Aggregate Phillips Curve 1990-2018 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) VARIABLES LABELS Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation Core CPI inflation u_gap Unemployment gap -0.173** -0.143*** -0.045 -0.080** 0.519** [0.070] [0.044] [0.038] [0.038] [0.255] lug First lag -1.020** [0.448] l2ug Second lag 0.246 [0.442] l3ug Third lag 0.193 [0.242] E_pi Inflation expectations 1.285*** 0.589*** 0.636*** 0.610*** [0.172] [0.157] [0.164] [0.155] Core CPI inflation lpi First lag 0.352*** 0.235** 0.231** 0.257*** [0.106] [0.099] [0.099] [0.092] l2pi Second lag 0.417*** 0.308*** 0.306*** 0.298*** [0.091] [0.095] [0.095] [0.105] l3pi Third lag 0.066 -0.041 -0.042 -0.060 [0.085] [0.091] [0.091] [0.085] u_l Unemployment rate -0.081** [0.039] Constant Constant 2.501*** -0.997** 0.395** -0.370 -0.063 -0.419 [0.163] [0.436] [0.182] [0.279] [0.300] [0.272] Observations 114 114 114 114 114 114 L(0/3).u_l -0.0617 t-stat -1.624 se 0.0380 Standard errors in brackets *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1