TY - JOUR AU - Blanchard,Olivier AU - Landier,Augustin TI - The Perverse Effects of Partial Labor Market Reform: Fixed Duration Contracts in France JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8219 PY - 2001 Y2 - April 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8219 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8219.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Olivier J. Blanchard International Monetary Fund Economic Counsellor and Director Research Department 700 19th Street, NW Rm. 10-700 Washington DC, 20431 Tel: 202-623-7825 Fax: 202-623-7271 E-Mail: blanchar@mit.edu Augustin Landier the Toulouse School of Economics 21 Allée de Brienne 31000 Toulouse, FRANCE E-Mail: augustin.landier@tse-fr.eu AB - Rather than decrease firing costs across the board, a number of European countries have allowed firms to hire workers on fixed-duration contracts. At the end of a given duration, these contracts can be terminated at little or no cost. If workers are kept on however, the contracts become subject to regular firing costs. We argue in this paper that the effects of such a partial reform of employment protection may be perverse. The main effect may be high turnover in fixed-duration jobs, leading in turn to higher, not lower, unemployment. And, even if unemployment comes down, workers may actually be worse off, going through many spells of unemployment and fixed duration jobs, before obtaining a regular job. Looking at French data for young workers since the early 1980s, we conclude that the reforms have substantially increased turnover, without a substantial reduction in unemployment duration. If anything, their effect on welfare of young workers appears to have been negative. ER -