NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Publications by Kenneth S. Rogoff

Contact and additional information for this authorAll NBER papers and publicationsNBER Working Papers onlyInformation about this author at RePEc

Books

Sovereign Debt and Financial Crisis
with Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Carmen Reinhart
Conference held October 18-19, 2013
Forthcoming from

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
Conference held April 10-11, 2009
Published in April 2010 by University of Chicago Press
© 2010 by the National Bureau of Economic Research
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
Conference held April 4-5, 2008
Published in April 2009 by University of Chicago Press
© 2009 by the National Bureau of Economic Research
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
Conference held March 30-31, 2007
Published in June 2008 by University of Chicago Press
© 2008 by the National Bureau of Economic Research
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
Conference held April 7-8, 2006
Published in May 2007 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20
with Mark Gertler
Conference held April 8-9, 2005
Published in April 2006 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19
with Mark Gertler
Published in April 2005 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18
with Mark Gertler
Conference held April 4-5, 2003
Published in July 2004 by The MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17
with Mark Gertler
Conference held April 5-6, 2002
Published in January 2003 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16
with Ben S. Bernanke
Conference held April 20-21, 2001
Published in January 2002 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15
with Ben S. Bernanke
Published in January 2001 by MIT Press
in NBER Book Series NBER Macroeconomics Annual

International Seminar on Macroeconomics
with Charles Wyplosz
Conference held June 14-15, 1998
Published in June 1999 by European Economic Review, Volume 43, no. 7 (Elsevier Science)
in NBER Book Series NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics

International Seminar on Macroeconomics
Conference held June 19-21, 1995
Published in February 1996 by European Economic Review, Volume 40, No. 2 (Elsevier Science)
in NBER Book Series NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics

Working Papers and Chapters

May 2014Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, Jonathan Parker and Michael Woodford, editors
Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency
w20126

Forthcoming: Costs and Benefits to Phasing Out Paper Currency, Kenneth Rogoff. in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, Parker and Woodford. 2014

January 2014Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w19823

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "Recovery from Financial Crises: Evidence from 100 Episodes," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 50-55, May. citation courtesy of

March 2013Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w18888

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2013. "Shifting Mandates: The Federal Reserve's First Centennial," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 48-54, May. citation courtesy of

April 2012Debt Overhangs: Past and Present
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent R. Reinhart: w18015

Published: "Public Debt Overhangs: Advanced-Economy Episodes since 1800" (with Carmen M. Reinhart and Vincent R. Reinhart), Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 26, No. 3, Summer 2012, 69-86. An earlier version was published as "Debt Overhangs: Past and Present," NBER Working Paper No. 18015, April 2012. citation courtesy of

Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?
with Domenico Ferraro, Barbara Rossi: w17998
May 2011On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crises: Elusive or Illusion?
with Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, Volume 25, Daron Acemoglu and Michael Woodford, editors
February 2011A Decade of Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w16827

Published: A Decade of Debt (with Carmen M Reinhart), Washington DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, September 2011.

Capital Controls: Myth and Reality - A Portfolio Balance Approach
with Nicolas E. Magud, Carmen M. Reinhart: w16805
July 2010On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crisis: Elusive or Illusion?
with Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart: w16168

Published: On Graduation from Default, Inflation and Banking Crises: Elusive or Illusion?, Rong Qian, Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff. in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010, Volume 25, Acemoglu and Woodford. 2011

April 2010Front matter, table of contents
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
March 2010From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w15795

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1676-1706, August. citation courtesy of

January 2010Growth in a Time of Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w15639

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-78, May. citation courtesy of

April 2009Three Epochs of Oil
with Eyal Dvir: w14927
Frontmatter, editorial and abstracts in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
January 2009The Aftermath of Financial Crises
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w14656

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-72, May. citation courtesy of

December 2008Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w14587

Published: Reinhart, Carmen M. & Rogoff, Kenneth S., 2013. "Banking crises: An equal opportunity menace," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4557-4573. citation courtesy of

June 2008The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting
with Vania Stavrakeva: w14071
Comment on "Exchange Rate Models Are Not As Bad As You Think"
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
Frontmatter, editorial and abstracts in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22"
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
April 2008The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13946

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(552), pages 319-350, 05. citation courtesy of

March 2008Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
with Yu-Chin Chen, Barbara Rossi: w13901

