TY - JOUR AU - Persson,Mats AU - Persson,Torsten AU - Svensson,Lars E. O. TI - Debt, Cash Flow and Inflation Incentives: A Swedish Example JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5772 PY - 1996 Y2 - September 1996 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5772 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5772.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Torsten Persson Torsten and Ragnar Soderberg Chair in Economic Sci Institute for International Economic Studies Stockholm University SE-106 91 Stockholm SWEDEN Tel: +46 8 163066 Fax: +46 8 6747801 E-Mail: Torsten.Persson@iies.su.se Lars E.O. Svensson Sveriges Riksbank SE-103 37 Stockholm SWEDEN Tel: +46 8 787 0107 Fax: +46 8 21 0531 E-Mail: lars.svensson@iies.su.se AB - The fiscal gains from, and hence the political incentives to, an increase in inflation rate of ten percentage points may be substantial: with Swedish data from 1994, these gains would have been an annual real flow of 3-4 percent of GDP, or a capitalized value of nearly 100 percent of GDP. They would mainly have arisen from the nominalistic features of the tax and transfer systems rather than from the traditional sources: seignorage and real depreciation of the public debt. The welfare costs of such an inflation increase would have been even larger, however, and would thus have reduced net welfare. Possible institutional reforms, aimed at making the political costs of inflation more equal to the social costs, are presented and discussed ER -