Willem H.
Buiter
Email
(work): w.buiter@lse.ac.uk
Email
(home): willembuiter@btinternet.com
Publications:
BOOKS:
- Financial
Markets and European Monetary Cooperation; The
Lessons of the 92-93 ERM Crisis, with Giancarlo
Corsetti and
Paolo Pesenti, Cambridge University Press, 1998.
- International
Macroeconomics, Oxford University
Press, 1990.
- Principles of
Budgetary and Financial Policy,
Harvester Wheatsheaf Books, Ltd., 1990 and MIT Press, 1990.
- Macroeconomic
Theory and Stabilization Policy,
Manchester University Press, 1989 and University of Michigan Press,
1990.
- Budgetary
Policy, International and Intertemporal Trade
in the Global Economy, North-Holland, 1989.
- Temporary and
Long-Run Equilibrium, Garland
Publishing, Inc., New York, 1979.
ARTICLES IN REFEREED
PROFESSIONAL JOURNALS
- Why the United Kingdom
Should Join the Eurozone, International Finance, Volume 11, Number 3, Winter 2008, ISSN 1367-0271, pp. 269-282.
- "Vergrijzing is een verborgen
zegen", with Harry P. van Dalen, Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger, Joop Hartog, Kees
Koedijk en Arjen van Witteloostuijn, Kwartaalschrift
Economie, Nummer 4, 2007, pp. 421-436.
- "Economic,
Political, and Institutional Prerequisites for Monetary Union among the members of the Gulf Cooperation Council", paper presented at the Seminar
"Preparing for GCC Currency Union: Institutional Framework and Policy Options", November 20-21, 2007 in Dubai, UAE, forthcoming in the
Open Economies Review,2008.
- "Deflationary
Bubbles", with Anne C. Sibert,Macroeconomic Dynamics,
Volume 11, Issue
04, September 2007, pp 431-454.
- "Seigniorage
", economics - The Open-Access,
Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2007-10.
- "Is
Numérairology the Future of Monetary Economics? Unbundling
numéraire and medium of exchange through a virtual currency
with a shadow exchange rate", Open Economies Review,
Publisher Springer Netherlands; ISSN 0923-7992 (Print); 1573-708X
(Online). Electronic publication date: Thursday, May 03, 2007.
See
"Springer Website".
- "The
‘Sense and Nonsense of Maastricht’ revisited: What
have we learnt about stabilization in EMU?
" , Journal of Common Market Studies,
2006, Volume 44, Number 4, pp. 687-710.
- "Overcoming
the Zero Bound: Gesell vs.
Eisler; Discussion of Mitsuhiro Fukao's "The Effects of 'Gesell'
(Currency) Taxes in Promoting Japan's Economic Recovery" .
Discussion presented at the Conference on Macro/Financial Issues and
International Economic Relations: Policy Options for Japan and the
United States, October 22-23, 2004, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. International
Economics and Economic Policy, Volume 2, Numbers 2-3,
November 2005, pp. 189-200. Publisher: Springer-Verlag GmbH; ISSN:
1612-4804 (Paper) 1612-4812 (Online).
- "New
Developments in Monetary Economics:
two ghosts, two eccentricities, a fallacy, a mirage and a mythos",
Royal Economic Society 2004 Hahn Lecture. For an abstract, click here ;
The
Economic Journal,
Conference Papers, Vol. 115, No. 502, March 2005, pp. C1-C31. This is
an electronic version of an article published in The Economic Journal,
the journal of the Royal Economic Society. Complete citation
information for the final version of the paper, as published in the
print edition of The Economic Journal, is available on the Blackwell
Synergy online delivery service, accessible via the journal's website
at http://www.blackwellpublishing.com or
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com.
- "Two Naked
Emperors? Concerns about the
Stability and Growth Pact & Second Thoughts
about Central Bank Independence", IFS 2003 Annual Lecture.
For an
abstract, click here.
Fiscal Studies,
Vol. 25, No. 3, pp. 249-277, September 2004.
- "Patching
up the Pact; Some Suggestions
for Enhancing Fiscal Sustainability and Macroeconomic
Stability in an Enlarged European Union", with Clemens Grafe,
This
is an electronic version of an article published in The
Economics
of Transition, Volume 12 (1) 2004, pp. 67–102.
Complete citation
information for the final version of the paper, as published in the
print edition of The Economics of Transition is
available on
the Blackwell Synergy online delivery service, accessible via the
journal's website at
http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0967-0750
or
at
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com . For an abstract click here .
- "James
Tobin; an appreciation of his
contribution to economics", The Economic Journal.
, Volume
113, Issue 491, November 2003, pp. 585-631. For an abstract, click here .
- "Overcoming
the Zero Bound on Nominal
Interest Rates with Negative Interest on Currency: Gesell’s
Solution",
with Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Economic Journal,
Volume 113,
Issue 490, October 2003, pp. 723-746. For an abstract click here .
- "Anchor,
Float or Abandon Ship: Exchange
Rate Regimes for the Accession Countries", with Clemens
Grafe, in Banca
Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, No. 221, June 2002,
pp.
1-32. For an abstract, click here.
- "The Fiscal
Theory of the Price Level: A
Critique", Economic Journal, Vol 112,
July 2002, pp.
459-480. For an abstract, click here .
- "Notes on
'A Code for Fiscal Stability'", Oxford Economic
Papers, Vol
53, No 1, pp.1-19, January 2001.
- "Optimal
Currency Areas: Why Does the
Exchange Rate Regime Matter? With an Application to UK Membership in
EMU", Sixth Royal Bank of Scotland/Scottish Economic Society
Annual
Lecture, given at the Royal College of Physicians, Edinburgh, on
Tuesday, 26 October 1999. Scottish Journal of Political
Economy,
Vol. 47, No 3, August 2000, pp.213-250.
- "Six
Months in the Life of the Euro;
What Have We Learnt?", Tijdschrift voor Politieke
Economie,
21(4), October 1999, pp. 4-25.
- "The EMU
and the NAMU: What is the Case
for North American Monetary Union?", Canadian
Public
Policy/Analyse de Politiques, September 1999.
- "UDROP: A Contribution
to the New International Financial
Architecture", International Finance, Vol. 2, No.
2, pp.
227-247, July 1999, with Anne
C. Sibert.
- "Alice in Euroland", Journal
of Common Market Studies,
Vol. 37, No. 2, pp. 181-209, June 1999.
- "Enterprise
Performance and Macroeconomic Control", with
Ricardo Lago and Nicholas Stern, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro
Quarterly Review, No. 200, March 1997, pp. 3-22.
- "Generational
Accounts, Aggregate Saving and
Intergenerational Distribution", Economica, 64,
1997, pp.
605-26.
- "A Portfolio Approach
to a Cross-Sectoral and Cross-National
Investment Strategy in Transition Economies", with
Hélène
Rey and Ricardo Lago, Economics of Transition,
Volume 5 (1),
pp. 63-96, 1997.
- "The economic case for
monetary union in the European
Union", in C. Deissenberg, R.F. Owen and D. Ulph eds, European
Economic Integration, supplement to the Review of International
Economics, 5(4), 1997, pp. 10-35; also in Proceedings
of the
Royal Netherlands Academy of Sciences, Amsterdam, 1996.
- "Politique
Macroéconomique dans la période de
transition vers l'union monétaire", Revue
d'Economie
Politique, 105(5) September/October 1995, pp. 897-46.
- "Capital mobility,
fiscal policy and growth with
self-financing of human capital formation", with Kenneth M. Kletzer, Canadian
Journal of Economics, special issue in Memory of Doug Purvis,
edited by M.Devereux and A. Gregory, Vol 28, November 1995, pp. S.
163-S194.
- "Permanent
international producitivity growth differentials
in an integrated global economy", with Kenneth M. Kletzer, Scandinavian
Economic Journal, 95, , 1993, pp. 467-493.
