TY - JOUR AU - Rothstein,Jesse TI - Teacher Quality Policy When Supply Matters JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18419 PY - 2012 Y2 - September 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18419 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18419.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jesse Rothstein Goldman School of Public Policy and Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley 2607 Hearst Avenue Berkeley, CA 94720-7320 Tel: 510/643-8561 Fax: 510/643-9657 E-Mail: rothstein@berkeley.edu AB - Recent proposals would strengthen the dependence of teacher pay and retention on performance, in order to attract those who will be effective teachers and repel those who will not. I model the teacher labor market, incorporating dynamic self-selection, noisy performance measurement, and Bayesian learning. Simulations indicate that labor market interactions are important to the evaluation of alternative teacher contracts. Typical bonus policies have very small effects on selection. Firing policies can have larger effects, if accompanied by substantial salary increases. However, misalignment between productivity and measured performance nearly eliminates the benefits while preserving most of the costs. ER -