@techreport{NBERw9968, title = "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Liquidity Trap", author = "Gauti B. Eggertsson and Michael Woodford", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "9968", year = "2003", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w9968", abstract = {We consider the consequences for monetary policy of the zero floor for nominal interest rates. The zero bound can be a significant constraint on the ability of a central bank to combat deflation. We show, in the context of an intertemporal equilibrium model, that open-market operations, even of unconventional' types, are ineffective if they do not change expectations about the future conduct of policy; in this sense, a liquidity trap' is possible. Nonetheless, a credible commitment to the right sort of history-dependent policy can largely mitigate the distortions created by the zero bound. In our model, optimal policy involves a commitment to adjust interest rates so as to achieve a time-varying price-level target, when this is consistent with the zero bound. We also discuss ways in which other central-bank actions, while irrelevant apart from their effects on expectations, may help to make credible a central bank's commitment to its target, and consider implications for the policy options currently available for overcoming deflation in Japan.}, }