NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

NBER Publications by Geoffrey H. Moore

Books

Monitoring Growth Cycles in Market-Oriented Countries: Developing and Using International Economic Indicators
with Philip A. Klein
Published in 1985 by Ballinger
in NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles

Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed.
Published in 1983 by Ballinger
in NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles

Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 4, number 4
with Victor Zarnowitz
Published in October 1977 by NBER

Supplement to NBER Report One: Composite Indexes of Leading, Coinciding, and Lagging Indicators, 1948-67
with Julius Shiskin
Published in 1968 by NBER

The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit
with Philip A Klein
Published in 1967 by UMI

Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions
with Julius Shiskin
Published in 1967 by UMI

Anticipating the Nation's Needs For Economic Knowledge
Published in 1966 by National Bureau of Ecomnomic Research, Inc.

Business Cycle Indicators, Vol. 1
Published in 1961 by UMI
in NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles

Business Cycle Indicators, Vol. 2
Published in 1961 by UMI
in NBER Book Series Studies in Business Cycles

Measuring Recessions
Published in 1958 by UMI

Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions
Published in 1950 by UMI

Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II
Published in March 1944 by NBER

A Significance Test for Time Series and Other Ordered Observations
with W. Allen Wallis
Published in September 1941 by NBER

Working Papers and Chapters

1986Appendix A The Development and Role of the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Chronologies
with Victor Zarnowitz
in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, Robert J. Gordon, ed.
Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior
with Victor Zarnowitz
in The American Business Cycle: Continuity and Change, Robert J. Gordon, ed.
1983Introductory pages to "Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed."
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
What Is a Recession?
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
The Timing and Severity of the 1980 Recession
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Recession or Depression?
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Sequential Signals of Recession and Recovery
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Growth Cycles: A New-Old Concept
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
An Introduction to International Economic Indicators
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Presenting Employment and Unemployment Statistics in a Business Cycle Context
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
The Federal Deficit as a Business Cycle Stabilizer
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Security Markets and Business Cycles
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Some Secular Changes in Business Cycles
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Five Little-known Facts about Inflation
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
The Cyclical Behavior of Prices
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Employment, Unemployment, and the Inflation - Recession Dilemma
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Recession Slows Inflation
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Cyclical Fluctuations and Secular Inflation
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Trends and Cycles in Productivity, Unit Costs, and Prices: An International Perspective
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Inflation and Profits
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Inflation and Statistics
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Inflation and Statistics—Again
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
How to Fix the CPI
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Why the Leading Indicators Really Do Lead
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
A New Leading Index of Employment and Unemployment
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
When Lagging Indicators Lead: The History of an Idea
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
The Forty-second Anniversary of the Leading Indicators
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Forecasting Short-Term Economic Change
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
The President
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
Appendices to "Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed."
in Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed., Geoffrey H. Moore
October 1977The Recession and Recovery of 1973-1976
with Victor Zarnowitz
in Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 4, number 4, Victor Zarnowitz and Geoffrey H. Moore
1975Slowdowns, Recessions, and Inflation: Some Issues and Answers
in Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 2, number 2, NBER
Productivity, Costs, and Prices: New Light from an Old Hypothesis
in Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 2, number 1, NBER
1972An Econometric Model Of Business Cycles
with Gregory C. Chow, An-loh Lin
in Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Vols. 1 and 2, Bert G. Hickman, ed.
1968Composite Indexes of Leading, Coinciding, and Lagging Indicators, 1948-67
with Julius Shiskin
in Supplement to NBER Report One: Composite Indexes of Leading, Coinciding, and Lagging Indicators, 1948-67, Julius Shiskin and Geoffrey H. Moore
1967Front matter, THE QUALITY OF CONSUMER INSTALMENT INSTALMENT
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Instalment Credit in Perspective
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
