TY - JOUR AU - Fletcher,Jason AU - Mayer,Adalbert TI - Tracing the Effects of Guaranteed Admission through the College Process: Evidence from a Policy Discontinuity in the Texas 10% Plan JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18721 PY - 2013 Y2 - January 2013 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18721 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18721.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jason Fletcher Yale School of Public Health Department of Health Policy and Management 60 College Street, #303 New Haven, CT 06520 Tel: 203/785-5760 E-Mail: jason.fletcher@yale.edu Adalbert Mayer Department of Economics Washington College Chestertown, MD 21620 E-Mail: amayer2@washcoll.edu AB - The Texas 10% law states that students who graduated among the top 10% of their high school class are guaranteed admission to public universities in Texas. We estimate the causal effects of this admissions guarantee on a sequence of connected decisions: students’ application behavior, admission decisions by the university, students’ enrollment choices conditional on admission; as well as the resulting college achievement. We identify these effects by comparing students just above and just below the top 10% rank cutoff. While this design is in the spirit of a regression discontinuity, we note important differences in approach and interpretation. We find that students react to incentives created by the admissions guarantee - for example, by reducing applications to competing private universities. The results also suggest that the effects of the admissions guarantee depend on the university and the type of students it attracts, and that the law is binding and alters the decisions of the admissions committees. We find little evidence that the law increases diversity or leads to meaningful mismatch for the marginal student admitted. ER -