TY - JOUR AU - Ham,John C. AU - LaLonde,Robert J. TI - Estimating the Effect of Training on Employment and Unemployment Durations: Evidence From Experimental Data JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 3912 PY - 1991 Y2 - November 1991 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3912 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w3912.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Ham University of Maryland Department of Economics 3105 Tydings Hall College Park, MD 20742 Tel: 818-439-3531 E-Mail: ham@econ.umd.edu Robert J. LaLonde University of Chicago Harris Graduate School of Public Policy 1155 E. 60th Street, #145 Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/834-3440 Fax: 773/702-0926 E-Mail: r-lalonde@uchicago.edu AB - Using data from a social experiment, we estimate the impact of training on the duration of employment and unemployment spells for AFDC recipients. Although an experimental design eliminates the need to construct a comparison group for this analysis, simple comparisons between the average durations or the transition rates of treatments' and controls' employment and unemployment spells lead to biased estimates of the effects of training. We present and implement several econometric approaches that demonstrate the importance of and correct for these biases. For the training program studied in the paper, we find that it raised employment rates because employment durations increased. In contrast, training did not lead to shorter unemployment spells. ER -