TY - JOUR AU - Kashyap,Anil K. TI - Sorting Out Japan's Financial Crisis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9384 PY - 2002 Y2 - December 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9384 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9384.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Anil Kashyap Booth School of Business University of Chicago 5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-7260 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: anil.kashyap@chicagobooth.edu AB - This paper makes three contributions. First, I report information on the size of the Japanese financial crisis. Drawing principally on work by Fukao (2003) and Doi and Hoshi (2003) I estimate that the current taxpayer liability for losses incurred but yet to be recognized is likely to be at least 24% of GDP. Second, I explain why it has been so difficult to end the crisis. Third, I sketch the likely ingredients of what will be required to successfully resolve the crisis. The overarching principle is that Japan's banks, insurance companies, and government financial agencies all suffer different problems and require different solutions. But all three sectors are connected, and a failure to tackle concurrently the problems of all three promises to doom any reform plan. ER -