NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.

SUMMER INSTITUTE 2002

Development of the American Economy

Jeremy Atack, William Collins, Peter Rousseau, and Robert Margo: Organizers

NBER

1050 Massachusetts Avenue

Cambridge, Massachusetts

July 15-18, 2002

PRELIMINARY PROGRAM



MONDAY, JULY 15:

8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Chair: JEREMY ATACK, Vanderbilt University and NBER



9:00 AM THOMAS WEISS and JOSHUA ROSENBLOOM, University of Kansas and NBER

PETER MANCALL, University of Southern California

The Value of the Diet in the Lower South in the 18th Century

9:50 AM Break



10:05 AM JOSEPH DAVIS, Duke University

A Quantity Based Annual Index of US Industrial Production, 1790-1915



10:55 AM Break

11:10 AM DOUG IRWIN, Dartmouth College and NBER

The Welfare Cost of Autarky:

Evidence from the Jeffersonian Embargo, 1807-1809



12:00 N Lunch



Chair: RICHARD STECKEL, Ohio State University and NBER



1:00 PM MICHAEL HAINES, Colgate University and NBER

J. DAVID HACKER, SUNY-Binghamton

The Puzzle of the U.S. Antebellum Fertility Decline:

New Evidence and Reconsideration

1:50 PM Break

2:05 PM CAROLYN MOEHLING, Yale University and NBER

TIM GUINNANE, Yale University

CORMAC O'GRADA, University of Dublin

The Fertility of the Irish in America in 1910



2:55 PM Break



SI02 DAE Program

page two



3:10 PM DORA COSTA, MIT and NBER

MATTHEW KAHN, Tufts University and NBER

The Changing Value of a Life Since 1940



4:00 PM Adjourn



TUESDAY, JULY 16:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Chair: BENJAMIN CHABOT, University of Michigan and NBER

9:00 AM LANCE DAVIS, Cal-Tech and NBER

LARRY NEAL, University of Illinois and NBER

EUGENE WHITE, Rutgers University and NBER

The Effect of Deflation on the First Global Capital Market:

The Financial Crises of the 1890's and the Responses of the Stock Exchanges in London New York, Paris and Berlin



9:50 AM Break



10:05 AM MICHAEL BORDO, Rutgers University and NBER

ANGELA REDISH, University of British Columbia

Is Deflation Depressing? Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard



10:55 AM Break



11:10 AM JOHN WALLIS, University of Maryland and NBER

An Internal Affair: American Macroeconomic and Monetary Instability



12:00 N Lunch



Chair: EUGENE WHITE, Rutgers University and NBER



1:00 PM BENJAMIN CHABOT, University of Michigan and NBER

Why Keep a Good House?

The Price of Exchange Rate Risk Between Gold Standard Regimes



1:50 PM Break



2:05 PM CHARLES CALOMIRIS, Columbia University and NBER

CARLOS RAMIREZ, George Mason University

The Political Economy of Bank Entry Restrictions: Theory and Evidence from the U.S. in the 1920's



2:55 PM Break



3:10 PM BOYAN JOVANOVIC, New York University and NBER

PETER ROUSSEAU, Vanderbilt University and NBER

Stock Markets in the New Economy

4:00 PM Adjourn



SI02 DAE Program

page three



WEDNESDAY, JULY 17



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Chair: PETER ROUSSEAU, Vanderbilt University and NBER



9:00 AM PRICE FISHBACK and SHAWN KANTOR, University of Arizona and NBER

RYAN JOHNSON, University of Arizona

The Impact of New Deal Relief on Crime Rates

9:50 AM Break



10:05 AM KRIS MITCHENER, Santa Clara University

Bank Supervision, Regulation, and Financial Instability

During the Great Depression



10:55 AM Break



11:10 AM CHRISTINA ROMER, UC, Berkeley and NBER

CHANG-TAI HSEIH, Princeton University

Was the Federal Reserve Fettered?



12:00 N Lunch



Chair: RICHARD STECKEL, Ohio State University



1:00 PM LEE ALSTON, University of Illinois and NBER

JEFFREY JENKINS, Michigan State University

KARA NORLIN, University of Illinois

The Salary Grab of 1873: Corruption or Efficiency Wage?



1:50 PM Break



2:05 PM NAOMI LAMOREAUX, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

JEAN-LAURENT ROSENTHAL, UC, Los Angeles

Organizational Choice and Economic Development: A Comparison of France and the United States During the Mid-19th Century



2:55 PM Break



3:10 PM KENNETH SOKOLOFF, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Exports and Manufacturing Productivity in East Asia:

A Comparative Analysis with Firm-Level Data

(Joint with MARY HALLWARD-DRIEMEIER and GIUSEPPE IAROSSI)



4:00 PM Adjourn

6:00 PM Clambake

Harvard Faculty Club

20 Quincy Street

Cambridge, MA



SI02 DAE Program

page four



THURSDAY, JULY 18:



8:30 AM Coffee and Pastries



Chair: ROBERT MARGO, Vanderbilt University and NBER



9:00 AM DARON ACEMOGLU, and SIMON JOHNSON, MIT and NBER

JAMES ROBINSON, UC, Berkeley

The Rise of Europe:

Atlantic Trade, Institutional Change, and Economic Growth



9:50 AM Break



10:05 AM CASEY MULLIGAN, University of Chicago and NBER

A Century of Labor-Leisure Distortions



10:55 AM Break



11:10 AM JEREMY GREENWOOD, University of Rochester

The Baby Boom and the Baby Bust: Some Macroeconomics for Population Economics and Engines of Liberation

Engines of Liberation

(Joint with ANANTH SESHADRI, GUILLAUME VANDENBROUCKE and MEHMET YORUKOGLU)



12:00 N Lunch



Chair: WILLIAM COLLINS, Vanderbilt University and NBER



1:00 PM SARAH REBER, Harvard University

Court-Ordered Desegregation:

Successes and Failures in Integrating American Schools Since Brown



1:50 PM Break



2:05 PM RICHARD STECKEL, Ohio State University and NBER

Net Nutrition over the Past Millennium:

Methodology and Some Results for Northern Europe



2:55 PM Break



3:10 PM ELIZABETH BRAINERD, Williams College

MARK SIEGLER, California State University, Sacramento

The Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Epidemic



4:00 PM Adjourn



6/25/02