NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

SUMMER INSTITUTE 2002

International Finance & Macroeconomics

Kathryn Dominguez and Allan Drazen, Organizers

Royal Sonesta Hotel

5 Cambridge Parkway

Cambridge, Massachusetts

July 15-19, 2002

PRELIMINARY PROGRAM



MONDAY, JULY 15:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries

Exchange Rate Determination

9:00 AM CHARLES ENGEL and KENNETH WEST,

University of Wisconsin, Madison and NBER

Exchange Rates and Fundamentals



Discussant: NELSON MARK, Ohio State University



10:00 AM Break



10:15 AM GIANCARLO CORSETTI, University of Rome III

LUCA DEDOLA, Bank of Italy

Macroeconomics of International Price Discrimination



Discussant: PIERPAOLO BENIGNO, New York University



11:15 AM Break



11:30 AM HARALD HAU, INSEAD

HELENE REY, Princeton University and NBER

Order Flows, Exchange Rates and Asset Prices



Discussant: RICHARD LYONS, UC, Berkeley and NBER



12:30 PM Lunch and Adjourn





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TUESDAY, JULY 16:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Exchange Rate Crises



9:00 AM GITA GOPINATH, University of Chicago

Lending Booms, Sharp Reversals and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics



Discussant: PHILIP LANE, Trinity College Dublin



10:00 AM Break



10:15 AM PIERRE-OLIVIER GOURINCHAS, Princeton University and NBER

OLIVIER JEANNE, International Monetary Fund

On the Benefits of Capital Account Liberalization



Discussant: ITAY GOLDSTEIN, Duke University



11:15 AM Break



11:30 AM ALESSANDRO PRATI, International Monetary Fund

MASSIMO SBRACIA, Bank of Italy

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals



Discussant: TOMAS DVORAK, Williams College



12:30 PM Lunch and Adjourn



WEDNESDAY, JULY 17:



NBER Currency Crises Conference

Directed By: Martin Feldstein and Jeffrey Frankel

ARGENTINA

Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey Frankel, Program Organizers

(Program to be announced)



6:00 PM Clambake

Harvard Faculty Club

20 Quincy Street

Cambridge, MA



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THURSDAY, JULY 18:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Central Bank Behavior



9:00 AM RICHARD PAYNE and PAOLO VITALE, London School of Economics

A Transaction Level Study of the Effects of Central Bank Intervention on Exchange Rates



Discussant: MARTIN EVANS, Georgetown University



10:00 AM Break



10:15 AM TAKATOSHI ITO, University of Tokyo and NBER

Is Foreign Exchange Intervention Effective?:

The Japanese Experiences in the 1990s



Discussant: JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER



11:15 AM Break



11:30 AM CARMEN REINHART and KENNETH ROGOFF,

International Monetary Fund and NBER

The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation



Discussant: AMARTYA LAHIRI, UC, Los Angeles



12:30 PM Lunch and Adjourn



FRIDAY, JULY 19:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Emerging Markets



9:00 AM ANDREW ROSE, UC, Berkeley and NBER

One Reason Countries Pay their Debts: Renegotiation and International Trade



Discussant: MARK AGUIAR, University of Chicago



10:00 AM Break



10:15 AM PETER BLAIR HENRY, Stanford University and NBER

Is Disinflation Good for the Stock Market



Discussant: ROBERTO RIGOBON, MIT and NBER



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11:15 AM Break



11:30 AM CHRISTOPH KLINGEN, International Monetary Fund

BEATRICE WEDER, University of Mainz

JEROMIN ZETTLEMEYER, International Monetary Fund

Estimating Returns to Emerging Market Lending, 1970-2000



Discussant: MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER



12:30 PM Lunch and Adjourn



6/25/02