Inflation lags (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) VARIABLES LABELS Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation ur Unemployment rate -0.150*** -0.162*** -0.272*** -0.379*** -0.500*** [0.016] [0.019] [0.036] [0.052] [0.103] pic Core CPI inflation lpic First lag 0.362*** 0.371*** 0.122*** 0.105*** 0.079** [0.035] [0.036] [0.035] [0.034] [0.033] epi 1 year ahead inflation expectations 0.598*** 0.589*** 0.259* 0.225 0.216 [0.058] [0.059] [0.147] [0.141] [0.139] Observations 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 R-squared 0.321 0.350 0.450 0.487 0.483 Metro area FE No Yes No Yes Yes Year FE No No Yes Yes Yes Seasonal dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Robust standard errors in brackets *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1