TY - JOUR AU - Aizenman,Joshua AU - Glick,Reuven TI - Military Expenditure, Threats, and Growth JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9618 PY - 2003 Y2 - April 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9618 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9618.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joshua Aizenman Department of Economics; E2 1156 High St. University of California, Santa Cruz Santa Cruz, CA 95064 Tel: 831/459-4791 Fax: 831/459-5077 E-Mail: jaizen@ucsc.edu Reuven Glick Economic Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 101 Market Street San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: 415/974-3184 Fax: 415/974-2168 E-Mail: reuven.Glick@sf.frb.org AB - This paper clarifies one of the puzzling results of the economic growth literature: the impact of military expenditure is frequently found to be non-significant or negative, yet most countries spend a large fraction of their GDP on defense and the military. We start by empirical evaluation of the non-linear interactions between military expenditure, external threats, corruption, and other relevant controls. While growth falls with higher levels of military spending, given the values of the other independent variables, we show that military expenditure in the presence of threats increases growth. We explain the presence of these non-linearities in an extended version of Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1995), allowing the dependence of growth on the severity of external threats, and on the effective military expenditure associated with these threats. ER -