Published: Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 125(3), pages 1145-1194, August. citation courtesy of

This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13882

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 1065-1188, November. citation courtesy of

January 2008Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w13761

Published:

May 2007Front matter, table of contents
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
Editorial, abstracts
with Daron Acemoglu, Michael Woodford
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, Daron Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff and Michael Woodford, editors
The Unsustainable U.S. Current Account Position Revisited
with Maurice Obstfeld
in G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, Richard H. Clarida, editor
March 2007Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries
with Eswar S. Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose
in Globalization and Poverty, Ann Harrison, editor
August 2006Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal
with M. Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei: w12484

Published:

  • M Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 8-62, April. citation courtesy of
  • M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(2), pages 143-197, June. citation courtesy of

May 2006Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development
with Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain Ranciere: w12117

Published: Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Rancière, Romain & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. "Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 494-513, May. citation courtesy of

April 2006Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial, Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
April 2005Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial, abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
December 2004Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries
with Eswar S. Prasad, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose: w10942

Published: Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries, Eswar S. Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei, M. Ayhan Kose. in Globalization and Poverty, Harrison. 2007

November 2004The Unsustainable US Current Account Position Revisited
with Maurice Obstfeld: w10869

Published:

August 2004Exchange Rate Regime Durability and Performance in Developing Countries Versus Advanced Economies
with Aasim M. Husain, Ashoka Mody: w10673

Published: Husain, Aasim M., Ashoka Mody and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Exchange Rate Regime Durability And Performance In Developing Versus Advanced Economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, v52(1,Jan), 35-64.

July 2004Front matter, table of contents,
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18"
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
February 2004Serial Default and the "Paradox" of Rich to Poor Capital Flows
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w10296

Published: Reinhart, Carmen M. and Kenneth S. Rogoff. "Serial Default And The 'Paradox' Of Risk-To-Poor Capital Flows," American Economic Review, 2004, v94(2,May), 53-58. citation courtesy of

October 2003Addicted to Dollars
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Miguel A. Savastano: w10015

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Miguel A. Savastano, 2014. "Addicted to Dollars," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(1), pages 1-50, May. citation courtesy of

August 2003Debt Intolerance
with Carmen M. Reinhart, Miguel A. Savastano: w9908

Published: Reinhart, Carmen M., Kenneth S. Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano. "Debt Intolerance," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 34, 2003-1 (2003): 1-74. citation courtesy of

January 2003Front matter, table of contents
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17"
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Abstracts
with Mark Gertler
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002, Volume 17, Mark Gertler and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
May 2002The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation
with Carmen M. Reinhart: w8963

Published: Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48, February. citation courtesy of

January 2002Front matter, table of contents
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16"
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Abstracts
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
January 2001Front matter, table of contents
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Editorial in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15"
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
Abstracts
with Ben S. Bernanke
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?
with Maurice Obstfeld
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff, editors
August 2000Do We Really Need a New International Monetary Compact?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7864

Published: Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff. "Global Implications of Self-Oriented National Monetary Rules." Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2002.

July 2000The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7777

Published: The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?, Maurice Obstfeld, Kenneth Rogoff. in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, Bernanke and Rogoff. 2001

August 1999New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models
with Maurice Obstfeld: w7313

Published: Journal of International Economics, Vol. 50, no. 1 (February 2000): 117-153 citation courtesy of

July 1999International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability
w7265

Published: Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, no. 4 (Fall 1999): 21-42. citation courtesy of

January 1999Currency Crises
with Paul R. Krugman, Stanley Fischer, William J. McDonough
in International Capital Flows, Martin Feldstein, editor
August 1998Risk and Exchange Rates
with Maurice Obstfeld: w6694

Published: Helpman, Elhanan and Efraim Sadka (eds.) Contemporary Economic Policy: Essays in Honor of Assaf Razin. Cambridge University Press, 2003.

July 1995The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates
with Maurice Obstfeld: w5191

Published: Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 1995, Volume 9, #4, pp. 73-96 citation courtesy of

May 1995The Law of One Price Over 700 Years
with Kenneth A. Froot, Michael Kim: w5132
December 1994Perspectives on PPP and Long-Run Real Exchange Rates
with Kenneth A. Froot: w4952

Published: Chapter 32 in Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 3. [Handbooks in Economics 3], edited by Gene Grossman and Kenneth Rogoff, p. 1647-1688, Amsterdam: Elsevier.