- "Excessive deficits:
sense and nonsense in the Treaty of
Maastricht", with Giancarlo Corsetti and Nouriel Roubini, Economic
Policy, 1993 (1); translated into Italian and published as
"Disavanzo eccessivo,ragionevolezza e nonsensov nel Trattato di
Maastricht", in Rivista Di Politica Economica, June
1993,
pp.3-82. Reprinted in The Political Economy of Monetary Union,
Edited by Paul de Grauwe, pp. 297-331, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd,
Cheltenham, 2001.
- "Who's Afraid of the
National Debt?", with Kenneth M.
Kletzer, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings,
May
1992.
- "Fiscal policy
coordination as fiscal federalism", with
Kenneth M.Kletzer, European Economic Review, 36,
pp. 647-653,
April 1992.
- "Persistent
Differences in National Productivity Growth
Rates with a Common Technology and Free Capital Mobility; the roles of
public debt, capital taxation and policy towards human capital
formation", with Kenneth M. Kletzer, Journal of the Japanese
and
International Economies, 5, pp.325-353, Dec 1991.
- "Debt, deficits and
inflation: an application to the public
finances of India", with Urjit R. Patel, Journal of Public
Economics,
47, 1992, pp. 171-205; also in Amaresh Bagchi and Nicholas Stern eds. Tax
Policy and Planning in Developing Countries, pp. 94-131,
Oxford
University Press, 1994.
- "The Welfare Economics
of Cooperative and Non-Cooperative
Fiscal Policy", with Kenneth M. Kletzer, Journal of Economic
Dynamics and Control, 15, 1991, pp. 215-244, reprinted in the
International
Journal of Development Banking, Vol 10, No.2, July 1992, pp.
3-21.
- "Debt Neutrality,
Professor Vickrey and Henry George's
`Single Tax'," Economics Letters, 29, 1989, 43-47.
- "A Viable Gold
Standard Requires Flexible Monetary and
Fiscal Policy," Review of Economic Studies, January
1989,
101-117.
- "Structural and
Stabilization Aspects of Fiscal and
Financial Policy in the Dependent Economy," Oxford Economic
Papers,
40 1988, 220-245.
- "Death, Birth,
Productivity Growth and Debt Neutrality," Economic
Journal, 98 June 1988. 279-293.
- "Efficient 'Myopic'
Asset Pricing in General Equilibrium: A
Potential Pitfall in Excess Volatility Tests," Economics
Letters,
25 1987, 143-148.
- "A Fiscal Theory of
Hyperdeflations? Some Surprising
Monetarist Arithmetic," Oxford Economic Papers,
39(3), 1987,
111-118; reprinted in Prices, Quantities and Expectations,
P.J.N. Sinclair (ed.), Clarendon Press, Oxford, 1987, 111-118.
- "Borrowing to Defend
the Exchange Rate and the Timing and
Magnitude of Speculative Attacks," Journal of International
Economics, 23, August 1987, 221-239.
- "A Guide to Public
Sector Debt and Deficits," Economic
Policy, 1(1), November 1985, 13-79.
- "Granger-Causality and
Policy Effectiveness," Economica,
51, May 1984, 151-162; reprinted in Monetary Policy and
Uncertainty,
M.J.M. Neuman (ed.), Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, Baden-Baden, 1986,
161-172.
- "Controllability and
the Theory of Economic Policy, a
Further Note," with M. Gersovitz, Journal of Public Economics,
24, 1984, 127-129.
- "Government Debt in an
Overlapping Generations Model with
Bequests and Gifts: A Rejoinder," with J. Carmichael, American
Economic Review, 74(4), 1984, 762-765.
- "Expectations and
Control Theory," Economie
Appliquée, Tome XXXVI, 1983, No. 1, 129-156.
- "Saddlepoint Problems
in Continuous Time Rational
Expectations Models: A General Method and Some Macroeconomic Examples,"
Econometrica, 52 May 1984, 665-680.
- "Real effects of
Anticipated and Unanticipated Money: Some
problems of Estimation and Hypothesis Testing," Journal of
Monetary
Economics, March 1983, 207-224.
- "Predetermined and
Non-Predetermined Variables in Rational
Expectations Models," Economics Letters, 1982,
49-54.
- "Real Exchange Rate
Overshooting and the Output Cost of
Bringing Down Inflation," with M. Miller, European Economic
Review,
18, May/June 1982, 85-123.
- "Staggered
Wage Setting with Real Wage
Relativities: Variations on a Theme of Taylor", with I.
Jewitt, Manchester
School, September 1981, 211-228.
- "The Superiority of
Contingent Rules over Fixed Rules in
Models with Rational Expectations," Economic Journal,
91,
September 1981, 647-670.
- "Crowding Out of
Private Capital Formation by Government
Borrowing in the Presence of Intergenerational Gifts and Bequests," Greek
Economic Review, 2, August 1980, 111-142.
- "Monetary Policy and
International Competitiveness: The
Problems of Adjustment," with M. Miller, Oxford Economic
Papers,
33, July 1981, Supplement, 143-144; also in The Money Supply
and
the Exchange Rate, W.A. Eltis and P.J.N. Sinclair (eds.),
Clarendon
Press, Oxford, 1981.
- "Time Preference and
International Lending and Borrowing in
an Overlapping Generations Model," Journal of Political
Economy,
89 August 1981, 769-797.
- "Issues in
Controllability and the Theory of Economic
Policy," with M. Gersovitz, Journal of Public Economics,
15
February 1981.
- "Keynesian Balance of
Payments Models: Comment," with J.
Eaton, American Economic Review, 71 September 1981,
784-795.
- "The Macroeconomics of
Dr. Pangloss: A Critical Survey of
the New Classical Macroeconomics," Economic Journal,
March
1980, 34-50; Italian translation: "La Macroeconomica Del Dott.
Pangloss: Un Esame Critico Della Nuova Macroecomnomica Classica," in Instituto
Nazionale per Lo Studio Della Conguiuntura, Rassegna Della Letteratura
Sui Cicli Economici, Le Aspettative Razionali e La Teoria Macroeconomica,
135-161. Reprinted in Economic Policy, Paul
Whiteley ed. Edwar
Elgar Publishing Ltd, 1997
- "Walras' Law and All
That", International Economic Review,
21 February 1980, 1-16.
- "Unemployment-Inflation
Trade-Offs with Rational
Expectations in an Open Economy," Journal of Economic
Dynamics and
Control, June 1979, 117-141.
- "How Successful has
Stabilization Policy been in the
Netherlands? A Neo-Keynesian Perspective," with R.F. Owen, De
Economist, March 1979.
- "Short-Run and
Long-Run Effects of External Disturbances
Under a Floating Exchange Rate," Economica, August
1978.
- "A Didactic Note on
the Transactions Demand for Money and
Behavior Towards Risk," with C.A. Armstrong, Journal of
Money,
Credit and Banking, November 1978.
- "Some Unfamiliar
Properties of a Familiar Macroeconomic
Model," with H. Lorie, Economic Journal, December
1977, 743-754.
- "Short-Run and
Long-Run Disequilibrium in Dynamic
Macromodels," Southern Economic Journal, July 1977.
- "'Crowding out' and
the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy," Journal
of Public Economics, 7, 1977.
- "On Two Specifications
of Asset Equilibrium in Macroeconomic
Models: A Note," with G. Woglom, Journal of Political Economy,
85(2), 1977.
OTHER TECHNICAL
ARTICLES
- "Monetary Economics and the Political Econonomy of Central Banking: Inflation Targeting and Central Bank Independence Revisited", in Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty; Proceedings of the 2007 Money and Banking Seminar,
Banco Central de la República Argentina, Jorge Carrera ed., pp. 218 - 243, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 2008.
-
"Central
banks and financial crises", paper presented
at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s symposium on
“Maintaining Stability in a Changing Financial System”, at Jackson
Hole,
Wyoming, on August 21-23, 2008.
- "How the
Eurosystem's Open-Market Operations Weaken
Financial Market Discipline (and what to do about it)" ,
with Anne
C. Sibert; in Fiscal Policy and the Road to the Euro,
National Bank of Poland, Warsaw, October 2006, pp. 29-58.
