@techreport{NBERw9568, title = "Monetary Rules for Small, Open, Emerging Economies", author = "Douglas Laxton and Paolo Pesenti", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "9568", year = "2003", month = "March", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w9568", abstract = {This paper develops a variant of the IMF's Global Economic Model (GEM) suitable to analyze macroeconomic dynamics in open economies, and uses it to assess the effectiveness of Taylor rules and Inflation-Forecast-Based (IFB) rules in stabilizing variability in output and inflation. Our findings suggest that a simple IFB rule that does not rely upon any direct estimates of the equilibrium real interest rate and places a relatively high weight on the inflation forecast may perform better in small open economies than conventional Taylor rules.}, }