@techreport{NBERw5194, title = "How Important is Precautionary Saving?", author = "Christopher D. Carroll and Andrew A. Samwick", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "5194", year = "1995", month = "July", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w5194", abstract = {We estimate the fraction of the wealth of a sample of PSID respondents that is held because some households face greater income uncertainty than others. We first derive an equation characterizing the theoretical relationship between wealth and uncertainty in a buffer-stock model of saving. Next, we estimate that equation using PSID data; we find strong evidence that households engage in precautionary saving. Finally, we simulate the wealth distribution that would prevail if all households had the same uncertainty as the lowest-uncertainty group. We find that between 39 and 46 percent of wealth in our sample is attributable to uncertainty differentials across groups.}, }