NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

 

SUMMER INSTITUTE 2003

 

International Finance & Macroeconomics

 

Allan Drazen and Nouriel Roubini, Organizers

 

Jeffrey Frankel, Program Director

 

Royal Sonesta Hotel

5 Cambridge Parkway

Cambridge, Massachusetts

 

July 14-18, 2003

 

PRELIMINARY PROGRAM

 

MONDAY,  JULY 14:

 

Joint with the INTER-AMERICAN SEMINAR ON ECONOMICS

Sebastian Edwards and Roberto Rigobon, Organizers

Monday, July 14

 

program to be announced

 

TUESDAY, JULY 15:

 

 8:30 AM          Coffee and Pastries

 

Meeting in honor of Rudiger Dornbusch

                                   

 9:00 AM          JON FAUST, JOHN ROGERS, WANG SHING-YI and JONATHAN WRIGHT,

                        Federal Reserve Board

                        The High-Frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements

 

                        Discussant: ROBERT FLOOD, International Monetary Fund          

 

10:00 AM         Break

                       

10:15 AM         YIN- WONG CHEUNG, UC, Santa Cruz

                        MENZIE D. CHINN, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

                        ANTONIO GARCIA PASCUAL, International Monetary Fund

                        Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?

           

Discussant: MARIO CRUCINI, Vanderbilt University

                       

11:15 AM         Break

11:30 AM         GUILLERMO CALVO, University of Maryland and NBER

                        MICHAEL KUMHOF, Stanford University

                        Trade Openness And Exchange Rate Misalignments

                       

                        Discussant: JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER

 

12:30 PM         Reminiscences of Rudi Dornbusch

 

1:00 PM         Lunch and Adjourn

 

WEDNESDAY, JULY 16:

                                   

 8:30 AM          Coffee and Pastries

 

Capital Flows

           

 9:00 AM          PHILLIP LANE, Trinity College, Dublin

                        GIAN-MARIA MILESI-FERETTI , International Monetary Fund

                        International Financial Integration

 

Discussant: PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

 

10:00 AM         Break

                                               

10:15 AM         KRISTIN FORBES, MIT and NBER

                        One Cost of Chilean Capital Controls:

                        Increased Financial Constraints for Smaller Traded Firms

           

                        Discussant: LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

 

11:15 AM         Break

                                   

11:30 AM         LAURA ALFARO, Harvard University

                        SEBNEM KALEMLI- OZCAN and VADYM VOLOSOVYCH, University of Houston

                        Why Doesn’t Capital Flow from Rich Countries to Poor Countries?

                        An Empirical Investigation

 

                        Discussant:  MICHAEL KLEIN, Tufts University and NBER

 

12:30 PM         Lunch and Adjourn

 

 6:00 PM          Clambake, Harvard Faculty Club, 20 Quincy Street, Cambridge, MA

THURSDAY, JULY 17:

                                                                       

 8:30 AM          Coffee and Pastries

           

Emerging Markets

 

 9:00 AM          ANDREW HALDANE, ADRIAN PENALVER and VICTORIA SAPORTA,

                        Bank of England

                        HYUN SONG SHIN and London of School of Economics

                        Analytics of Sovereign Debt Restructuring   

                       

                        Discussant: MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

 

10:00 AM         Break

 

10:15 AM         JOSEPH JOYCE, Wellesley College

                        Promises Made, Promises Broken: A Model of IMF Program Implementation

 

                        Discussant: RATNA SAHAY, International Monetary Fund

 

11:15 AM         Break

 

11:30 AM         GALINA HALE, Yale University

                        Bonds or Loans? The Effect of Macroeconomic Fundamentals

           

                        Discussant: GITA GOPINATH, University of Chicago

           

12:30 PM         Lunch and Adjourn

 

FRIDAY, JULY 18:

                                                           

 9:00 AM          Coffee and Pastries

 

Asset and Exchange Rate Markets

                       

 9:30 AM          ANNA PAVLOVA, MIT

                        ROBERTO RIGOBON, MIT and NBER

                        Asset Prices and Exchange Rates

 

                        Discussant: HELENE REY, Princeton University and NBER

 

10:30 AM         Break

 

11:00 AM         MARTIN EVANS, Georgetown University and NBER

RICHARD LYONS, UC, Berkeley and NBER

                        A New Micro Model of Exchange Rate Dynamics

 

                        Discussant: NELSON MARK, Ohio State University and NBER

12:00 N            Lunch