- "Stabilisation
policy in New Zealand:
Counting your blessings, one by one" , in Bob Buckle and
Aaron Drew Editors, Testing Stabilisation Policy Limits in a
Small Open Economy
Proceedings from a Macroeconomic Policy Forum pp. 37-74,
October 2006, © 2006 Reserve Bank of New Zealand and The Treasury,
ISBN 0-9582675-2-9.
- "Excessive
Budget Deficits, a Government-Abused Financial System, and Fiscal
Rules" , with Urjit R. Patel. Paper presented at the
Brookings Institution-NCAER India Policy Forum Second Conference, July
2005
in Delhi, India. Published in Suman Bery, Barry Bosworth and Arvind
Panagariya Editors, India Policy Forum 2005/2006,
pp. 1-54, SAGE Publications, New Delhi/Thousand Oaks/London, 2006.
- "Nature’s
blessing or nature’s curse:
the political economy of transition in resource-based economies",
with Akram Esanov and Martin Raiser, in Richard M Auty and Indra de
Soysa eds. Energy, Wealth and Governance in the Caucasus and
Central Asia; Lessons not learned.
Routledge, London and New York, 2006, pp. 39-56. For an abstract,
click here.
- "Should We
Worry about Deflation?
Prevention and Cure",2003 McKenna Lecture on
International Trade
and Economics; Perspective on the Economy. Lowe Institute of
Political Economy, Claremont, CA, 2004; for an abstract, click here .
- “Joys
and
Pains of Public Debt”, in P. de Gijsel and H.
Schenk (eds.) Multidisciplinary
Economics: the Birth of a New Economics Faculty in the Netherlands.
Springer, the Netherlands, 2005, pp. 209-224.
- "To
Purgatory and Beyond; When and how
should the accession countries from Central and Eastern Europe become
full members of the EMU?". For an abstract, click here
.In Fritz Breuss and Eduard Hochreiter (eds.) Challenges for
Central Banks in an Enlarged EMU, SpringerWienNewYork, 2005,
pp. 145-186.
- "The
return of deflation: what can
central banks do?”, in Hugh Stevenson editor, Challenges
for
Europe, Palgrave Macmillan, Basingstoke, Hampshire 2004, pp.
46-74.
For an abstract click here.
- "Corporate
Governance in Developing,
Transition and Emerging–Market Economies", with
Charles Oman and
Steven Fries, OECD Development Centre Policy Brief No. 23, 2003. For an
abstract, click here.
- "The case of
privatisation of network
utilities", with Maria Vagliasindi, in Structural
Challenges
for Europe , Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell and Peter Mooslechner
eds.,
pp. 355-387. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham UK, 2003.
- “EMU
or
Ostrich?”, with Clemens Grafe,
in H. M. Treasury, EMU study; Submissions on EMU from leading
academics, pp. 23-42, HMSO, London, UK, June 2003.
- "Capital
account liberalization and
financial sector development in transition countries", with
Anita
Taci, in Age F. P. Bakker and Bryan Chapple eds. Capital
Liberalization in Transition Countries: Lessons from the Past and for
the Future , pp. 105-141. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2003
- "Reforming
EMU's fiscal policy rules;
some suggestions for enhancing fiscal sustainability and macroeconomic
stability in an enlarged European Union", with Clemens Grafe,
in
Marco Buti ed. Monetary and Fiscal Policies in EMU:
Interactions
and Coordination, Cambridge University Press, 2003, 92-145.
For an
abstract click
here .
- "Debt in Transition
Economies: Where is it Heading, What can
be Done About it?", with Ricardo Lago, Revue
D'économie
Financière, Special Issue, Ten Years of Transition
in
Eastern European Countries, Achievements and Challenges, 2001, pp.
191-213.
- Central
Banking and the Choice of
Currency Regime in Accession Countries, with
Clemens Grafe.
Lecture given on October 26, 2000 at the University of Warsaw.
Published as the SUERF Studies No. 11, Société
Universitaire Européenne de Recherches
Financières,
Vienna, 2001; republished in Revue D'économie
Financière, Special Issue, Ten Years of Transition
in
Eastern European Countries, Achievements and Challenges, 2001, pp.
287-318.
- "Liquidity
Traps: How to Avoid Them
and How to Escape Them", with Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, in Reflections
on Economics and Econometrics, Essays in Honour of Martin Fase,
edited by Wim F.V. Vanthoor and Joke Mooij, 2001, pp. 13-58, De
Nederlandsche Bank NV, Amsterdam.
- "Designing
a Monetary Authority",
with Anne
C. Sibert, in Challenges for Central Banking,
edited by
Anthony M. Santomero, Staffan Viotti and Andres Vredin, Kluwer Academic
Publishers, Boston/Dordrecht/London, 2001, pp. 173-185.
- "International
Financial Institutions -
Adapting to a World of Private Capital Flows", with Hans
Peter
Lankes, mimeo European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 2001,
forthcoming in Dilip Das, Editor, Perspectives in Global
Finance,
Routledge, London & New York.
- "Is Iceland an Optimal
Currency Area?", in Màr
Gudmundsson, Tryggvi Thor Herbertsson and Gylfi Zoega, eds., Macroeconomic
Policy; Iceland in an Era of Global Integration, University
of
Iceland Press, Reykjavik, 2000, pp. 33-55.
- "The New Economy and
the Old Monetary Economics", Bank
of England Quarterly Bulletin, Vol 40(2), May 2000, pp.
173-183.
- "Macroeconomic
Influences on Transition and Financial
Reforms", in Maria I. Blejer and Marko Skreb eds. Financial
Sector
Transformation: Lessons from Economies in Transition,
Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge UK, 1999, with Ricardo Lago and
Hélène Rey.
- "Interpreting the ERM
crisis: Country-specific and systemic
issues", with Giancarlo Corsetti and Paolo Pesenti, Princeton
Studies in International Finance No. 84, March 1998,
International
Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University.
- "Aspects
of Fiscal Performance in Some
Transition Economies under Fund-Supported Programs", in Gary
Saxonhouse and T.N. Srinivasan eds. Development, Duality, and
the
International Economic Regime: Essays in Honor of Gustav Ranis,
University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 1998, pp. 398-451.
- "Transition Issues for
the European Monetary Union", with Anne
C. Sibert, in De EMU in Breed Perspectief;
Preadviezen 1997,
Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde, pp. 1-17.
Uitgeverij LEMMA BV, Utrecht, 1997.
- "Uses and Limitations
of Public Debt", with
Kenneth M. Kletzer, in
Steven Brakman, Hans van Ees and Simon K. Kuipers eds. Market
Behaviour and Macroeconomic Modelling, MacMillan Press Ltd,
London,
1998, pp. 275-307.
- "Monetary Union and
the Role of Automatic Stabilizers", with
Kenneth M. Kletzer, in Jean-Olivier Hairault, Pierre-Yves
Hénin
and Franck Portier eds., Business Cycles and Macroeconomic
Stability,
Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, Dordrecht, London, 1997, pp.
109-147.
- "Promoting an
Effective Market Economy in a Changing World",
with Ricardo Lago and Nicholas Stern, in Istvàn P.
Székely and Richard Sabot eds, Development
Strategy and
Management of the Market Economy, Volume II, pp. 11-90,
Clarendon
Press, Oxford, 1997.
- "Solvency and Fiscal
Correction in India: an Analytical
Discussion, with Urjit R. Patel., in Public Finance; Policy
Issues
for India, S. Mundle ed., pp. 30-75, Oxford University Press,
1997.
- "Budgetary aspects of
stabilization and structural
adjustment in India: the painful road to a sustainable
fiscal-financial- monetary plan", with Urjit R. Patel, in Mario I
Blejer and Teresa Ter-Minassian eds. Macroeconomic Dimensions
of
Public Finance; Essays in Honor of Vito Tanzi, 1998.
- "Saving and Endogenous
Growth: A Survey of Theory and
Policy", in A. Heertje ed. World Savings, Theory and Policy,
Blackwell Publishers, 1993, pp.64-99.
