large are the Impacts of Carbon Motivated Border Tax Adjustments
with Yan Dong: w15613

Published: Yan Dong & John Walley, 2012. "How Large Are The Impacts Of Carbon Motivated Border Tax Adjustments?," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1250001-1-1. citation courtesy of

October 2009Unilateral Measures and Emissions Mitigation
with Shurojit Chatterji, Sayantan Ghosal, Sean Walsh: w15441
September 2009Level versus Equivalent Intensity Carbon Mitigation Commitments
with Huifang Tian: w15370
Model Structure and the Combined Welfare and Trade Effects of China's Trade Related Policies
with Yan Dong: w15363

Published: Dong Yan & Whalley John, 2011. "Model Structure and the Combined Welfare and Trade Effects of China's Trade Related Policies," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 10(4), pages 1-21, January. citation courtesy of

April 2009Carbon Motivated Regional Trade Arrangements: Analytics and Simulations
with Yan Dong: w14880

Published: Dong, Yan & Whalley, John, 2011. "Carbon motivated regional trade arrangements: Analytics and simulations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2783-2792. citation courtesy of

Global Financial Structure and Climate Change
with Yufei Yuan: w14888

Published: Whalley, John & Yuan, Yufei, 2009. "Global financial structure and climate change," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 25, pages 161-168. citation courtesy of

February 2009International Trade and the Negotiability of Global Climate Change Agreements
with Yuezhou Cai, Raymond Riezman: w14711

Published: Economic Modelling Volume 33, July 2013, Pages 421–427 Cover image International trade and the negotiability of global climate change agreements ☆ Yuezhou Caia, Raymond Riezmanb, c, John Whalleyd, e citation courtesy of

October 2008China's Participation in Global Environmental Negotiations
with Huifang Tian: w14460
Carbon, Trade Policy, and Carbon Free Trade Areas
with Yan Dong: w14431

Published: Yan Dong & John Whalley, 2010. "Carbon, Trade Policy and Carbon Free Trade Areas," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(9), pages 1073-1094, 09. citation courtesy of

May 2008Carbon Motivated Border Tax Adjustments: Old Wine in Green Bottles?
with Ben Lockwood: w14025

Published: Ben Lockwood & John Whalley, 2010. "Carbon-motivated Border Tax Adjustments: Old Wine in Green Bottles?," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(6), pages 810-819, 06. citation courtesy of

China's Growing Economic Activity in Africa
with Hany Besada, Yang Wang: w14024
March 2008The Higher Educational Transformation of China and Its Global Implications
with Yao Li, Shunming Zhang, Xiliang Zhao: w13849

Published: Yao Amber Li & John Whalley & Shunming Zhang & Xiliang Zhao, 2011. "The Higher Educational Transformation of China and Its Global Implications," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 516-545, 04. citation courtesy of

November 2007Evaluating the Impure Chinese VAT Relative to a Pure Form in a Simple Monetary Trade Model with an Endogenous Trade Surplus
with Li Wang: w13581
The Impacts of Renminbi Appreciation on Trades Flows and Reserve Accumulation in a Monetary Trade Model
with Li Wang: w13586

Published:

October 2007Income Tax Design and the Desirability of Subsidies to Secondary Workers in a Household Model with Joint and Non-Joint Time
with Edgar Cudmore, John Piggott: w13503
April 2007Regionalization, Changes in Home Bias, and the Growth of World Trade
with Xian Xin: w13023

"Regionalization, Changes in Home Bias, and the Growth of World Trade" (with Xin Xian). Journal of Policy Modeling, forthcoming.

February 2007The Unified Enterprise Tax and SOEs in China
with Li Wang: w12899
December 2006Rural Income Volatility and Inequality in China
with Ximing Yue: w12779

Published: John Whalley & Ximing Yue, 2009. "Rural Income Volatility and Inequality in China," CESifo Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 55(3-4), pages 648-668. citation courtesy of

State-Owned Enterprise Behaviour Responses to Trade Reforms: Some Analytics and Numerical Simulation Results Using Chinese Data
with Shunming Zhang: w12780
August 2006Home and Regional Biases and Border Effects in Armington Type Models
with Xian Xin: w12439

Published: Whalley, John & Xin, Xian, 2009. "Home and regional biases and border effects in Armington type models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 309-319, March. citation courtesy of

June 2006Baumol-Tobin and the Welfare Costs of National Security Border Delays
with Hui Huang: w12296

Published: Huang, Hui & Whalley, John, 2008. "Baumol-Tobin and the welfare costs of national security border delays," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 290-292, May. citation courtesy of

