@techreport{NBERw18727, title = "Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks", author = "Daron Acemoglu and Asuman Ozdaglar and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "18727", year = "2013", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w18727", abstract = {We provide a framework for studying the relationship between the financial network architecture and the likelihood of systemic failures due to contagion of counterparty risk. We show that financial contagion exhibits a form of phase transition as interbank connections increase: as long as the magnitude and the number of negative shocks affecting financial institutions are sufficiently small, more “complete” interbank claims enhance the stability of the system. However, beyond a certain point, such interconnections start to serve as a mechanism for propagation of shocks and lead to a more fragile financial system. We also show that, under natural contracting assumptions, financial networks that emerge in equilibrium may be socially inefficient due to the presence of a network externality: even though banks take the effects of their lending, risk-taking and failure on their immediate creditors into account, they do not internalize the consequences of their actions on the rest of the network.}, }