- "Anomalous Speculative
Attacks on Fixed Exchange Rate
Regimes; Possible Resolutions of the "Gold Standard Paradox"", with
Vittorio U. Grilli, in Paul Krugman and Marcus Miller eds. Exchange
Rates and Currency Bands, Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge,
U.K., 1991, pp. 140-176.
- "Reflections
on the fiscal
implications of a common currency", with Kenneth M. Kletzer,
in
Alberto Giovannini and Colin Mayer eds., European Financial
Integration, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1991,
pp.221-244.
- "Can Public Spending
Cuts be Inflationary?", in W.H. Buiter, Principles of
Budgetary and Financial Policy, MIT Press,
1990.
- "Some Thoughts on the
Role of Fiscal Policy in Stabilization
and Structural Adjustment in Developing Countries", in W.H. Buiter, Principles
of Budgetary and Financial Policy, MIT Press 1990.
- "Debt Neutrality,
Redistribution and Consumer Heterogeneity:
A Survey and Some Extensions," in Money, Macroeconomics and
Economic Policy; Essays in Honor of James Tobin, W.C.
Brainard et
al. (eds.), MIT Press, 1991.
- "The Right Combination
of Demand and Supply Policies: The
Case for a Two-Handed Approach," in Macro and Micro Policies
for
More Growth and Employment, H. Giersch (ed.), Kiel Institute
of
World Economics, 1988, 305-345.
- "Fiscal Prerequisites
for a Viable Managed Exchange Rate
Regime," in Wisselkoersen in een Veranderende Wereld,
Preadvies van
de Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde, 1986, Stenfert
Kroese,
Leiden, Antwerpen, 1986, 99-117.
- "Fiscal Policy in Open
Interdependent Economies," in Economic
Policy in Theory and Practice, A. Razin and E. Sadka (eds.),
Macmillan, London, 1987, 101-144.
- "Macroeconomic Policy
Design in an Interdependent World
Economy: An Analysis of Three Contingencies," International
Monetary Fund Staff Papers, September 1986, 541-582; also in
International Aspects of Fiscal Policies, J.A. Frenkel (ed.),
University of Chicago Press, 1988.
- "Policy
Evaluation and Design for
Continuous Time Linear Rational Expectations Models: Some Recent
Developments", in Prices, Competition and
Equilibrium,
M.H. Peston and R.E. Quandt (eds.), 1986, Barnes & Noble Books,
84-108.
- "International
Monetary Policy to
Promote Economic Recovery", in Monetary
Conditions for
Economic Recovery, C. van Ewijk and J.J. Klant (eds.),
Financial
and Monetary Policy Studies 11, Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht,
1985.
- "Allocative and
Stabilization Aspects of Budgetary Financial
Policy: An Inaugural Lecture", London School of Economics and
Political Science, 1984. Also in W.H. Buiter, Principles
of
Budgetary and Financial Policy, MIT Press, 1990.
- "The Trade-Off Between
inflation and Unemployment," with
Marcus H. Miller, in Out of Work: Perspectives on Mass
Unemployment,
Department of Economics, University of Warwick, 1984.
- "The Theory of Optimum
Deficits and Debt," in The
Economics of Large Government Deficits, Federal Reserve Bank
of
Boston, Conference Series No. 27, October 1983, 4-69.
- "Costs
and Benefits of an
Anti-Inflationary Policy: Questions and Issues", in Inflation
and Unemployment: Theory, Experience and Policy-Making, V.E.
Argy
and J.W. Nevile (eds.), George Allen & Unwin, London, 1985,
11-38.
- "Changing the Rules:
Economic Consequences of the Thatcher
Regime, with M.H. Miller, Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity,
2, 1983.
- "International Balance
of Payments Financing and
Adjustment," with J. Eaton, in International Money and
Credit: The
Policy Roles, G. von Furstenberg (ed.), International
Monetary
Fund, Washington, DC 1983.
- "Policy
Decentralization and Exchange Rate Management in
Interdependent Economies," with J. Eaton, in J.S. Bhandari (ed.),
Exchange Rate Management Under Uncertainty, pp. 31-54,
Cambridge,
Mass, MIT Press, 1985.
- "Measurement of the
Public Sector Deficit and Its
Implications for Policy Evaluation and Design," International
Monetary Fund Staff Papers, June 1983.
- "Monetary and Fiscal
Policy with Flexible Exchange Rates,"
with William H. Branson, in Economic Interdependence and
Flexible
Exchange Rates, Jagdeep S. Bhandari and Bluford H. Putnam,
with Jay
H. Levin (eds.), MIT University Press, 1983, 351-381.
- "Real Exchange Rate
Overshooting and the Output Costs of
Bringing Down Inflation: Some Further Results," with M. Miller, in Exchange
Rates and International Macroeconomics, Jacob Frenkel (ed.),
Chicago University Press, 1983.
- "The Thatcher
Experiment: An Interim Report," with M.
Miller, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,
1981, II,
315-367; translated in abbreviated form, "I Primi Due Anni Dell
Esperimento Thatcher," in Problemi del Socialismo/26, Crisi
Dello
Sviluppo E. Politiche Dell 'Offerta Negli Anni '80, Franco
Angeli
(ed.), January-April 1983, 52-63.
- "Macroeconomic
Modelling for Policy Evaluation and Design,"
in Bank of England, The Usefulness of Macroeconomic Models;
papers
presented to the Panel of Academic Consultants, No. 14, March
1981,
15-38.
- "Monetary, Financial
and Fiscal Policy Under Rational
Expectations," International Monetary Fund Staff Papers,
27,
December 1980, 758-813.
- "Oil, Disinflation and
Export Competitiveness: A Model of
the 'Dutch Disease'," with Douglas D. Purvis, in Economic
Interdependence and Flexible Exchange Rates, Jagdeep S.
Bhandari
and Bluford H. Putnam with Jay H. Levin (eds.), MIT University Press,
1983, 221-247.
- "The Role of Economic
Policy After the New Classical
Macroeconomics" in Macroeconomic Analysis, D.
Currie, R. Nobay
and D.A. Peel (eds.), Croom Helm, London, 1981, 233-295.
- "Implications for the
Adjustment Process of International
Asset Risks," in The Internationalization of Financial
Markets and
National Economic Policy, R.G. Hawkins, R.M. Levich and G.G.
Wihlborg (eds.), Jai Press, Inc., 1983, 69-102.
- "Debt Neutrality: A
Brief Review of Doctrine and Evidence,"
with J. Tobin, in Social Security Versus Private Saving,
G. von
Furstenberg (ed.), Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1979.
- "Government Finance in
an Overlapping Generations Model with
Gifts and Bequests," in Social Security Versus Private Saving,
G. von Furstenberg (ed.), Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1979.
- "Fiscal and Monetary
Policies, Capital Formation and
Economic Activity," with J. Tobin, in The Government and
Capital
Formation, G. von Furstenberg (ed.), Ballinger, Cambridge,
Massachusetts, 1980.
- "Optimal Foreign
Exchange Market Intervention with Rational
Expectations," in Trade and Payments Adjustment Under
Flexible
Exchange Rates, J. Martin and A. Smith (eds.), Macmillan,
1979.
- "Long-Run Effects of
Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Aggregate
Demand," with J. Tobin, Ch. IV in Monetarism: Studies in
Monetary
Economics, North-Holland, 1976.
ACADEMIC BOOK REVIEWS,
COMMENTS AND DISCUSSIONS
- "Central
Banks as Economic Institutions: a Roundtable Debate",
based on my contribution to the Roundtable: Central Banks as Economic
Institutions, held in Paris at the headquarters of the Saint-Gobain
Group, on November 30 and December 1, 2006, at the Conference Central
Banks as Economic Institutions, organised by the Cournot Centre for
Economic Studies;
forthcoming in the conference volume for this Conference.
- “Comment”
on “Regional Banks and Regionalism: A New Frontier
for Development Financing”, by Robert Devlin and Lucio
Castro, in Nancy
Birdsall and Liliana Rojas-Suarez eds. Financing Development,
the
Power of Regionalism, Center for Global Development,
Washington DC,
September 2004, pp. 91-95.