May 2006China's FDI and Non-FDI Economies and the Sustainability of Future High Chinese Growth
with Xian Xin: w12249

Published: Whalley, John and Xian Xin. "China's FDI and Non-FDI Economies and the Sustainability of Future High Chinese Growth." China Economic Review 21, 1 (March 2010): 123-135. citation courtesy of

The Post MFA Performance of Developing Asia
w12178
March 2006Recent Chinese Buyout Activity and the Implications for Global Architecture
with Agata Antkiewicz: w12072

Published: Whalley, John and Agata Antkiewicz. "Recent Chinese Buyout Activity and the Implications for Global Architecture." Canadian Public Policy 33, 2(June 2007): 207-226.

March 2005Beyond Goods and Services: Competition Policy, Investment, Mutual Recognition, Movement of Persons, and Broader Cooperation Provisions of Recent FTAs involving ASEAN Countries
with O G Dayaratna Banda: w11232
December 2004China's New Regional Trade Agreements
with Agata Antkiewicz: w10992

Published: Agata Antkiewicz & John Whalley, 2005. "China's New Regional Trade Agreements," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(10), pages 1539-1557, October. citation courtesy of

September 2004Social Networks and Trade Liberalization
with Manish Pandey: w10769

Published: Manish Pandey & John Whalley, 2009. "Social networks and trade liberalization," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 16(17), pages 1747-1749. citation courtesy of

August 2004Inequality Change in China and (Hukou) Labour Mobility Restrictions
with Shunming Zhang: w10683
July 2004China's Post Accession WTO Stance
with Glenda Mallon: w10649
December 2003Assessing the Benefits to Developing Countries of Liberalization in Services Trade
w10181

Published: John Whalley, 2004. "Assessing the Benefits to Developing Countries of Liberalisation in Services Trade," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(8), pages 1223-1253, 08. citation courtesy of

Competitive Liberalization and a US-SACU FTA
with J. Clark Leith: w10168

Published: Schott, Jeffrey (ed.) Free Trade Agreements: US Strategies and Priorities. Washington, DC: Institute for International Economics, 2004.

Liberalization in China's Key Service Sectors Following WTO Accession: Some Scenarios and Issues of Measurement
w10143
Regeneration, Labour Supply and the Welfare Costs of Taxes
with Edgar Cudmore: w10138
The Use of Literature Based Elasticity Estimates in Calibrated Models of Trade-Wage Decompositions: A Calibmetric Approach
with Hui Huang: w10137
February 2003Border Delays and Trade Liberalization
with Edgar Cudmore: w9485

Published: Border Delays and Trade Liberalization, Edgar Cudmore, John Whalley. in International Trade in East Asia, NBER-East Asia Seminar on Economics, Volume 14, Ito and Rose. 2005

October 2002Short and Long Run Decompositions of OECD Wage Inequality Changes
with T. Huw Edwards: w9265

Published: Edwards, Terence Huw and John Whalley. "Short- and Long-Run Decompositions of UK Wage Inequality Changes." Bulletin of Economic Research 59, 1 (January 2007): 1-24.

September 2002Decomposing Wage Inequality Change Using General Equilibrium Models
with Lisandro Abrego: w9184
December 2001Puzzles Over International Taxation of Cross Border Flows of Capital Income
w8662
May 2001Ownership and Use Taxes as Congestion Correcting Instruments
with Ngee-Choon Chia, Albert K C Tsui: w8278
How Often Are Propositions on the Effects of Customs Unions Theoretical Curiosa and When Should They Guide Policy?
with Lisandro Abrego, Raymond Riezman: w8304

Published: Abrego, Lisandro, Raymond Riezman and John Whalley. "How Often Are Propositions On The Effects Of Regional Trade Agreements Theoretical Curiosa?," Journal of International Economics, 2006, v68(1,Jan), 59-78.

March 2001How Reasonable Are Assumptions Used in Theoretical Models?: Computational Evidence on the Likelihood of Trade Pattern Changes
with Lisandro Abrego, Raymond Riezman: w8169

Published: Abrego, Lisandro, Raymond Riezman and John Whalley. “How Reasonable are Assumptions Used in Theoretical Models? Computational Evidence on the Likelihood of Trade Pattern Changes." Canadian Journal of Economics 39, 3 (August 2006): 781-789.

