TY - JOUR AU - Fischer,Stanley TI - The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4565 PY - 1993 Y2 - December 1993 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4565 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4565.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Stanley Fischer Governor Bank of Israel One Kaplan Street Jerusalem 91007 ISRAEL Tel: 9722-655-2701 Fax: 9722-652-8419 E-Mail: sfischer@bankisrael.gov.il M2 - featured in NBER digest on 1994-06-01 AB - Using a regression analog of growth accounting, I present cross- sectional and panel regressions showing that growth is negatively associated with inflation, large budget deficits, and distorted foreign exchange markets. Supplementary evidence suggests that the causation runs from macroeconomic policy to growth. The framework makes it possible to identify the channels of these effects: inflation reduces growth by reducing investment and productivity growth; budget deficits also reduce both capital accumulation and productivity growth. Examination of exceptional cases shows that while low inflation and small deficits are not necessary for high growth even over long periods, high inflation is not consistent with sustained growth. ER -