- “Comments
on Kenneth M. Kletzer: “Sovereign bond
restructuring: collective action clauses and official crisis
intervention”, in Andrew G. Haldane ed. Fixing
Financial Crises in
the Twenty-first Century , Routledge International Studies
in
Money and Banking, Routledge, London and New York, 2004, pp. 254-257.
- "Discussion of
“Macroeconomic Adjustment to Structural
Change” by Gabriel Fagan, Vitor Gaspar and Alfredo Pereira,
forthcoming
in György Szapáry ed. , Edward Elgar Publishing,
2003.
- "Comment on
'Current Account Deficits in
the Euro Area. The End of the Feldstein Horioka Puzzle?'", by
Olivier Blanchard and Francesco Giavazzi, Brooking Papers on
Economic Activity, 2002, II, pp. 187-196.
- "Discussion of Jose M.
Campa, P.H. Kevin Chang and Robert L.
Leider, 'ERM
Bandwiths for EMU and after: evidence from foreign exchange options'", Economic
Policy, 24, April 1997, pp 81-83.
- "Comment on Richard N.
Cooper, 'Is growth in developing
countries beneficial to developed countries?'", in Annual
World
Bank Conference on Development Economics, 1995, pp. 276-283,
Washington D.C., the World Bank.
- "Comment on Peter
Garber, 'The Collapse of the Bretton Woods
Fixed Exchange Rate Regime'",in Michael D. Bordo and Barry Eichengreen
eds. A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System,
University of
Chicago Press, Chicago, pp.485-493.
- "Comment on Sweder van
Wijnbergen, 'Growth, External Debt
and the Real Exchange Rate'", in Mexico's Search for a New
Development Strategy, Westview Press, 1990, 244-250.
- "Comment on J.A.
Frenkel, A. Razin and S. Symansky,
'International Spillovers of Taxation'", in International
Aspects
of Taxation, J. Slemrod (ed.), University of Chicago Press,
1990.
- "Comment on J.C.
Siebrand, 'Macroeconomic Modelling for
Economic Policy'", in Challenges for Macroeconomic Modelling,
W. Driehuis, M.M.G. Fase and H. Den Hartog (eds.), North-Holland,
Amsterdam, 1988, 137-145.
- "Comment on Charles R.
Bean, 'Sterling Misalignment and
British Trade Performance'", in Misalignment of Exchange
Rates:
Effects on Trade and Industry, University of Chicago Press,
1988,
69-75.
- "Comment on K.
Kletzer, 'External Borrowing by LDCs: A
Survey of Theoretical Issues'", in The State of Development
Economics, G. Ranis and T. Paul Schultz (eds.), Basil
Blackwell,
1988, G13-G16.
- "Comment on Rubinstein
and Fershtman", in R.C. Bryant and R.
Portes (eds.), Global Macroeconomics, Macmillan
Press, 1987,
66-72.
- "Comment on Paul H.
Courant, 'Fiscal Policy and European
Economic Growth'", in Barriers to European Growth, A
Transatlantic
View, R.Z. Lawrence and C.L. Schultze (eds.), The Brookings
Institution, Washington, DC, 1987, 492-501.
- "An Empirical
Investigation of the Long-Run Behavior of Real
Exchange Rates. Comment on the Huizinga Paper", Carnegie-Rochester
Conference Series on Public Policy, 27 Autumn 1987, 215-223.
- "Comment on M.P.
Dooley, 'The Role of Reserves in the
International Monetary System'", in Problems of International
Money,
1972-85, M. Posner, (ed.), International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC,
1986, 109-112.
- "The Role of Economic
Management," Catalyst 1(1),
Spring 1985, 73-86.
- "Comment on L.
Katseli, 'Real Exchange Rates in the 1970s'",
in Exchange Rate Theory and Practice, J.F.O. Bilson
and R.C.
Marston (eds.), NBER, University of Chicago Press, 1984, 321-330.
- "Comment on T.J.
Sargent and N. Wallace, 'Some Unpleasant
Monetarist Arithmetic'," in Monetarism in the United Kingdom,
B. Griffiths and G.E. Wood (eds.), Macmillan, London, 1984, 42-60.
- "Comment on W.H.
Branson, 'Exchange Rate Policy after a
Decade of Floating'", in Exchange Rate Theory and Practice,
J.F.O. Bilson and R.C. Marston (eds.), NBER, University of Chicago
Press, 1984, 108-112.
- "Review of R.E. Lucas
and T.J. Sargent, 'Rational
Expectations and Econometric Practice'", Economic Journal,
June
1983, 442-445.
- "Discussion of R.
Dornbusch, 'Flexible Exchange Rates and
Interdependence'", International Monetary Fund Staff Papers,
30
March 1983, 35-38.
- "Comment on Paul
Krugman, 'The Real Wage Gap and
Employment'", Annales de l'INSéE, 47-48
July-December
1982, 71-80.
- "Discussion of David
Currie, 'Macroeconomic Policy and the
Government Financing Requirement: A Survey of Recent Developments'", in
Studies in Contemporary Economic Analysis, Vol.
1, Michael
Artis and R. Nobay (eds.), Croon Helm, London, 1978.
- "Review of 'The
Monetary Approach to the Balance of
Payments, A Collection of Research Papers by Members of the
International Monetary Fund'", De Economist,
126(3), 1978,
418-422.
NON-TECHNICAL
PUBLICATIONS
- "The Overwhelming Economic Case for the United Kingdom Adopting the Euro" , in Britain Should Join the Euro: Essays on the 10th Anniversary of the Launch of the European Single Currency, edited by Graham Bishop, Willem H. Buiter, Brendan Donnelly and Will Hutton. John Stevens Publisher, London, UK. ISBN: 0956179908, EAN/ISBN13: 9780956179906.
- "The Icelandic banking crisis and what to do about it:
The lender of last resort theory of optimal currency areas", CEPR Policy Insight No. 26, October 2008.
- "Can Central Banks Go Broke?", CEPR Policy Insight No. 24, May 2008.
- "Lessons
from the 2007 financial crisis"; paper submitted in evidence to the UK Treasury Select Committee in connection with my
appearance before the Committee on Tuesday, 13 November 2007; abstract here;
published as CEPR
Policy Insight No. 18, December 2007.
- "Clipping
central bankers' wings", Central Banking,
Vol. XVIII.2, pp. 28-32, November 2007.
- "Targets,
Instruments and Institutional Arrangements for
an Effective Monetary Authority", Seventh L.K. Jha Memorial
Lecture,
Reserve Bank of India, October 2000, Mumbai, India, with Anne C.
Sibert. in L.K. Jha
Memorial Lecture Series, Reserve Bank of India, pp. 117 - 146; 2007,
Mumbai, India.
- "Over goede intenties
en de harde wetten van de woningmarkt", with Harry van Dalen, Sylvester
Eijffinger, Kees Koedijk, Coen Teulings and Arjen van Witteloostuijn, Tijdschrift
voor Politieke Economie, 27, 6, 2006, pp. 20-42.
- "When
Should the New Central European Members Join the Eurozone?",
with Anne C. Sibert, Ban?ni vestnik - The Journal for Money
and Banking of the Bank Association of Slovenia, Special Issue, Small
Economies in the Euro Area: Issues, Challenges and Opportunities,
11/2006, pp. 5-11.
- "The ECB and
M3: From Pillar to Post?", with Erik F. Nielsen and Daniel
Vernazza, in Goldman Sachs European Weekly Analyst,
Issue No: 06/29, July
27, 2006. GS Global Economic Website, Economic Research from the GS
Institutional Portal at https://portal.gs.com .
- "Eurozone
Entry of New EU Member States from Central Europe:
Should They? Could They?", with Anne C. Sibert, in Development
& Transition, UNDP-LSE Newsletter, 4, June 2006, pp.
16 -19.
- It’s
a Long Way to Copenhagen; Turkey’s Membership
of and Convergence with the European Union.
Background note for comments made on the occasion of the presentation
of the World Bank's 2006 Country Economic Memorandum
“Promoting
Sustained Growth and Convergence with the European Union", presented in
Ankara on March 6, 2006 and in Brussels on March 9, 2006.