May 2000State-Owned Enterprises, Shirking and Trade Liberalization
with Madanmohan Ghosh: w7696

Published: Ghosh, Madanmohan & Whalley, John, 2008. "State owned enterprises, shirking and trade liberalization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 1206-1215, November. citation courtesy of

April 2000Demand Side Considerations and the Trade and Wages Debate
with Lisandro Abrego: w7674

Published: Abrego, Lisandro and John Whalley. "Goods Market Responses To Trade Shocks And Trade And Wages Decompositions," Canadian Journal of Economics, 2003, v36(3,Aug), 747-757.

August 1999The Environmental Regime in Developing Countries
with Raghbendra Jha: w7305

Published: The Environmental Regime in Developing Countries, Raghbendra Jha, John Whalley. in Behavioral and Distributional Effects of Environmental Policy, Carraro and Metcalf. 2001

The Choice of Structural Model in Trade-Wages Decompositions
with Lisandro Abrego: w7312

Published: Abrego, Lisandro & Whalley, John, 2000. "The Choice of Structural Model in Trade-Wages Decompositions," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 462-77, August. citation courtesy of

August 1998The Division and Size of Gains from Liberalization of Service Networks
with Keshab Bhattarai: w6712

Published: Bhattarai, Keshab and John Whalley. "The Division And Size Of Gains From Liberalization In Service Networks," Review of International Economics, 2006, v14(3,Aug), 348-361. citation courtesy of

July 1998Meals on Wheels: Restaurant and Home Meal Production and the Exemption of Food from Sales and Value Added Taxes
with Aled Ab Iorwerth: w6653

Published: Iorwerth, Aled ab and John Whalley. "Efficiency Considerations And The Exemption Of Food From Sales And Value Added Taxes," Canadian Journal of Economics, 2002, v34(1,Feb), 166-182.

March 1998The Value of MFN Treatment
with Madanmohan Ghosh, Carlo Perroni: w6461
January 1998VAT Base Broadening, Self Supply, and The Informal Sector
with John Piggott: w6349

Published: Piggott, John and John Whalley. "VAT Base Broadening, Self Supply, And The Informal Sector," American Economic Review, 2001, v91(4,Sep), 1084-1094. citation courtesy of

November 1997Discreteness and the Welfare Cost of Labor Supply Tax Distortions
with Keshab Bhattarai: w6280

Published: Bhattarai, Keshab and John Whalley. "Discreteness And The Welfare Cost Of Labor Supply Tax Distortions," International Economic Review, 2003, v44(3,Aug), 1117-1133. citation courtesy of

The Redistributive Effects of Transfers
with Keshab Bhattarai: w6281
October 1997Trade and Environment: Bargaining Outcomes from Linked Negotiations
with Lisandro Abrego, Carlo Perroni, Randall M. Wigle: w6216

Published: Abrego, Lisandro, Carlo Perroni, John Whalley and Randall Wigle. "Trade And Environment: Bargaining Outcomes From Linked Negotiations," Review of International Economics, 2001, v9(3,Aug), 414-428.

September 1996Trade and Environment Beyond Singapore
w5768

Published: Sampson, G. and J. Whalley (eds.) The WTO, Trade and the Environment. Cheltenham, UK; Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2005.

April 1996Why Do Countries Seek Regional Trade Agreements?
w5552

Published: Why Do Countries Seek Regional Trade Agreements?, John Whalley. in The Regionalization of the World Economy, Frankel. 1998

August 1994Reference Point Dependence for Specification Bias from Quality Upgrading
with Eric Hutton: w4816

Published: Published as "Reference Point Dependence and Specification Bias", EL, Vol. 55, no. 1 (August 1997): 75-83.

The Tax Unit and Household Production
with John Piggott: w4820

Published: Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 104, no. 2 (April 1996): 398-418. citation courtesy of

January 1994The New Regionalism: Trade Liberalization or Insurance?
with Carlo Perroni: w4626

Published: Perroni, Carlo and John Whalley. "The New Regionalism: Trade Liberalization Or Insurance?," Canadian Journal of Economics, 2000, v33(1,Feb), 1-24. citation courtesy of

Evaluating Labour Adjustment Costs from Trade Shocks: Illustrations for the U.S. Economy Using an Applied General Equilibrium Model With Transactions
with Ramon L. Clarete, Irene Trela: w4628
May 1993Rents, Regulation, and Indirect Tax Design
with Carlo Perroni: w4358
February 1991Internal Quota Allocation Schemes and the Costs of the MFA
with Irene Trela: w3627

Published: Trela, Irene & Whalley, John, 1995. "Internal Quota-Allocation Schemes and the Costs of the MFA," Review of International Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 3(3), pages 284-306, October. citation courtesy of

