NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC.



Conference on Currency Crises Prevention



Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey Frankel, Organizers



January 11-13, 2001



Cheeca Lodge

Islamorada, Florida



PROGRAM



THURSDAY, JANUARY 11:



7:00 PM Welcoming Reception and Dinner





FRIDAY, JANUARY 12:



8:00 AM Continental Breakfast



8:30 AM Welcoming Remarks: SEBASTIAN EDWARDS, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER



REGIMES AND FUNDAMENTALS



Chair: JEFFREY FRANKEL, Harvard University and NBER

8:45 AM SEBASTIAN EDWARDS, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Does the Current Account Matter?



Discussant: ALEJANDRO WERNER, Bank of Mexico



9:45 AM LUIS FELIPE CESPEDES, New York University

ROBERTO CHANG, Rutgers University

ANDRES VELASCO, Harvard University and NBER

Balance Sheets,Exchange Rate Regimes,and Credible Monetary Policy



Discussant:NOURIEL ROUBINI, New York University and NBER



10:45 AM Coffee Break



11:15 AM AMARTYA LAHIRI, UC, Los Angeles

CARLOS VEGH, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Living with the Fear of Floating: An Optimal Policy Perspective



Discussant:EDUARDO BORENSZTEIN, International Monetary Fund



INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL PLAYERS AND CONTAGION



Chair: MARTIN FELDSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER



12:15 PM ENRIQUE MENDOZA, Duke University and NBER

Credit, Prices, and Crashes: Business Cycles with a Sudden Stop

Sudden Stops Economics in an Equilibrium Framework



Discussant:JOSHUA AIZENMAN, Dartmouth College and NBER

1:15 PM Lunch

2:15 PM GIANCARLO CORSETTI, Yale University

PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

NOURIEL ROUBINI, New York University and NBER

The Role of Large Players in Currency Crises



Discussant: JAUME VENTURA, MIT and NBER



3:15 PM LINDA GOLDBERG, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER

When is U.S. Bank Lending to Emerging Markets Volatile?

Discussant: SIMON JOHNSON, MIT



4:15 PM Coffee Break



4:30 PM ROBERTO RIGOBON, MIT and NBER

Contagion: How to Measure it?



Discussant: ENRIQUE MENDOZA, Duke University and NBER



5:30 PM KRISTIN FORBES, MIT and NBER

How Important is Trade in the International Spread of Crises?



Discussant: FEDERICO STURZENEGGER, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella



6:30 PM Adjourn

7:00 PM Reception and Dinner



SATURDAY, JANUARY 13:



8:00 AM Continental Breakfast



CAPITAL CONTROLS AND MALAYSIA



Chair: MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER



8:30 AM ETHAN KAPLAN, Harvard University

DANI RODRIK, Harvard University and NBER

Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?



Discussant: LILIANA ROJAS-SUAREZ, Institute for International Economics



9:30 AM RUDIGER DORNBUSCH, MIT and NBER

Malaysia: Was it Different?



Discussant: MICHAEL DOOLEY, UC, Santa Cruz and NBER

10:30 AM Coffee Break



BANKING STRUCTURE AND "CRONY CAPITALISM"



Chair: SEBASTIAN EDWARDS, UC, Los Angeles and NBER



11:00 AM SHANG-JIN WEI, Brookings Institution and NBER

Negative Alchemy? Corruption, Composition of Capital Flows and Currency Crises



Discussant: MARTIN FELDSTEIN, Harvard University and NBER



12:00 PM ROBERT DEKLE, University of Southern California

KENNETH KLETZER, UC, Santa Cruz

Domestic Bank Regulation and Financial Crises:

Theory and Empirical Evidence from East Asia



Discussant: PAOLO PESENTI, Federal Reserve Bank of New York and NBER



1:00 PM Lunch



2:00 PM AARON TORNELL, UC, Los Angeles and NBER

Financial and Monetary Policies in an Economy with Balance Sheet Effects



Discussant:CHARLES CALOMIRIS, Columbia University and NBER



3:00 PM ANNE KRUEGER, Stanford University and NBER

JUNGHO YOO, Korea Development Institute

Chaebol Capitalism and the Currency-Financial Crisis in Korea



Discussant: JORGE BRAGA DE MACEDO, OECD and NBER



4:00 PM Adjourn



4/4/01