Published as Centre for European Policy Studies Policy Brief No. 96,
March 2006
- "Dark Matter
or Cold Fusion?”, Goldman Sachs Global
Economics Paper No. 136, Monday January 16, 2006, pp. 1-16.
- “Country
Ownership: a Term Whose
Time Has Gone” , remarks prepared for the
Development Policy Forum
“Conditionality Revisited”, organised by the World
Bank at the World
Bank Conference Center, Paris, France on July 5, 2004. Published in Conditionality
Revisited; Concepts, Experiences and Lessons, Edited by
Stefan
Koeberle, Harold Bedoya, Peter Silarszky and Gero Verheyen, The World
Bank, Washington DC, 2005, pp. 27-32. Also published in Development
in Practice, Volume 17, Issue 4 & 5 August 2007 ,
pages 647 - 652.
- Minutes of Evidence
given to the Economic Affairs Committee
of the House of Lords, Tuesday 10 February 2004, in Monetary
and
Fiscal Policy: Present Successes and Future Problems, Volume 2: Evidence,
House of Lords Select Committee on Economic Affairs, 3rd Report of
Session 2003-04, HL Paper 176-II, pp. 121-130, November 11, 2004.
- "Fiscal
Sustainability" , paper
presented at the Egyptian Center for Economic Studies in Cairo on 19
October 2003, mimeo, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development,
January 2004. For an abstract, click here .
- Minutes of Evidence
Taken before the European Union
Committee (Sub-Committee A) of the House of Lords on Tuesday 10
December 2002, in House of Lords, Select Committee on the European
Union, Session 2002-03, 13th Report, The Stability and Growth
Pact,
with Evidence, London, the Stationary Office Limited, March
11 2003.
- "How to
reform the Stability and
Growth Pact"", in Central Banking, Vol
XIII, No. 3,
February 2003, pp. 49-58.
- "Ten
Commandments for a Fiscal Rule in
the E(M)U", Oxford Review of Economic
Policy, Vol. 19, No. 1, Spring 2003, pp. 84-99 For an
abstract
click here
.
- Why Britain
should join the euro, with Richard
Layard, Christopher Huhne, Will Hutton, Peter Kenen and Adair Turner,
Britain in Europe, London, October 2002.
- "Globalisation
and Regional
Integration; A View from Eastern Europe and the FSU", in
House of
Lords, Session 2001-02, Select Committee on Economic Affairs, Globalisation,
Oral Evidence up to 13 March 2002, pp. 83-96, London, the Stationary
Office Ltd.
- "Opportunities
and Challenges for
Estonia's Economic Convergence to the EU", with Vanessa
Mitchell-Thomson, in Postimees (Estonia's largest
daily
newspaper), July 2002.
- "Comments
on Reforming Britain’s
Economic and Financial Policy; Towards Greater Economic Stability,
by HM Treasury, presented at the launch of the volume at H.M. Treasury,
December 5, 2001, mimeo.
- "Recession
and Financial Crisis: How
Prepared Are We?", forthcoming under the title "Ugly Things
Can
Happen", in The World Today, May 2001.
- The case
for the euro, with Richard Layard, David
Currie, Christopher Huhne, Will Hutton, Peter Kenen, Robert Mundell and
Adair Turner, Britain in Europe, 12 June, 2000.
- "Exchange
Rate Regimes for Accession
Countries", address given at a luncheon hosted by Deutsche
Bank at
the EBRD Annual General Meeting in Riga, Latvia, on Sunday, May 21,
2000.
- "Le Royaume-Uni et
l'UEM", Politique étrangère, 1/1999, pp. 45-62.
- "Weathering the
International Storm", The Business
Economist, Vol 30 No 1, 1999, pp. 13-22.
- "Europa kan Maastricht
overleven", ("Europe can survive
Maastricht"), Socialisme en Democratie, 53, no.
7/8, 1996, pp.
411-416.
- "Examination of
Witness, Minutes of Evidence taken before
the European Communities (Sub-Committee A) of the House of Lords, in Select
Committee on the European Communities, an EMU of 'Ins and Outs', Volume
II, Evidence, pp. 206-212, London, HMSO, June 1996 HMSO, June
1996.
- "Two cheers for EMU", Memoranda
by Professor Willem H.
Buiter, House of Lords, Select Committee on the European Communities,
an EMU of 'Ins and Outs', Volume II, Evidence, pp. 201-205,
London
HMSO, June 1996, also in European Economic Perspectives,
No. 9,
July 1996, pp.5-7.
- "Nederland uit de
Verte: Beeld en werkelijkheid van
Nederland in het buitenland", ("The Netherlands from a Distance:
Appearance and Reality of the Netherlands Abroad"), in Frans Becker,
Win van Henekelen, Bart Tromp en Marjet van Zuylen, Nederland
in de
wereld, pp.23-29, de Arbeiderspers, Amsterdam, 1995.
- "Options for UK fiscal
policy", with David Currie, Oxford
Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 9, No. 3, 1993.
- "Antwoord aan de
Haas", (reply to de Haas) Economisch
Statistische Berichten, May 1992.
- "Moeten wij ons zorgen
maken over de fiscale voodoo van
Maastricht?" Economisch Statistische Berichten,
March 1992;
English version: "Should we worry about the fiscal numerology of
Maastricht?" Yale University Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper
No.Mimeo, March 1992.
- "The Plain Man's Guide
to Fiscal and Financial Policy", with
Charles R. Bean, in Conquering Unemployment: The Case for
Economic
Growth, The Macmillan Press, Ltd., Hampshire, UK, 1989.
- "Some Thoughts on the
Brady Plan: Putting a Fourth Leg on
the Donkey?" with Kenneth Kletzer and T.N. Srinivasan, World
Development, 17(10), 1989, 1161-1164.
- "Rewarding the
Profligate and Punishing the Prudent and
Poor: Some Recent Proposals for Debt Relief," with T.N. Srinivasan, World
Development, 15(3), April 1987, 411-417.
- "Academisch Economisch
Onderzoek in Nederland: Productie,
Productiviteit en Profilering," Eindrapport van de
Verkenningscommissie Economische Wetenschappen (Academic
Economic
Research in the Netherlands: Production, Productivity and Profile,"
Final Report of the Investigative Committee, Economic Sciences), with
F. de Roos, A.P. Barten, H. Daems and J. Snippe, August 1986.
- "The Role of Economic
Management," Catalyst 1(1),
Spring 1985, 73-86.
- "Public Debt and
Fiscal Responsibility," with Olivier J.
Blanchard and R. Dornbusch, Centre for European Policy
Studies
Papers No. 22, 1985.
- "Europe: "The Case for
Unsustainable Growth," with Richard
Layard, Giorgio Basevi, Olivier Blanchard, and Rudiger Dornbusch, Centre
for European Policy Studies Papers No. 8/9, May 1984.
- "Macroeconomic
Prospects and Policies for the European
Community," with Giorgio Basevi, Olivier Blanchard, Rudiger Dornbusch
and Richard Layard, Economics Paper No. 12, April 1983, Commission of
the European Communities, Directorate-General for Economic and
Financial Affairs; and Centre for European Policy Studies
Papers
No. 1, April 1983.
- "Competitiveness" in House
of Commons Select Committee
on the Treasury and Civil Service, Memoranda on Monetary Policy,
3
February 1981.
EDITED VOLUME
International
Economic Policy Coordination, with R.
Marston, Cambridge University Press, 1984.
UNPUBLISHED PAPERS
- "Negative Nominal Interest Rates; three ways to overcome the zero lower bound", Paper presented Center for Financial Studies at the Goethe University, Frankfurt on 6th May 2009, at the European Central Bank on 18th May 2009, and at the 13th International Conference on Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance at the University Campus of the University of Crete in Retymno Crete, May 28-30, 2009.
- "Lessons from the global financial crisis
for regulators and supervisors", Paper presented at the 25th anniversary Workshop " The Global Financial Crisis: Lessons and Outlook" of the Advanced Studies Program of the IFW, Kiel on May 8/9, 2009.