Decomposing the Welfare Costs of Capital Tax Distortions: The Importance of Risk Assumptions
with Bob Hamilton, Jack Mintz: w3628
June 1990An Alternative View of Tax Incidence Analysis for Developing Countries
with Anwar Shah: w3375

Published: World Bank Economic Review, vol. 5, no. 3, September 1991

Taxes, Outward Orientation, and Growth Performance in Korea
with Irene Trela: w3377

Published:

  • "Taxes, Outward Orientation, and Growth Performance ...Korea", in J. Khalilzadeh-Shirazi and A. Shah, eds., Tax Policy in Developing Countries, The World Bank 1991/ and in Fiscal Incentives for Investment in DCs, Oxford University Press/Johns Hopkins for the World Bank, forthcoming
  • Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, eds. "The Role of Tax Policy in Korea's Economic Growth," in The Political Economy of Tax Reform. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1992.
  • The Role of Tax Policy in Korea's Economic Growth, Irene Trela, John Whalley. in The Political Economy of Tax Reform, NBER-EASE Volume 1, Ito and Krueger. 1992

August 1989Recent Trade Liberalization in the Developing World: What is Behind It, and Where is it Headed?
w3057

Published: Global Protectionism, D. Greenaway (ed.), MacMillan Press, London, U.K. 1992

March 1989Taxes and Capital Formation: How Important is Human Capital?
with James Davies: w2899

Published:

October 1988Coalitions in the Uruguay Round: The Extent, Pros and Cons of Developing Country Participation 1,2
with Colleen Hamilton: w2751

Published:

  • From A European Central Bank? edited by Marcello de Cecco and Alberto Giovannini. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1989.
  • Weltwirschaf Archives, Vol. 125, No. 3, pp. 547-562, September 1989.

June 1988Do Developing Countries Lose From the MFA?
with Irene Trela: w2618

Published: "Global Effects of Developed Country Trade Restrictions on Textiles and Apparel", Economic Journal, vol. 100, December 1990, pp. 1190-1205

May 1988Endogenous Participation in Agricultural Support Programs and Ad ValoremEquivalent Modelling
with Randall M. Wigle: w2583
1987Incentive Effects of Price Rises and Payment-System Changes on Chinese Agricultural Productivity Growth
with John McMillan, Zhu Li Jing: w2148

Published: Journal of Political Economy, vol. 97 (4), August 1989, pp. 781-807."The Impact of China's Economic Reforms on Agricultural Productivity Growth"

December 1986Regional Effects of Taxes in Canada: An Applied General Equilibrium Approach
with Rich Jones: w2107

Published: Journal of Public Economics. vol. 37, pp.1-28. 1988. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 105, No. 2, pp. 353-374, May 1990. citation courtesy of

December 1982The Welfare Cost of Distortions in the United States Tax System: A General Equilibrium Approach
with Charles L. Ballard, John B. Shoven: w1043

Published: Ballard, Charles L., John B. Shoven and John Whalley. "General Equilibrium Computations of the Marginal Welfare Costs of Taxes in the United States." American Economic Review, Vol. 75, No. 1, (March1985), pp. 128-138.

June 1982Domestic Tax Policy and the Foreign Sector: The Importance of Alternative Foreign Sector Formulations to Results from a General Equilibrium
with Lawrence H. Goulder, John B. Shoven: w0919

Published: Goulder, Lawrence H., John B. Shoven, and John Whalley. "Domestic Tax Policy and the Foreign Sector: The Importance of Alternative Foreign Sector Formulations ..." Chapter 10 in Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis, ed. Martin Feldstein. Chicago:UCP, (1983).

May 1982Replacing the U.S. Income Tax with a Progressive Consumption Tax: A Sequenced General Equilibrium Approach
with Don Fullerton, John B. Shoven: w0892

Published: Fullerton, Don, John B. Shoven, John Whalley. "Replacing the U.S. Income Tax with a Progresssive Consumption Tax: A Sequenced General Equilibrium Approach." Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 20, (1983) pp. 3-23. citation courtesy of

March 1980Static and Dynamic Resource Allocation Effects of Corporate and PersonalTax Integration in the U.S.: A General Equilibrium Approach(Rev)
with Don Fullerton, A. Thomas King, John B. Shoven: w0337

Published: Fullerton, Don; King, A. Thomas; Shoven, John B.; and Whalley, John. "Corporate Tax Integration in the United States: A General Equilibrium Approach, The American Economic Review, Vol. 71, No. 4, (September 1981), pp. 677-691.

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