NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.



International Capital Flows Conference



December 16th-18th, 2004



Sebastian Edwards, Organizer



Fours Seasons Resort

Santa Barbara, CA



PRELIMINARY PROGRAM



THURSDAY, DECEMBER 16:



7:00 PM Reception and Group Dinner



FRIDAY, DECEMBER 17:



8:30 AM Continental Breakfast



GENERAL PAPERS, part 1

9:00 AM   NICOLAS MAGUD, University of Oregon

CARMEN REINHART, University of Maryland and NBER

Controls on International Borrowing: An Evaluation of Alternative Methods Used to Restrict Capital Inflows



Discussant: MARTIN FELDSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER



9:50 AM LAURA ALFARO, Harvard University

SEBNEM KALEMLI-OZCAN and VADYM VOLOSOVYCH, University of Houston

Capital Flows in a Globalized World: The Role of Policies and Institutions



Discussant: GERD HAEUSLER, International Monetary Fund

 

10:40 AM Break

 

10:55 AM KRISTIN FORBES, MIT and NBER

The Microeconomic Evidence on Capital Controls:  No Free Lunch



Discussant: CHARLES CALOMIRIS, Columbia University and NBER



11:45 AM JAGDISH BHAGWATI, Columbia University and NBER

Key Note Speech



12:35 PM Lunch



COUNTRY CASE STUDIES, part 1



1:35 PM ILAN GOLDFAJN, PUC-Rio

ANDRE MINELLA, Central Bank of Brazil

Capital Flows and Controls in Brazil:  What Have We Learnt?



Discussant: PETER GARBER, Brown University and NBER



2:25 PM SIMON JOHNSON, International Monetary Fund and NBER

NATALIA TAMIRISA, International Monetary Fund

Malaysian Capital Controls:  An Assessment

 

Discussant: PETER HENRY, Stanford University and NBER



3:15 PM Break



3:30 PM KATHY DOMINGUEZ and LINDA TESAR, University of Michigan and NBER

International Borrowing and Macroeconomic Performance in Argentina



Discussant: NICOLAS MAGUD, University of Oregon

 

4:20 PM BASANT KAPUR, National University of Singapore

Capital Flows and Exchange Rate Volatility: Singapore's Experience



Discussant: ANUSHA CHARI, University of Michigan

 

5:10 PM Adjourn



7:00 PM Reception and Group Dinner

Dinner Speaker:  RANDY QUARLES, Department of the Treasury



SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18:



8:30 AM Continental Breakfast

 

GENERAL PAPERS, part 2



9:00 AM SEBASTIAN EDWARDS, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Capital Controls, Sudden Stops and Current Account Reversals



Discussant: ALAN TAYLOR, UC, Davis and NBER



9:50 AM BARRY EICHENGREEN, UC, Berkeley and NBER

Currency Mismatches, Debt Intolerance and Original Sin:

Why They Are Not the Same and Why it Matters

(Joint with RICARDO HAUSMAN and UGO PANIZZA)

 

Discussant: JOSHUA AIZENMAN, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER



10:40 AM Break

 

 

10:55 AM LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

The International Exposure of U.S. Banks



Discussant: MATIAS BRAUN, UC, Los Angeles and NBER



11:45 PM Lunch

 

COUNTRY CASE STUDIES part 2

 

1:00 PM ESWAR PRASAD, International Monetary Fund

SHANG-JIN WEI, International Monetary Fund and NBER

The Chinese Approach to Capital Inflows

 

Discussant: MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER



1:50 PM MARCUS NOLAND, Institute for International Economics

South Korea's Experience with International Capital Flows



Discussant: GITA GOPINATH, University of Chicago



2:40 PM Break



3:00 PM KEVIN COWAN, Inter-American Development Bank

JOSÉ DE GREGORIO, Central Bank of Chile

International Borrowing, Capital Controls and the Exchange Rate:

The Chilean Experience



Discussant: AARON TORNELL, UC, Los Angeles and NBER



3:50 PM ILA PATNAIK, Indian Express

AJAY SHAH, Ministry of Finance, New Delhi

India's Experience with Capital Flows

 

Discussant: TAKATOSHI ITO, University of Tokyo and NBER



4:40 PM Adjourn



7:00 PM Reception and Group Dinner





12/15/04