TY - JOUR AU - Stephens,Melvin,Jr. TI - The Consumption Response to Predictable Changes in Discretionary Income: Evidence from the Repayment of Vehicle Loans JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9976 PY - 2003 Y2 - September 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9976 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9976.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Melvin Stephens, Jr. University of Michigan Department of Economics 341 Lorch Hall 611 Tappan St. Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/647-5606 E-Mail: mstep@umich.edu AB - Whether households smooth' consumption in response to predictable changes in income is an open and contentious question. This paper examines the consumption reaction to predictable increases in discretionary income following the final payment of a vehicle loan. Using data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey, the results show that a 10 percent increase in discretionary income due to a loan repayment leads to a 2 to 3.5 percent increase in non-durable consumption. Additional analysis suggests that these findings may be explained by the presence of borrowing constraints. ER -