TY - JOUR AU - Caspersen,Erik AU - Metcalf,Gilbert TI - Is A Value Added Tax Progressive? Annual Versus Lifetime Incidence Measures JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 4387 PY - 1995 Y2 - February 1995 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4387 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w4387.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gilbert E. Metcalf Room 3221 Department of the Treasury Washington, DC 20220 1500 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Tel: 202-622-0173 E-Mail: gilbert.metcalf@tufts.edu AB - We measure the lifetime incidence of a value added tax (V AT) using income data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) and consumption data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX). When annual income is used as a measure of economic well-being, a VAT looks quite regressive. However, the results change significantly when the analysis is done using lifetime income. Using two different measures of lifetime income, we find that a VAT in the United States would be proportional to slightly progressive over the lifetime. ER -