@techreport{NBERw3385, title = "Waiting for Work", author = "George A. Akerlof and Andrew K. Rose and Janet L. Yellen", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "3385", year = "1990", month = "June", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w3385", abstract = {This paper explains upward job mobility and observed patterns of unemployment by skill as an economy recovers from a recession. Skilled unemployment is due to rational waiting by workers looking for long-term jobs when there is a "lock-in" effect. Lock-in occurs if the conditions in the labor market when a worker first accepts a job have a persistent effect on wages. Using longitudinal data, we provide empirical evidence of the cyclical pattern of wages predicted by the theory and also of lock-in.}, }