NBER Publications by Lars E.O. Svensson

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info

Working Papers and Chapters

April 2014Comment on "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New-Keynesian Models: A Re-Examination"
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, Jonathan Parker and Michael Woodford, editors
September 2013The Possible Unemployment Cost of Average Inflation below a Credible Target
November 2012Comment on "Capital Account Policies and the Real Exchange Rate"
in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, Francesco Giavazzi and Kenneth D. West, organizers
July 2012Comment on "The Great Inflation Drift"
in The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, Michael D. Bordo and Athanasios Orphanides, editors
February 2012Practical Monetary Policy: Examples from Sweden and the United States
December 2010Inflation Targeting
September 2009Evaluating Monetary Policy
April 2009Anticipated Alternative Instrument-Rate Paths in Policy Simulations
with Stefan Laséen: w14902
November 2008Monetary Policy Trade-Offs in an Estimated Open-Economy DSGE Model
with Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laséen, Jesper Lindé: w14510
June 2008Optimal Monetary Policy in an Operational Medium-Sized DSGE Model
with Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laséen, Jesper Lindé: w14092
April 2008Current Account Dynamics and Monetary Policy
with Andrea Ferrero, Mark Gertler: w13906
March 2008Optimal Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in DSGE Models: A Markov Jump-Linear-Quadratic Approach
with Noah Williams: w13892
September 2007Bayesian and Adaptive Optimal Policy under Model Uncertainty
with Noah M. Williams: w13414
June 2007Current Account Dynamics and Monetary Policy
with Andrea Ferrero, Mark Gertler, Lars E. O. Svensson
in International Dimensions of Monetary Policy , Jordi Galí­ and Mark J. Gertler, editors
November 2005Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting
with Noah Williams: w11733
August 2005Social Value of Public Information: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro Transparency, Not Con
June 2005Optimal Policy Projections
with Robert J. Tetlow: w11392
March 2005Monetary Policy with Judgment: Forecast Targeting
January 2005Time Consistency of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: A Solution
with Mats Persson, Torsten Persson: w11088
December 2004Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting
with Michael Woodford
in The Inflation-Targeting Debate, Ben S. Bernanke and Michael Woodford, editors
September 2004Targeting Rules vs. Instrument Rules for Monetary Policy: What is Wrong with McCallum and Nelson?
August 2004Credible Commitment to Optimal Escape from a Liquidity Trap: The Role of the Balance Sheet of an Independent Central Bank
with Olivier Jeanne: w10679
December 2003Optimal Policy with Low-Probability Extreme Events
Escaping from a Liquidity Trap and Deflation: The Foolproof Way and Others
June 2003Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting
with Michael Woodford: w9747
February 2003Monetary Policy and Real Stabilization
January 2003Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux
with Michael Woodford: w9430
What is Wrong with Taylor Rules? Using Judgment in Monetary Policy through Targeting Rules
May 2002Inflation Targeting: Should It Be Modeled as an Instrument Rule or a Targeting Rule?
April 2001Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information
with Michael Woodford: w8255
December 2000Money and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Case for Monetary Indicators?
with Stefan Gerlach: w8025
October 2000Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy
with Michael Woodford: w7953
The Zero Bound in an Open Economy: A Foolproof Way of Escaping from a Liquidity Trap
August 2000The First Year of the Eurosystem: Inflation Targeting or Not?
June 2000Open-Economy Inflation Targeting
Does the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?
February 2000How Should Monetary Policy be Conducted in an Era of Price Stability?
August 1999Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability
June 1999The Equilibrium Degree of Transparency and Control in Monetary Policy
with Jon Faust: w7152
Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem
Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from U.S. Data
with Glenn D. Rudebusch: w7179
