@techreport{NBERw1830, title = "High Unemployment in Europe: Diagnosis and Policy Implications", author = "Jeffrey Sachs", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "1830", year = "1986", month = "February", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w1830", abstract = {Econometric evidence suggests that the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (the NAIRU) has risen sharply in Europe in the past fifteen years. In the first section of this paper, I review the recent proliferation of supply-side models that say interesting things about why the NAIRU hasincreased so substantially in Europe. In the second section of the paper, I employ a simple example to show how aggregate demand should optimally be managed in response to transitory and permanent supply shocks, especially those shocks that cause a persistent rise in the NAIRU. Also, I discuss some policy implications of the increasingly popular "hysteresis hypothesis, that the NAIRU itself is influenced by the time path of actual unemployment.}, }