The Concept of Credit Quality
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Credit Terms and Subsequent Collection Experience
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Borrower Characteristics and Subsequent Collection Experience
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
The Relations Among Credit Terms, Borrower Characteristics, and Collection Experience
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Credit Experience and the Business Cycle
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
The Influence of Credit Quality and the Business Cycle on Credit Experience
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Findings of the Study: A Conspectus and a Program
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix A: Supplementary Tables on Financing Terms and Borrower Characteristics, 1925-66
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix B: Cross-Classification of New-Auto Contracts by Credit Terms and Borrower Characteristics, and Chi-Square Tests of Relationship
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix C: Four Measures of Collection Experience: Their Characteristics and Uses
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix D: Repossession and Delinquency Rates on New-Car Loans Classified by Credit Terms and Borrower Characteristics, 1954-55
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix E: Income, Employment, and Delinquency Rates by Region, 1948-65
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix F: Quarterly Data on Automobile Contract Terms and Collection Experience for Twelve Metropolitan Areas, 1953-56
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix G: Some Evidence on the Effect of Credit Terms on Credit Volume
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Appendix H: Estimation of Delinquency and Repossession Risk from Maturity and Down Payment Information on New-Auto Contracts
with Philip A Klein
in The Quality of Consumer Instalment Credit, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Philip A Klein
Front matter, INDICATORS OF BUSINESS EXPANSIONS AND CONTRACTIONS
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
Introduction and Summary
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
An Explicit Scoring System for Business Cycle Indicators
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
Problems of Classification and Presentation
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
The 1966 List of Indicators
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX A Instructions for Assigning Scores to Indicators
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX B
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX C
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX D Conformity and Timing Scores for 1948—65
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX E Median Lead (or Lag) of Seventy-two Selected Indicators Adjusted for Loss of Currency When Smoothed by MCD Moving Averages
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX F Monthly Chronology of Business Cycles in the United States, 1854—1961
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
APPENDIX G Titles and Sources of Series Reviewed in This Report
with Julius Shiskin
in Indicators of Business Expansions and Contractions, Moore, Geoffrey H. and Julius Shiskin
1964Reports On Selected Bureau Programs
with Milton Friedman, Joseph W. Conard, Hal B. Lary
in The National Bureau Enters Its Forty-fifth Year,
1963Part II: Reports On Selected Bureau Programs
with James S. Earley, Hal B. Lary, Roger F. Murray
in The Uses of Economic Research,
1961Activities During 1960
in Towards A Firmer Basis Of Economic Policy, Solomon Fabricant
1950Front matter, Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
AIM OF THE STUDY AND SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
AN EXPERIMENT WITH INDICATORS
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
VARIETIES OF CYCLICAL BEHAVIOR AND THEIR CONSENSUS
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
CRITERIA FOR SELECTING INDICATORS
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
CLASSIFICATION OF SERIES ACCORDING TO CONFORMITY AND TIMING
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
BEHAVIOR OF SELECTED GROUPS OF INDICATORS, 1885-1940
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
A TENTATIVE LIST OF CURRENT INDICATORS
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
APPENDIX A A Technique for Summarizing the Current Behavior of Groups of Indicators
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
APPENDIX B List of Series with Acceptable Conformity and Timing, in Three Timing Groups
in Statistical Indicators of Cyclical Revivals and Recessions, Geoffrey H. Moore
March 1944Front matter to "Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II"
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
Summary
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
The Rise in Total Output of Industrial Materials
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
Changes in Output of Individual Industries
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
The Decline in the Rate of Growth of Industrial Materials Output
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
Industrial Materials Output and Total Industrial Production in Peace and War
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
Appendix A, Coverage and Weighting of Industrial Materials Production Index
in Production of Industrial Materials in World Wars I and II, Geoffrey H. Moore
September 1941A Significance Test for Time Series and Other Ordered Observations
with W. Allen Wallis
in A Significance Test for Time Series and Other Ordered Observations, W. Allen Wallis and Geoffrey H. Moore

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