January 1999Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting
with Glenn Rudebusch
in Monetary Policy Rules, John B. Taylor, editor
November 1998Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule
April 1998Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting
with Glenn D. Rudebusch: w6512
March 1998Transparency and Credibility: Monetary Policy with Unobservable Goals
with Jon Faust: w6452
March 1997Inflation Targeting: Some Extensions
January 1997New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments
with Paul Soderlind: w5877
October 1996Inflation Forecast Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets
September 1996Debt, Cash Flow and Inflation Incentives: A Swedish Example
with Mats Persson, Torsten Persson: w5772
August 1996Price Level Targeting vs. Inflation Targeting: A Free Lunch?
September 1995Optimal Inflation Targets, `Conservative' Central Banks, and Linear Inflation Contracts
January 1995The Swedish Experience of an Inflation Target
December 1994The Operation and Collapse of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes
with Peter M. Garber: w4971
September 1994Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992 - 1994
January 1994Monetary Policy with Flexible Exchange Rates and Forward Interest Rates as Indicators
December 1993The Simplest Test of Inflation Target Credibility
November 1993Term, Inflation, and Foreign Exchange Risk Premia: A Unified Treatment
October 1993European Exchange Rate Credibility Before the Fall
with Andrew K. Rose: w4495
Fixed Exchange Rates as a Means to Price Stability: What Have We Learned
November 1992Why Exchange Rate Bands? Monetary Independence in Spite of Fixed Exchange Rates
December 1991How Long do Unilateral Target Zones Last?
with Bernard Dumas: w3931
November 1991Devaluation Expectations: The Swedish Krona 1982-1991
with Hans Lindberg, Paul Soderlind: w3918
July 1991Assessing Target Zone Credibility: Mean Reversion and Devaluation Expectations in the ERM 1979-1992
April 1991Expected and Predicted Realignments: The FF/DM Exchange Rate During the EMS
with Andrew K. Rose: w3685
January 1991Stochastic Devaluation Risk and the Empirical Fit of Target Zone Models
with Giuseppe Bertola: w3576
October 1990The Foreign Exchange Risk Premium in a Target Zone with Devaluation Risk
June 1990The Term Structure of Interest Rate Differentials in a Target Zone: Theory and Swedish Data
The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility
December 1989Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability
1989Exchange Rate Variability And Asset Trade
with Torsten Persson: w2811
November 1988Portfolio Choice and Asset Pricing With Nontraded Assets
October 1987Trade in Risky Assets
Trade in Nominal Assets: Monetary Policy, and Price Level and Exchange Rate Risk
May 1987Excess Capacity, Monopolistic Competition, and International Transmission of Monetary Disturbances
with Sweder van Wijnbergen: w2262
November 1986Laws as Assets: A Possible Solution to the Time Consistency Problem
with Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Torsten Persson: w2068
April 1985Capital Flows, Investment, and Exchange Rates
with Alan C. Stockman: w1598
May 1983The Theorems of International Trade with Factor Mobility
with Wilfred J. Ethier: w1115
Current Account Dynamics and the Terms of Trade: Harberger-Laursen-Metzler Two Generations Later
with Torsten Persson: w1129
March 1983Trade in Goods and Factors with International Differences in Technology
with James R. Markusen: w1101
February 1983World Equilibrium with Oil Price Increases: An Intertemporal Analysis
with Nancy Peregrim Marion: w1074
1983Is Optimism Good in a Keynesian Economy?
with Torsten Persson: w1071
October 1982Adjustment to Expected and Unexpected Oil Price Changes
with Nancy Peregrim Marion: w0997
Factor Trade and Goods Trade
September 1982Inflation, Monetary Velocity, and Welfare
with Paul R. Krugman, Torsten Persson: w0987
Oil Prices, Welfare and the Trade Balance: An Intertemporal Approach
On Variable Capital Utilization and International Trade Theory
1982Structural Differences and Macroeconomic Adjustment to Oil Price Increases in a Three-Country Model
with Nancy Peregrim Marion: w0839

Contact and additional information for this authorAll papers and publicationsWorking Papers onlyWorking Papers with publication info


National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email:

Contact Us