October 1994The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account
with Maurice Obstfeld: w4893

Published: Gene Grossman and Kenneth Rogoff, eds. Handbook of International Economicsvol 3, Amsterdam: North-Holland, Elsevior Press, 1995.

April 1994Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux
with Maurice Obstfeld: w4693

Published: Journal of Political Economy 102 (June 1995), pp 624-660. citation courtesy of

August 1992Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account
with Reuven Glick: w4140

Published: Journal of Monetary Economics 35 (February 1995), pp 159-192. citation courtesy of

July 1992Traded Goods Consumption Smoothing and the Random Walk Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate
w4119

Published: Monetary and Economic Studies 10, (Nov. 1992) 1-29 (Bank of Japan). citation courtesy of

April 1991The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency
with Kenneth A. Froot: w3684

Published:

January 1991The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency
with Kenneth A. Froot
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, Olivier Jean Blanchard and Stanley Fischer, editors
March 1989Developing Country Borrowing and Domestic Wealth
with Mark Gertler: w2887

Published:

  • "Developing Country Borrowing and Domestic Wealth," Proceedings, Federal Bank of San Francisco, 1989. citation courtesy of
  • "North-South Lending and Endogenous Domestic Capital Market Inefficiencies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 26, No. 2, October 1990.

February 1989Sovereign Debt Repurchases: No Cure for Overhang
with Jeremy Bulow: w2850

Published: Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106, pp. 1219-1235 (November 1991). citation courtesy of

June 1988Sovereign Debt: Is To Forgive To Forget?
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2623

Published: Bulow, Jeremy and Kenneth Rogoff. "Sovereign Debt: Is To Forgive To Forget?" from American Economic Review, Vol. 79, 1989. citation courtesy of

Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Panacea or Pangloss?
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2637

Published: "The Buyback Boondoggle" Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 2, pp. 675-698, (1988).

November 1987Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles
w2428

Published: The American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 1, pp. 21-36, (March 1990). citation courtesy of

February 1987A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt
with Jeremy I. Bulow: w2088

Published: Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 95, No. 6, December 1988. citation courtesy of

July 1986Reputational Constraints on Monetary Policy
w1986

Published: Rogoff, Kenneth. "Reputational Constratints on Monetary Policy." Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, ed. by Karl Brunner and Allen Meltzer, Vol. 26, Spring 1987, pp. 141-182. American Economic Review, vol. 80, no. 1, pp 21-36, March 1990. citation courtesy of

February 1986Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles
with Anne Sibert: w1838

Published: Rogoff, Kenneth and Anne Sibert. "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles." From Review of Economic Studies, Vol. LV (55), No. 181, pp. 1-16, January 1988. citation courtesy of

October 1985Was it Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation, 1973-1984
with Richard Meese: w1732

Published:

  • Meese, Richard and Kenneth Rogoff. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation: 1973-1984". Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 10, no. 1-2, (June 1986), pp. 297-298. citation courtesy of
  • Meese, Richard and Kenneth Rogoff. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating-Rate Period". The Journal of Finance, Vol. XLIII, No. 4, pp. 933-948, (September 1988).

April 1985Ruling Out Nonstationary Speculative Bubbles
with Maurice Obstfeld: w1601

Published: Obstfeld, Maurice. "Ruling Out Divergent Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 17, (1986), pp. 349-362.

August 1983Exchange Rate Dynamics With Sluggish Prices Under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules
with Maurice Obstfeld: w1173

Published: Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1984. "Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(1), pages 159-74, February. citation courtesy of

1983The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?
with Richard Meese
in Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics, Jacob A. Frenkel, ed.
February 1982Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?
with Maurice Obstfeld: w0855

Published: Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff. "Speculative Hyperinflations in Maximizing Models: Can We Rule Them Out?" Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 4, (August 1983), pp. 675-687. Journal of Economic Literature, Vol . 22, No. 1, (March 1984). citation courtesy of

Contact and additional information for this authorAll NBER papers and publicationsNBER Working Papers onlyInformation about this author at RePEc

 
Publications
Activities
Meetings
NBER Videos
Data
People
About

Support
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email: info@nber.org

Contact Us