NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.



ASSET PRICING PROGRAM MEETING

Jessica Wachter and Luis Viceira, Organizers



November 11, 2005

Harvard Business School

Cumnock Hall, Room 102

Soldiers Field Road

Boston, Massachusetts



PROGRAM



THURSDAY , NOVEMBER 10:



6:30 PM Dinner

Legals Seafood

5 Cambridge Center

Cambridge, MA 02139



FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 11:



7:45 AM Shuttle Van Departs Royal Sonesta Hotel for Harvard Business School



8:00 AM Shuttle Van Departs Royal Sonesta Hotel for Harvard Business School



8:00 AM Continental Breakfast



8:30 AM BERNARD DUMAS, INSEAD and NBER

ALEXANDER KURSHEV and RAMAN UPPAL, London Business School

What Can Rational Investors Do About Excessive Volatility and Sentiment Fluctuations?

Discussant: LEONID KOGAN, MIT and NBER



9:30 AM Break



9:45 AM LUBOS PASTOR and PIETRO VERONESI, University of Chicago and NBER

Technological Revolutions and Stock Prices



Discussant: MARKUS BRUNNERMEIER, Princeton University and NBER



10:45 AM JUN PAN, MIT and NBER

KENNETH SINGLETON, Stanford University and NBER

Default and Recovery Implicit in the Term Structure of Sovereign CDS Spreads

Discussant: FRANCIS LONGSTAFF, UC, Los Angeles and NBER



11:45 AM Lunch



12:45 PM RAVI BANSAL and ED FANG, Duke University

AMIR YARON, University of Pennsylvania and NBER

Equity Capital: A Puzzle?



Discussant: JOHN HEATON, University of Chicago and NBER

ASSET PRICINTG PROGRAM, PAGE 2:



1:45 PM Break

2:00 PM BORJA LARRAIN, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

MOTOHIRO YOGO, University of Pennsylvania

Does Firm Value Move Too Much to be Justified By Subsequent

Changes in Cash Flow?



Discussant: MALCOLM BAKER, Harvard University and NBER



3:00 PM Session on Asset Return Predictability

JACOB BOUDOUKH, MATTHEW RICHARDSON and ROBERT WHITELAW,

New York University and NBER

The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability

AMIT GOYAL, Emory University

IVO WELCH, Brown University and NBER

A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Preformance of Equity

Premium Prediction



JOHN CAMPBELL, Harvard University and NBER

SAMUEL THOMPSON, Harvard University

Predicting the Equity Premium Out of Sample:

Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?



Discussant: JOHN COCHRANE, University of Chicago and NBER



4:00 PM Adjourn



10/31/05