TY - JOUR AU - Froot,Kenneth A. AU - Obstfeld,Maurice TI - Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 2835 PY - 1992 Y2 - June 1992 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2835 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2835.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Kenneth A. Froot Graduate School of Business Harvard University Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6677 Fax: 617/496-7357 E-Mail: kfroot@hbs.edu Maurice Obstfeld Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley 530 Evans Hall #3880 Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-9646 Fax: 510/642-6615 E-Mail: obstfeld@econ.berkeley.edu AB - Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate within a predetermined range and (ii) to peg the currency once it reaches a predetermined future level. Similarities between these and several related examples of regime switching are stressed ER -