@techreport{NBERw9969, title = "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain Environment", author = "Martin Feldstein", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "9969", year = "2003", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w9969", abstract = {This paper discusses the nature of the uncertainty faced by central banks and considers three approaches to dealing with uncertainty(1) formal optimization models and robust rules based on such models; (2) informal rules like the Taylor rule and inflation targeting; and (3) a case by case approach based on an informal Bayesian logic. The latter case requires considering the asymmetric nature of the risks that the central bank often faces.}, }