National Bureau of Economic Research
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When Input Prices Rise, Cheaper Varieties See Higher Inflation
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Observers of the 2021–2023 inflation noticed that cheaper products exhibited much higher inflation rates. What explains these differences in inflation, and what are the effects on households across the income spectrum? In Cheapflation Cycles (NBER Working Paper 35235), Kunal Sangani finds that the way firms pass through cost changes creates systematic differences in inflation between cheap and expensive product varieties, leading to differences in inflation experienced by consumers in different income strata. The study draws primarily on NielsenIQ retail scanner data covering food-at-home sales across more than 30,000 retail stores from 2006 to 2023, alongside NielsenIQ Homescan Consumer Panel data...
Summer Institute 2026
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More than 2,700 researchers, hailing from 39 countries, traveled to Cambridge, MA for the 49th annual NBER Summer Institute in mid-July. The Summer Institute included 49 distinct workshops arranged by more than 150 organizers. Most of the meetings were streamed on the NBER’s YouTube channel.
The participants represented more than 400 universities, central banks, think tanks, businesses, and government agencies. Just over one third were NBER affiliates, and nearly one sixth—470—were attending Summer Institute for the first time.
The 591 research papers presented over the three weeks were selected from 3,986 submissions, implying an acceptance rate of 14.8…
From the NBER Reporter: Research, program, and conference summaries
Program Report: Economics of Education
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The NBER Economics of Education Program covers topics related to education in a manner that is deeply informed by economic logic and empirical methods. The program draws upon theory from several fields including public, labor, development, and urban economics, as well as industrial organization. The program has 179 members and meets three times a year in Cambridge, Chicago, Stanford, and Washington. The average meeting attracts about 100 submissions for a program of about 10 papers. The program has a culture that combines rigor, constructive advice, and noteworthy collegiality.
Top North American universities are very well represented, but the Economics of Education draws participants from many states, countries, universities, and organizations. While the papers often analyze high-income countries’ policies, most of the…
From the NBER Bulletin on Health
How Inspection Timing Affects Care Quality in US Nursing Homes
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Nursing homes certified by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to provide care and receive public reimbursement through Medicare and Medicaid are subject to mandatory annual inspections. While inspections are unannounced, they typically occur on an approximately yearly basis, as 74 percent of inspections take place between 40 and 60 weeks after the previous one. The average gap is around 53 weeks. Due to the cyclical nature of inspections, nursing home operators are able to anticipate when an inspection is likely and adjust their behavior accordingly. They appear to devote more effort to patient care when inspections are approaching.
In Predictably Unpredictable Inspections (NBER Working Paper 34491), Ashvin Gandhi, Andrew Olenski, and Maggie Shi study how the predictability of nursing home inspections shapes facility effort and patient...
From the NBER Bulletin on Entrepreneurship
Mixed Immigrant-Native Founding Teams Excel
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Roughly one-quarter of new employer businesses in the United States are started by immigrants. Immigrant inventors have been responsible for approximately 23 percent of US patents produced since 1976 despite making up only 16 percent of the total US-based inventor population. Yet immigrant entrepreneurs usually do not build companies in isolation—many cofound startups alongside US-born entrepreneurs. In Native-Immigrant Entrepreneurial Synergies (NBER Working Paper 33804), Zhao Jin, Amir Kermani, and Timothy McQuade examine whether startups cofounded by immigrant and native entrepreneurs outperform those with founders from exclusively one...
Featured Working Papers
Blake Jackson and Ilya A. Strebulaev compile a new data set on nearly 100,000 professionals in the US venture capital industry over the period 1996–2025. The sample covers nearly 96 percent of the funding disbursed by US venture capital firms. Favorable in investment returns are highly concentrated: the top 5 percent of VC investors account for roughly 90 percent of the sector’s profits.
The probability of retiring rises by 1.2 percentage points, or 12 percent of the baseline rate of about 10 percent, after a spouse is newly diagnosed with a health condition or experiences hospitalizations, according to Hyeran Chung, Haena Lee, and Sita Slavov. These retirements are concentrated among women and among those whose employers provide retiree health insurance coverage for both employees and their spouses.
Danish patients who initiated GLP-1 treatment took 17 percent less long-term sick leave over the following 4 years than similar patients who began treatment four years later, generating combined employer and public sector savings equal to nearly 1.5 percent of annual labor income per patient, according to N. Meltem Daysal, Camille JH. Fredrickson, Ida L. Kristiansen, Mircea Trandafir, and Jonathan Zhang.
Entry-level professional staff at US public accounting firms are paid 38 percent below their marginal revenue product while partners earn well above theirs, a pattern consistent with backloaded incentive pay, according to Michael Rubens and Bernardo S. Silveira.
Boys who were between the ages of 3 and 8 during the 1918 influenza pandemic and lived in high-mortality cities died roughly 11 months earlier than comparable boys in low-mortality cities, and displayed lower socioeconomic status as adults, according to Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher.
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