| January 2002 | Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles
with Ataman Ozyildirim: w8736
|
| August 2001 | The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators: How to Make It More Timely
with Robert H. McGuckin, Ataman Ozyildirim: w8430
|
| May 2000 | The Old and the New in U.S. Economic Expansion of the 1990s
w7721
|
| April 1999 | Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?
w6367
|
| March 1999 | Theory and History Behind Business Cycles: Are the 1990s the Onset of a Golden Age?
w7010
|
| October 1997 | Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter
w6230
|
| February 1994 | Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance
with Phillip Braun: w3965
|
| May 1993 | What is a Business Cycle?
w3863
|
| January 1993 | Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance
with Phillip Braun
in Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting, James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, editors
|
| January 1992 | Front matter, Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U. S. Economic Fluctuations
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Business Cycles and Growth
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| The Regularity of Business Cycles
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| References
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Author Index
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Subject Index
in Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| October 1991 | Has Macro-Forecasting Failed?
w3867
|
| August 1991 | Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes: Some Estimates of Their Interrelations, 1886-1982
with Phillip Braun: w2812
|
| October 1989 | Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Hypotheses of Sticky Wages and Prices (SEE ALSO WP3132-send out together)
w3131
|
| Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Causes and Effects of OBserved Changes (SEE ALSO WP3131-Send out together)
w3132
|
| February 1989 | Facts and Factors in the Recent Evolution of Business Cycles in the United States
w2865
|
| December 1987 | Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction
with Louis A. Lambros: w1171
|
| September 1987 | The Regularity of Business Cycles
w2381
|
| July 1987 | The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting
w2099
|
| June 1987 | The Development and Role of the National Bureau's Business Cycle Chronologies
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w1394
|
| May 1987 | Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w1395
|
| November 1986 | Forecasting Recessions Under the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Law
with Geoffrey H. Moore: w2066
|
| April 1986 | Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts
w1070
|
| 1986 | Appendix A The Development and Role of the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Chronologies
with Geoffrey H. Moore
in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, Robert J. Gordon, ed.
|
| Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior
with Geoffrey H. Moore
in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, Robert J. Gordon, ed.
|
| September 1985 | Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Review of Theories and Evidence
w1503
|
| 1985 | The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys
w1053
|
| June 1984 | Business Cycles Analysis and Expectational Survey Data
w1378
|
| February 1982 | On Functions, Quality, and Timeliness of Economic Information
w0608
|
| 1982 | Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys
w0845
|
| November 1981 | Business Cycles and Growth: Some Reflections and Measures
w0665
|
| April 1979 | An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level
r0010
|
| February 1979 | Information, Measurement, And Prediction In Economics
w0318
|
| May 1978 | Forecasting with the Index of Leading Indicators
with Beatrice N. Vaccara: w0244
|
| 1978 | On the Accuracy and Properties of Recent Macroeconomic Forecasts
w0229
|
| October 1977 | The Recession and Recovery of 1973-1976
with Geoffrey H. Moore
in Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 4, number 4, Victor Zarnowitz and Geoffrey H. Moore
|
| July 1973 | A Review of Cyclical Indicators for the United States: Preliminary Results
w0006
|
| 1973 | Front matter, Orders, Production, and Investment --a Cyclical and Structural Analysis
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Introduction
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| The Role of Orders in Industrial Production
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Size and Frequency of Fluctuations
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Timing Comparisons
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Regression Analysis
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Unfilled Orders and Industrial Activity
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Unfilled Orders, Delivery Periods, and Price Changes
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Orders, Production, and Inventory Investment
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Indicators and Stages of Investment in Plant and Equipment
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Factors Influencing Investment Commitments and Realizations
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Cyclical Conformity and Timing
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Patterns and Diffusion of Cyclical Movements
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Main Results and Conclusions
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix A: Time Series on Orders, Shipments, Production, and Inventories
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix B: Supplementary Measures of Timing: Standard and Poor's Data
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix C: Price Deflators for Selected Manufacturing Industries
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix D: Average Monthly Percentage Amplitudes and Related Measures for New Orders, Production, and Shipments: Additional Evidence
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix E: New Orders and Shipments for Industrial Subdivisions, 1948-62
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix F: Export Orders and Shipments
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix G: Regressions of Shipments on New Orders: First Results Based on Data for 1948-58
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix H: Notes on Some Theoretical Aspects of Variable Delivery Periods
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Appendix I: On Some Recent Studies of Industry Output-Order-Inventory Relations
in Orders, Production, and Investment: A Cyclical and Structural Analysis, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| July 1972 | Criteria For Evaluation Of Econometric Models
with Phoebus J. Dhrymes, E. Philip Howrey, Saul H. Hymans, Jan Kmenta, Edward E. Leamer, Richard E. Quanot, James B. Ramsey, Harold T. Shapiro
in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 1, number 3, Sanford V. Berg, editor
|
| 1969 | The Evaluation of Economic Forecasts
with Jacob A. Mincer
in Economic Forecasts and Expectations: Analysis of Forecasting Behavior and Performance, Jacob A. Mincer, editor
|
| The New ASA/NBER Survey of Forecasts by Economic Statisticians
in Supplement to NBER Report Four: The New ASA-NBER Survey of Forecasts by Economic Statisticians, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| 1967 | Front matter,"AN APPRAISAL OF SHORT-TERM ECONOMIC FORECASTS"
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Introduction and Summary
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| A Collection of Aggregative Economic Forecasts
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| MEASUREMENT AND PRESENTATION OF BASIC DATA
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| SHORT-RUN VARIATIONS IN FORECASTERS' PERFORMANCE
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| SUMMARY MEASURES AND TYPES OF ERROR
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| TIME SPAN OF FORECASTS AND PREDICTIVE ACCURACY
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| YARDSTICKS OF PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES OF TYPES OF FORECASTS
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| RELATED STUDIES AND PLANS
in An Appraisal of Short-Term Economic Forecasts, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| 1965 | Reports On Selected Bureau Programs
with Victor R. Fuchs, Robert P. Shay
in The Task of Economics, Solomon Fabricant
|
| 1962 | Front matte, UNFILLED ORDERS, PRICE CHANGES, AND BUSINESS FLUCTUATIONS
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| The Problem and the Conceptual Framework
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Orders, Production, and Industry Structure
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Fluctuations of Demand, Delivery Periods, and Prices
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| Summary
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| APPENDIX
in Unfilled Orders, Price Changes, and Business Fluctuations, Victor Zarnowitz
|
| 1961 | Staff Papers 5. Index Numbers and the Seasonality of Quantities and Prices
in The Price Statistics of the Federal Goverment, Price Statistics Review Committee
|
