NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Working Papers by Alan M. Taylor

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Working Papers

February 2014Trade and Uncertainty
with Dennis Novy, Alan M. Taylor: w19941
The Argentina Paradox: Microexplanations and Macropuzzles
w19924
The Growing Dependence of Britain on Trade during the Industrial Revolution
with Gregory Clark, Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke, Alan M. Taylor: w19926
October 2013Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences
with Òscar Jordà, Moritz HP. Schularick, Alan M. Taylor: w19506
September 2013The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
with Òscar Jordà, Alan M. Taylor: w19414
February 2013The Future of International Liquidity and the Role of China
w18771
December 2012External Imbalances and Financial Crises
w18606
September 2012Sovereign Debt in Latin America, 1820–1913
with Gerardo della Paolera, Alan M. Taylor: w18363
August 2012The Great Leveraging
w18290
November 2011When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles, and Crises
with Òscar Jordà, Moritz HP. Schularick, Alan M. Taylor: w17621
June 2011Performance Evaluation of Zero Net-Investment Strategies
with Òscar Jordà, Alan M. Taylor: w17150
December 2010Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons
with Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor: w16567
October 2010Currency Carry Trades
with Travis J. Berge, Òscar Jordà, Alan M. Taylor: w16491
April 2010The Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis: Real Exchange Rates and their Long-Run Equilibrium
with Yanping Chong, Òscar Jordà, Alan M. Taylor: w15868
November 2009Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870–2008
with Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor: w15512
The Carry Trade and Fundamentals: Nothing to Fear But FEER Itself
with Òscar Jordà, Alan M. Taylor: w15518
The Global 1970s and the Echo of the Great Depression
w15475
March 2009Financial Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008
with Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, Alan M. Taylor: w14826
November 2008Luddites and the Demographic Transition
with Kevin H. O'Rourke, Ahmed S. Rahman, Alan M. Taylor: w14484
August 2008Is the Washington Consensus Dead? Growth, Openness, and the Great Liberalization, 1970s-2000s
with Antoni Estevadeordal, Alan M. Taylor: w14264
Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves
with Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, Alan M. Taylor: w14217
June 2008Made in America? The New World, the Old, and the Industrial Revolution
with Gregory Clark, Kevin H. O'Rourke, Alan M. Taylor: w14077
April 2007Trade, Knowledge, and the Industrial Revolution
with Kevin H. O'Rourke, Ahmed S. Rahman, Alan M. Taylor: w13057
October 2006Losing our Marbles in the New Century? The Great Rebalancing in Historical Perspective
with Christopher M. Meissner, Alan M. Taylor: w12580
September 2006International Trade and Finance under the Two Hegemons: Complementaries in the United Kingdom 1870-1913 and the United States 1920-30
with Alan M. Taylor, Janine L. F. Wilson: w12543
May 2006Democracy and Protectionism
with Kevin H. O'Rourke, Alan M. Taylor: w12250
November 2005Stuck on Gold: Real Exchange Rate Volatility and the Rise and Fall of the Gold Standard
with Natalia Chernyshoff, David S. Jacks, Alan M. Taylor: w11795
August 2005Collateral Damage: Trade Disruption and the Economic Impact of War
with Reuven Glick, Alan M. Taylor: w11565
July 2004The Purchasing Power Parity Debate
with Alan M. Taylor, Mark P. Taylor: w10607
June 2004Measuring Market Integration: Foreign Exchange Arbitrage and the Gold Standard, 1879-1913
with Eugene Canjels, Gauri Prakash-Canjels, Alan M. Taylor: w10583
Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle
with Paul Bergin, Reuven Glick, Alan M. Taylor: w10569
March 2004Monetary Sovereignty, Exchange Rates, and Capital Controls: The Trilemma in the Interwar period
with Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, Alan M. Taylor: w10393
The Trilemma in History: Tradeoffs among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility
with Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, Alan M. Taylor: w10396
May 2003The Monetary Consequences of a Free Trade Area of the Americas
with Barry Eichengreen, Alan M. Taylor: w9666
March 2003Foreign Capital in Latin America in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries
w9580
January 2003Gaucho Banking Redux
with Gerardo della Paolera, Alan M. Taylor: w9457
November 2002Sovereign Risk, Credibility and the Gold Standard: 1870-1913 versus 1925-31
with Maurice Obstfeld, Alan M. Taylor: w9345
The Rise and Fall of World Trade, 1870-1939
with Antoni Estevadeordal, Brian Frantz, Alan M. Taylor: w9318
Globalization, Trade, and Development: Some Lessons From History
w9326
May 2002A Century of Current Account Dynamics
w8927
March 2002Testing Trade Theory in Ohlin's Time
with Antoni Estevadeordal, Alan M. Taylor: w8842
Globalization and Capital Markets
with Maurice Obstfeld, Alan M. Taylor: w8846
August 2001Australian Growth: A California Perspective
with Ian W. McLean, Alan M. Taylor: w8408
May 2001A Century of Missing Trade?
with Antoni Estevadeordal, Alan M. Taylor: w8301
November 2000A Century of Purchasing-Power Parity
w8012
April 2000Economic Recovery from the Argentine Great Depression: Institutions, Expectations, and the Change of Macroeconomic Regime
with Gerardo della Paolera, Alan M. Taylor: w6767
March 2000Potential Pitfalls for the Purchasing-Power-Parity Puzzle? Sampling and Specification Biases in Mean-Reversion Tests of the Law of One Price
w7577
January 2000Peopling the Pampa: On the Impact of Mass Migration to the River Plate, 1870-1914
h0068
October 1999Internal Versus External Convertibility and Developing-Country FinancialCrises: Lessons from the Argentine Bank Bailout of the 1930's
with Gerardo della Paolera, Alan M. Taylor: w7386
Latin America and Foreign Capital in the Twentieth Century: Economics, Politics, and Institutional Change
w7394
April 1999Business Cycles in International Historical Perspective
with Susanto Basu, Alan M. Taylor: w7090
December 1997Argentina and the World Capital Market: Saving, Investment, and International Capital Mobility in the Twentieth Century
w6302
October 1997Finance and Development in an Emerging Market: Argentina and the Interwar Period
with Gerardo della Paolera, Alan M. Taylor: w6236
June 1997Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment: Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited
with Maurice Obstfeld, Alan M. Taylor: w6053
Measuring Market Integration: A Model of Arbitrage with an Econometric Application to the Gold Standard, 1879-1913
with Gauri Prakash, Alan M. Taylor: w6073
March 1997Latifundia as Malefactor in Economic Development? Scale, Tenancy, and Agriculture on the Pampas, 1880-1914
h0096
The Great Depression as a Watershed: International Capital Mobility over the Long Run
with Maurice Obstfeld, Alan M. Taylor: w5960
November 1996Land, Labor and the Wage-Rental Ratio: Factor Price Convergence in the Late Nineteenth Century
with Kevin O'Rourke, Alan M. Taylor, Jeffrey G. Williamsmn: h0046
October 1996Convergence and International Factor Flows in Theory and History
w5798
Sources of Convergence in the Late Nineteenth Century
w5806
September 1996International Capital Mobility in History: Purchasing-Power Parity in the Long Run
w5742
International Capital Mobility in History: The Saving-Investment Relationship
w5743
January 1996On the Costs of Inward-Looking Development: Historical Perspectives on Price Distortions, Growth, and Divergence in Latin American from 1930s - 1980s
w5432
September 1995Growth and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region: On the Role of Openness, Trade and Migration
w5276
October 1994Three Phases of Argentine Economic Growth
h0060
Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows Reconsidered
w4892
April 1994"Convergence in the Age of Mass Migration"
with Alan M. Taylor, Jeffrey G. Williamson: w4711
December 1991Capital Flows to the New World as an Intergenerational Transfer
with Alan M. Taylor, Jeffrey G. Williamson: h0032

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