Inflation lags (1) (2) (3) (4) VARIABLES LABELS Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation ur Unemployment rate -0.150*** -0.162*** -0.272*** -0.379*** [0.016] [0.019] [0.036] [0.052] pic Core CPI inflation lpic First lag 0.362*** 0.371*** 0.122*** 0.105*** [0.035] [0.036] [0.035] [0.034] epi 1 year ahead inflation expectations 0.598*** 0.589*** 0.259* 0.225 [0.058] [0.059] [0.147] [0.141] Observations 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 R-squared 0.321 0.350 0.450 0.487 Metro area FE No Yes No Yes Year FE No No Yes Yes Seasonal dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust standard errors in brackets *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1