NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

 

Conference on China’s Growing Role in World Trade

 

Robert Feenstra and Shang-Jin Wei, Organizers

 

August 3-4, 2007

 

Wequassett Inn Resort

The Pavilion

 Chatham, Cape Cod, Massachusetts 

 

PROGRAM

 

Thursday, August 2: 

 

 

1:15 pm

Shuttle van departs NBER Cambridge Office for Wequassett Inn

 

 

7:00 pm

Reception and Dinner

 

 

 

 

Friday, August 3:

 

 

7:45 am

Continental Breakfast

 

 

8:30 am

Session 1.  International Trade

 

 

 

The Rising Sophistication of China’s Exports:  Assessing the Roles of Processing Trade, Foreign Invested Firms, Human Capital and Government Policies

 

ZHI WANG, International Trade Commission

 

SHANG-JIN WEI, IMF and NBER

 

 

 

Discussant:  GALINA HALE, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

 

 

9:20 am

An Anatomy of China’s Export Growth

 

MARY AMITI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

 

CAROLINE FREUND, IMF

 

 

 

Discussant:  BIN XU, China Europe International Business School

 

 

10:10 am

Break

 

 

10:40 am

China's Local Comparative Advantage

 

HAIYAN DENG, The Conference Board

 

JAMES HARRIGAN, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

 

 

 

Discussant:  CHONG XIANG, Purdue University

 

 

11:30 am

China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries

 

GORDON HANSON, UC, San Diego and NBER

 

RAYMOND ROBERTSON, Macalester College

 

 

 

Discussant:  IRENE BRAMBILLA, Yale University and NBER

 

 

12:20 pm

Lunch

 

 

1:20 pm

Session 2.  Macroeconomic Issues

 

 

 

China’s Exports and Employment

 

ROBERT FEENSTRA, UC, Davis and NBER

 

CHANG HONG, IMF

 

 

 

Discussant:  MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

 

 

2:10 pm

Exporting Deflation? Chinese Exports and Japanese Prices

 

CHRISTIAN BRODA, University of Chicago and NBER

 

DAVID WEINSTEIN, Columbia University and NBER

 

 

 

Discussant:  JOSHUA AIZENMAN, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

 

 

3:00 pm

Break

 

 

3:20 pm

China’s Current Account and Exchange Rate

 

YIN-WONG CHEUNG, UC, Santa Cruz

 

MENZIE CHINN, University of Wisconsin and NBER

 

EIJI FUJII, University of Tsukuba

 

 

 

Discussant:  JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

4:10 pm

Adjourn

 

 

7:00 pm

Reception and Dinner

 

 

 

Speaker:  TIMOTHY ADAMS, former Under Secretary for International Affairs, U.S. Treasury Department

 

 

 

 

Saturday, August 4: 

 

 

7:45 am

Continental Breakfast

 

 

8:30 am

Session 3.  Sectoral and Policy Issues

 

 

 

China’s WTO Entry:  Antidumping, Safeguards, and Dispute Settlement

 

CHAD BOWN, Brandeis University

 

 

 

Discussant:  THOMAS PRUSA, Rutgers University and NBER

 

 

9:20 am

China’s Experience Under the Multifiber Arrangement (MFA) and the Agreement on Textile and Clothing (ATC)

 

IRENE BRAMBILLA and PETER SCHOTT, Yale University and NBER

 

AMIT KHANDELWAL, Yale University

 

 

 

Discussant:  JOSEPH FRANCOIS, Johannes Kepler University Linz

 

 

10:10 am

Break

 

 

10:40 am

Agricultural Trade Reform and Rural Prosperity: Lessons from China

 

JIKUN HUANG and YU LIU, Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy

 

WILL MARTIN, World Bank

 

SCOTT ROZELLE, Stanford University

 

 

 

Discussant:  KYM ANDERSON, University of Adelaide

 

 

11:30 am

Trade Growth, Production Fragmentation, and China’s Environment

 

JUDITH DEAN, International Trade Commission

 

MARY LOVELY, Syracuse University

 

 

 

Discussant:  ARIK LEVINSON, Georgetown University and NBER

 

 

12:20 pm

Lunch

 

 

1:20 pm

Session 4.  Foreign Direct Investment

 

 

 

Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China

 

LEE BRANSTETTER, Carnegie Mellon University and NBER

 

C. FRITZ FOLEY, Harvard University and NBER

 

 

 

Discussant:  STEPHEN YEAPLE, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

 

 

2:10 pm

Please Pass the Catch-up:  The Relative Performance of Chinese and Foreign Firms in Chinese Exports, 1997-2005

 

BRUCE BLONIGEN, University of Oregon and NBER

 

ALYSON MA, University of San Diego

 

 

 

Discussant:  RAYMOND ROBERTSON, Macalester College

 

 

3:00 pm

Break

 

 

3:20 pm

China’s Outward FDI:  Past and Future

 

LEONARD CHENG, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

 

ZIHUI MA, Renmin University of China

 

 

 

Discussant:  NICHOLAS LARDY, Peterson Institute for International Economics

 

 

4:10 pm

Closing Comments

 

 

4:20 pm

Adjourn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7/24/07