NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Working Papers by Charles F. Manski

Contact and additional information for this authorAll NBER papers and publicationsNBER Working Papers onlyInformation about this author at RePEc

Working Papers

August 2014Vaccine Approvals and Mandates Under Uncertainty: Some Simple Analytics
w20432
May 2014Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics
w20098
July 2012Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation
w18204
January 2012Identification of Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy
w17755

Published: “Identification of Income-Leisure Preferences and Evaluation of Income Tax Policy,” Quantitative Economics, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2014, pp. 145-174.

September 2011Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections
with John V. Pepper: w17455

Published: “Deterrence and the Death Penalty: Partial Identification Analysis Using Repeated Cross Sections,” with J. Pepper, Journal of Quantitative Criminology, Vol. 29, 2013, No. 1, pp. 123-141.

July 2010Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude
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Published: Charles F. Manski, 2011. "Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(554), pages F261-F289, 08. citation courtesy of

July 2009WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty
w15172

Published: Charles F. Manski, 2010. "When consensus choice dominates individualism: Jensen's inequality and collective decisions under uncertainty," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 1(1), pages 187-202, 07. citation courtesy of

October 2008Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability
with Asher A. Blass, Saul Lach: w14451

Published: Asher A. Blass & Saul Lach & Charles F. Manski, 2010. "Using Elicited Choice Probabilities To Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences For Electricity Reliability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 51(2), pages 421-440, 05. citation courtesy of

Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge
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Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
with William A. Brock: w14378

Published: Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment: Some Positive and Normative Analysis WILLIAM A. BROCK1, CHARLES F. MANSKI2 Article first published online: 21 MAR 2011 DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2010.00380.x © 2011 The Ohio State University Issue Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Volume 43, Issue 2-3, pages 441–459, March-April 2011

August 2007Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, With Application To Drug Approval
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January 2006Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
with Joseph Engelberg, Jared Williams: w11978

Published: Engelberg, Joseph, Charles F. Manski and “Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters." Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 165 (2009): 146-158. citation courtesy of

December 2005Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
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Published:

  • Manski, Charles F. "Optimal Search Profiling With Linear Deterrence," American Economic Review, 2005, v95(2,May), 12-126.
  • Charles F. Manski. "Search Profiling With Partial Knowledge of Deterrence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(515), pages F385-F401, November 2006. citation courtesy of

October 2005Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks
w11675
May 2005Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns
with Jeff Dominitz: w11313

Published: Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski, 2011. "Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 352-370, 04. citation courtesy of

March 2004Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets
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Published: Manski, Charles F. "Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets." Economics Letters 91, 3 (June 2006): 425-29. citation courtesy of

August 2003How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers
with Jeff Dominitz: w9926

Published: Jeff Dominitz & Charles F. Manski, 2004. "How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 51-66, Spring.

June 2003"Will Social Security Be There For You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits
with Jeff Dominitz, Jordan Heinz: w9798
June 2002Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles
with Joram Mayshar: w8984

Published: Charles F. Manski & Joram Mayshar, 2003. "Private Incentives and Social Interactions: Fertility Puzzles in Israel," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(1), pages 181-211, 03.

January 2002Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions
with Jeff Dominitz, Jordan Heinz: w8718
November 2000Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations
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March 2000Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
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Published: Manski, Charles F. "Economic Analysis Of Social Interactions," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2000, v14(3,Summer), 115-136. citation courtesy of

May 1999Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: With Application to Randomized Experiments
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Published: Manski, Charles F. "Statistical Treatment Rules For Heterogeneous Populations," Econometrica, 2004, v72(4,Jul), 1221-1246.

January 1999Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
with John D. Straub: w6908

Published: Manski, Charles F. and John D. Straub. "Worker Perceptions Of Job Insecurity In The Mid-1990s: Evidence From The Survey Of Economic Expectations," Journal of Human Resources, 2000, v35(3,Summer), 447-479. citation courtesy of

February 1998Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling
with John V. Pepper: t0224

Published: Manski, Charles F. and John V. Pepper. "Monotone Instrumental Variables With An Application To The Returns To Schooling," Econometrica, 2000, v68(4,Jul), 997-1010.

July 1996Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
with Jeff Dominitz: w5690

Published: Dominitz, Jeff and Charles F. Manski. "Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence From the Survey of Economic Expectations." The Public Opinion Quarterly 61, 2 (Summer 1997): 261-287.

November 1994Eliciting Student Expectations of the Returns to Schooling
with Jeff Dominitz: w4936

Published: Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 31, no. 1 (Winter 1996): 1-26. citation courtesy of

Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations
with Jeff Dominitz: w4937

Published: JASA, Vol. 92, no. 439 (September 1997): 855-867.

December 1993The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation
t0148

Published: Manski, Charles F. "The Mixing Problem In Programme Evaluation," Review of Economic Studies, 1997, v64(221,Oct), 537-553.

1985Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence From the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972
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Published:

Contact and additional information for this authorAll NBER papers and publicationsNBER Working Papers onlyInformation about this author at RePEc

 
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