@techreport{NBERw8740, title = "The Q-Theory of Mergers", author = "Boyan Jovanovic and Peter L. Rousseau", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "8740", year = "2002", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w8740", abstract = {The Q-theory of investment says that a firm's investment rate should rise with its Q. We argue here that this theory also explains why some firms buy other firms. We find that 1. A firm's merger and acquisition (M&A) investment responds to its Q more -- by a factor of 2.6 -- than its direct investment does, probably because M&A investment is a high fixed cost and a low marginal adjustment cost activity, 2. The typical firm wastes some cash on M&As, but not on internal investment, i.e., the 'Free-Cash Flow' story works, but explains a small fraction of mergers only, and 3. The merger waves of 1900 and the 1920's, `80s, and `90s were a response to profitable reallocation opportunities, but the `60s wave was probably caused by something else.}, }