TY - JOUR AU - Basu,Susanto AU - Fernald,John G. TI - Are Apparent Productive Spillovers a Figment of Specification Error? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 5073 PY - 1999 Y2 - March 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5073 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w5073.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Susanto Basu Department of Economics Boston College 140 Commonwealth Avenue Chestnut Hill, MA 02467 Tel: 617/552-2182 Fax: 617/552-2308 E-Mail: susanto.basu@bc.edu John Fernald Research Department, Mail Stop 1130 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 101 Market St San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: 415-974-2135 Fax: 815-642-0515 E-Mail: john.fernald@sf.frb.org AB - Using data on gross output for two-digit manufacturing industries, we find that an increase in the output of one manufacturing sector has little or no significant effect on the productivity of other sectors. Using value-added data, however, we confirm the results of previous studies which find that output spillovers instead appear large. We provide an explanation for these differences, showing why, with imperfect competition, the use of value-added data leads to a spurious finding of large apparent external effects. ER -