- "Lessons from the financial crisis for social democrats", background paper for the Dr. J.M. Den Uyllezing 2008, given on December 15, 2008 in de Rode Hoed, Amsterdam.
- "Housing
wealth isn't wealth", National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 14204, July 2008. Revised May 2009.
- "Lessons
from the North Atlantic Financial Crisis", paper
presented at the conference “The
Role of Money Markets" jointly organised by Columbia Business School
and
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on May 29-30, 2008.
- No bricks
without straw:
a critique of Ravi Kanbur’s ‘Modest Proposal for
Introducing Development Outcomes in IDA Allocation Procedures'";
note prepared for the meeting at Columbia University on April 5th,
2007, organised by the Initiative for Policy Dialogue at Columbia
University on the CPIA and Aid Allocation. Mimeo, European Institute,
London School of Economics and Political Science, March 2007.
- "Monetary
Economics and the Political Economy of Central Banking: The
Twin Threats of Sloppy Analysis and Institutional Hubris" ,
Background paper for a lecture given at the XI Meeting of the
Research Network of Central Banks of the Americas, Buenos Aires, 22 -
24 November 2006.
- "Rethinking
Inflation Targeting and Central Bank Independence",
Background paper for an Inaugural Lecture for the Chair of European
Political Economy in the European Institute at the London School of
Economics and Political Science, given on Thursday, 26th October 2006,
at 18:30, in the Old Theatre, London School of Economics and Political
Science. For a shorter version of the paper click here.
- "Prospects
for global inflation", Mimeo, European Institute,
London School of Economics and Political Science, October 11, 2006.
- "Threats to
the orderly resolution of global imbalances:
trade disputes, abrupt corrections of global asset market anomalies,
and past, present and future monetary policy errors by the Fed" ,
Mimeo, European Institute, London School of Economics and Political
Science, October 11, 2006.
- "The
Inflation Criterion for Eurozone Membership:
What to do when you fail to meet it" ,
with Anne C. Sibert. Background paper for a panel discussion on Central
Banking and EU Enlargement sponsored by the Central Bank of Turkey
at the Annual Meeting of the Turkish Economic Association on September
12, 2006. Mimeo, European Institute, London School of Economics and
Political Science, September 2006.
- "How
Robust is the New Conventional Wisdom in Monetary Policy?
The surprising fragility of the theoretical foundations of inflation
targeting and central bank independence" ,
mimeo, European Institute, London School of Economics and Political
Science, June 2006. Paper presented at the 2006 Central Bank Governors'
Symposium "Challenges to Monetary Theory", at the Bank of England, on
June 23 2006.
- "Beauties
and the Beast; when will the new EU members from Central and
Eastern Europe join the Eurozone?" ,
with Anne C. Sibert, mimeo, London School of Economics and Political
Science, May 2006.
- “En
Attendant Godot? Financial
instability risks for countries targeting Eurozone membership".
Paper presented at the CEPR/ESI Eighth Annual Conference: EMU
Enlargement to the East and the West , Budapest. Hosted By: Magyar
Nemzeti Bank, September 24-25, 2004.
- "The Elusive
Welfare Economics of Price
Stability as a Monetary Policy Objective: Why New Keynesian Central
Bankers Should Validate Core Inflation", European Central
Bank Working Paper Series No. 609, April 2006.
- "Helicopter
Money: Irredeemable Fiat
Money and the Liquidity Trap" , NBER Working Paper No.
W10163,
December 2003. For an abstract, click here
. For an appendix on a cash-in-advance version of the representative
agent model click
here . For an appendix
on the continuous time version of the model, click here .
A more
recent, shorter version, can be
found here "Helicopter
Money: Irredeemable fiat
money and the liquidity trap; Or: is money net wealth after all?".
- "Cross-Border
Tax Externalities: Are
Budget Deficits Too Small?", with
Anne C. Sibert, NBER Working Paper No. W10110, November 2003.
Revised October 2005. For an abstract, click here.
- "Deflation;
Prevention and Cure" ,
NBER Working Paper W9623, April 2003. For an abstract, click here .
For a
technical appendix, click here .
- "What
Should the Multilateral
Development Banks Do?", with Steven Fries, European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development Working Paper No. 74, June 2002. For an
abstract click
here .
- "Capital
Flight and Capital Outflows from
Russia: Symptom, Cause and Cure", with Ivan Szegvari,
European Bank
for Reconstruction and Development Working Paper No. 73, June 2002. For
an abstract click
here .
- "Spreads
on Local Currency Loans vs
Spreads on Hard Currency Loans", mimeo, European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development, November 2001.
- "Blended
Finance and Subsidies: An
Economic Analysis of the Use of Grants and Other Subsidies in Project
Finance by Multilateral Development Banks", with Mark
Schankerman,
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, mimeo, June 2002; for
an abstract, click
here .
- "No Pain,
No Gain? The Simple Analytics
of Efficient Disinflation in Open Economies", with Clemens
Grafe,
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, mimeo, September
2001; for an abstract, click here .
- "The
Liquidity Trap in an Open Economy",
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Mimeo, July 2001. For
the Figures, click here.
- "Liquidity
Traps; Gesell's Solution",
with Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development Mimeo, May 2001. For the Figures, click here.
- "The Fallacy
of the Fiscal Theory of the
Price Level, Again", Bank of England Working Paper Series No.
141,
July 2001. For an abstract, click here .
- "Money
Matters; the effects of
relative price changes, margin changes and productivity changes on
inflation and the price level.", mimeo, Bank of England,
March
2000.
- "Monetary
Misconceptions; New and Old
Paradigmata and Other Sad Tales", Paper expanding on a speech
given
at the Aberdeen Chamber of Commerce on Wednesday, October 27, 1999.
- "The
Fallacy of the Fiscal Theory of
the Price Level", NBER Working Paper No. W7302, August 1999;
CEPR
Discussion Paper No. 2205, August 1999. For an abstract click here .
- "Liquidity
Traps: How to Avoid Them and
How to Escape Them", with Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, mimeo,
Bank of
England, March 1999; NBER Working Paper No. W7245, July 1999; CEPR
Discussion Paper No. 2203, August 1999. For the Figures and Tables
click
here .
For an abstract click here .
- "The
Concept and Measurement of
Domestically Generated Inflation", mimeo, University of
Cambridge,
March 1998.
- "The
Young Person's Guide to Neutrality,
Price Level Indeterminacy, Interest Rate Pegs, and Fiscal Theories of
the Price Level", NBER Working Paper No. W6396, February
1998; CEPR
Discussion Paper No. 1799, March 1998.
- "Maastricht on its
Head? A Neoclassical Model of
International Public Debt Spillovers Among Distorted Economies", with Anne
C. Sibert, mimeo, University of Cambridge, March 1998.
- "Measuring
Fiscal Sustainability",
Mimeo, Cambridge University, August 1995.
- "A Center-Periphery
Model of Monetary Coordination and
Exchange Rate Crises", with Giancarlo Corsetti and Paolo Pesenti,
Mimeo, Cambridge University, April 1995.
- "Economic integration,
scale effects, market structure and
growth", University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics and Politics,
mimeo, October 1994.
- "International
portfolio diversification, regional and
global growth and real interest rates", University of Cambridge,
Faculty of Economics and Politics mimeo, October 1994.
- "Stabilization and
structural adjustment in Peru", Mimeo,
June 1993.
- "Public debt in the
USA; How much, how bad and who pays?",
Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper No. 684, March 1993.
- "Consistency
Checks on the Design of
Fiscal, Financial and Monetary Policy," Mimeo, Yale
University,
Revised January 1991 and October 1993, with QPFISMO,
(a spreadsheet programme in Quattro Pro to evaluate the consistency of
fiscal, financial and monetary plans) and FISMO,
(a brief blurb). The spreadsheet is in Quattro Pro, not in ADOBE PDF
format, so you will have to save it and then open it in your
spreadsheet programme.
- "Rational Speculative
Bubbles in an Exchange Rate Target
Zone," with Paolo Pesenti, NBER Working Paper, No. 3467, October 1990,
revised June 1993.
