NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

Universities Research Conference

International Transmission and Comovement

December 10 and 11, 2004

Marianne Baxter and Paul Bergin, Organizers

Royal Sonesta Hotel

5 Cambridge Parkway

Cambridge, MA

PROGRAM

 

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 10:


8:30 am            Continental Breakfast



Session 1: Empirical Studies of International Business Cycle Comovement



9:00 am            AYHAN KOSE, International Monetary Fund

CHRISTOPHER OTROK, University of Virginia

CHARLES WHITEMAN, University of Iowa

Understanding the Evolution of World Business Cycles

 

Discussant: ALEJANDRO JUSTINIANO, International Monetary Fund

 

10:00 am           MIHIR DESAI, Harvard University and NBER

C. FRITZ FOLEY, Harvard University

The Comovement of Returns and Investment within the Multinational Firm

 

Discussant: MARCO DEL NEGRO, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

 

11:00 am          Break

 

Session 2: International Price Comovement

 

11:30 am           REBECCA HELLERSTEIN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

A Decomposition of the Sources of Incomplete Cross-border Transmission: The Case of Beer          

 

Discussant: PINELOPI GOLDBERG, Yale University and NBER

 

12:30 pm           Lunch

 

Session 2: International Price Comovement cont.

 

1:30 pm             GIANCARLO CORSETTI, European University Institute

LUCA DEDOLA, European Central Bank

SYLVAIN LEDUC, Federal Reserve Board

International Risk-Sharing and the Transmission of Productivity Shocks

 

Discussant: MICHAEL KOUPARITSAS, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

 

2:30 pm            Break

 

Session 3: Two-country Macro Models with Entry

 

3:00 pm             FABIO GHIRONI, Boston College

MARC MELITZ, Harvard University

International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms

 

Discussant: MICHAEL DEVEREUX, University of British Columbia

 

4:00 pm             KATHERYN RUSS, UC, Davis

The Endogeneity of the Exchange Rate as a Determinant of FDI:

A Model of Money, Entry and Multinational Firms

 

Discussant: FABIO GHIRONI, Boston College

 

5:00 pm             Adjourn

 

6:00 pm             Group Dinner - Royal Sonesta Hotel

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 11:

 

8:30 am             Continental Breakfast


Session 4: Balance of Payments Issues

 

9:00 am             MARTIN BOILEAU, University of Colorado

                        MICHEL NORMANDIN, HEC Montréal

Dynamics of the Current Account and Interest Differentials

 

Discussant: CAMILO TOVAR, Bank for International Settlements

 

10:00 am           ASSAF RAZIN and YONA RUBINSTEIN, Tel-Aviv University

Growth Effects of Exchange-Rate Regime and the Capital-Account Openness in a Crises-Prone World Market:  A Nuanced View

 

Discussant: CHETAN SUBRAMANIAN, University of Buffalo

 

11:00 am           Break

 

Session 5: Fiscal Policy Issues

 

11:30 am           JINILL KIM, Federal Reserve Board

SUNGHYUN HENRY KIM, Tufts University

Welfare Effects of Tax Policy in Open Economies:  Stabilization and Cooperation

 

Discussant: MARGARIDA DUARTE, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

 

12:30 pm           LUISA LAMBERTINI, Boston College

Fiscal Rules in a Monetary Union

 

Discussant: ASSAF RAZIN, Cornell University and NBER

 

1:30 pm             Adjourn

11/19/04