- "Fiscal Policy,
Interdependence and Efficiency," with
Kenneth M. Kletzer, NBER Working Paper No. 3328, April 1990.
- "The Current Global
Economic Situation, Outlook and Policy
Options," Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 210,
November 1987.
- "Does an Improvement
in the Trade Balance or the Current
Account at Full Employment Require a Depreciation of the Real Exchange
Rate?" in The State and the Private Enterprise in a Global Society,
NIRA, Tokyo, September 1988, 71-152.
- "Granger-Causality and
Policy Ineffectivenesss: A
Rejoinder," August 1986.
- "Macroeconomic
Response by Developing Countries to Changes
in External Economic Conditions," National Bureau of Economic Research
Working Paper No. 1836, April 1986.
- "Measuring Aspects of
Fiscal and Financial Policy, National
Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 1332, April 1984.
- "Deficits, Crowding
Out and Inflation: The Simple
Analytics," London School of Economics, Centre for Labour Economics,
Discussion Paper No. 143, December 1982.
- "On the Adequacy and
Inadequacy of Keynesian
Balance-of-Payment Theory: A Rejoinder," with J. Eaton, London School
of Economics, Centre for Labour Economics, Discussion Paper No. 138,
November 1982.
- "A Program for Solving
and Simulating Discrete Time Linear
Rational Expectations Models," with R. Dunn, London School of
Economics, Centre for Labour Economics, Discussion Paper No. 127, May
1982.
- "A Note on the
Solution of a Two-Point Boundary Value
Problem Frequently Encountered in Rational Expectations Models,"
University of Bristol, Department of Economics Discussion Paper No.
101/01, May 1981.
- "The Formulation of
Economic Policy: Its Uses and
Limitations," Memorandum for The Select Committee on The Treasury and
Civil Service," February 1980.
- "Feedback and The Use
of Current Information: The Use of
General Linear Policy Rules in Rational Expectations Models," National
Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 335, April 1979.
- "Interest Rates and
Expected Inflation: A Note," mimeo,
January 1977.
- "Capacity Constraints,
Government Financing and the
Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Fiscal Policy," mimeo, 1976.
- "Financial Stocks and
Flows and the Determination of
Short-Run and Long-Run Equilibrium in an Open Economy," Working Papers
in International Economics, Princeton University, July 1976.
REFLECTIONS,
RUMINATIONS, RANTS AND RAVES: Letters to the Editor, Editorials, Op-Ed
pieces, unpublished lectures, presentations, interviews and other odds
'n ends
- "Bail-out
that will damage Bank’s credibility", with Anne C. Sibert, Financial Times,
Comments & Analysis page, Comment, September 16, 2007.
- "Three steps
to calm the storm",
with Anne C. Sibert, Financial
Times,
Comments & Analysis page, Comment, September 6, 2007.
- "Put the NHS
out of its misery and allow competition", with Anne C. Sibert, Daily Telegraph,
Business News, Comment, September 3, 2007.
- "How to
starve the terrorists of funds: legalise all drugs", Financial Times,
Comments & Analysis page, Comment, August 7, 2007.
- "The Folly
of the Fed or: Why is the Fed so Hardcore?", in Maverecon,
my blog, which can be found here.
- "A new
chance to raise gilt issuance", with Ros Altmann and Jon
Moynihan, Financial Times, Leaders &
Letters page, Tuesday, June 26, 2007.
- "EU
governments are stepping off the streetcar", Financial
Times, Leaders & Letters page, Monday, June 11, 2007.
- "A
European constitution must be approved by referendum", Financial
Times, Leaders & Letters page, Tuesday, June 5, 2007.
- "Global
Imbalances".
Powerpoint presentation to introduce a two-hour debate on 'Global
Imbalances'
on the occasion of the award to Hélène Rey of the
2006
“Premio German Bernacer de Economia Monetaria" for the best
European Monetary Economist under 40 , on Monday 21st May 2007 at the
Bank of Spain, Madrid.
- "The
browning of Chindia", Mint, daily
business newspaper published by India's HT Media
Ltd in association with The Wall Street Journal,in New Delhi and
Mumbai, Views, Thursday April 12, 2007.
- "Too
many cheers for Chindia", Mint, daily
business newspaper published by India's HT Media
Ltd in association with The Wall Street Journal,in New Delhi and
Mumbai, Views, Wednesday April 11, 2007.
- "IMF
made political recommendations outside its remit", Financial
Times, Leaders & Letters page, Monday, March 12, 2007.
- "High degree
of ECB independence in securities sector is undesirable", Financial
Times, Leaders & Letters page, Friday, January 19,
2007.
- "Let us
debate whether the UK can be financed with
taxes that do not exceed 33 per cent of GDP", with Anne C.
Sibert, Financial Times, Leaders & Letters
page, Wednesday, 1st November 2006.
- "A wave
of unilateral "euro-isations" would confound the EU's mean-spirited
legal nitpickers", with Anne C. Sibert, Commentary
on Georgi Angelov: " How to gate-crash the eurozone", Europe's
World, Autumn Issue, 2006.
- "UK facing
three-pronged assault on its labour market
flexibility" , Financial Times, Leaders
& Letters page, Thursday 28 September 2006.
- "Lithuania
exclusion from eurozone violates spirit of the entry treaty",
with Anne Sibert
, Financial Times, Leaders & Letters page,
Friday, 19 May 2006.
- "Europe
must relax its inflation test for euro entrants”,
with Anne C. Sibert, Financial Times, Comment
& Analysis/Comment page, Thursday, May 4, 2006.
- "Minimum
wage does not correct a distortion; it is a
distortion”, Financial Times,
Leaders & Letters page, Tuesday 28 March 2006.
- "New MPC
member must be professional economist”, Financial
Times, Leaders & Letters page, Saturday 25
February/Sunday 26 February 2006.
- "Official
response to low yields is like hunting tigers with
pea-shooter”, Financial Times,
Leaders & Letters page, Thursday January 26, 2006.
- “'Heads
I win, tails I win' way to seek higher
yields”, Financial Times,
Leaders & Letters page, Monday January 16, 2006.
- "The
OECD's response to soaring oil
prices must be heavily qualified with regard to the output gap"
(not my title!), Financial Times, Leaders &
Letters page,
Friday September 9, 2005.
- "The UK
and the Euro", paper written
by Chris Mulhearn and Howard R. Vane and published in The
World
Economy, Vol. 28, No. 2, February 2005, pp. 243-258. The
article
draws on and quotes from interviews with Patrick Minford and myself.
- "Right
to free inquiry trampled" , Financial Times,
Leaders &
Letters page, Saturday March
19/Sunday March 20, 2005.
- "What
accounts for the bias in the
inflation targeting performance of the Bank of England?" ,
Mimeo,
Universiteit van Amsterdam.
- "Challenges
for Europe" , remarks
made on 6th December 2004 at the LSE, at the launch of the volume Challenges
for Europe edited by Hugh Stephenson, Palgrave MacMillan,
2004.
Mimeo, Office of the Chief Economist, European Bank for Reconstruction
and Development.
- "How
Good is the Bank’s of England’s
Inflation Targeting Record? ", with Anne C. Sibert. Mimeo,
Birkbeck
College, Department of Economics, December 2004.
- “Transition
and Sustainable Growth in
the Early Transition Countries: The Role of the Private Sector in
Poverty Reduction” , Early Transition Countries
Strategic Review
Meeting. Mimeo, Office of the Chief Economist, EBRD, June 30, 2004.
- "What have
we learnt from fifteen
years of transition in Central and Eastern Europe?" , paper
prepared for the International Policy Conference on Transition
Economies, 31 May and 1 June 2004, Hanoi, Vietnam. Mimeo, Office of the
Chief Economist, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, July
2004.
- "The
Failure of Cancun" , printed
with slight edits in the Financial Times Leaders
and Letters,
Tuesday September 16, 2003, under the heading "If anything is to to
rescued from Cancún, politics must take precedence over
economics". Note: not my heading. It doesn't make sense to me either.
- "Obituary
of Professor James Tobin" ,
The Independent, Thursday March 14, 2002.