TY - JOUR AU - Dinlersoz,Emin M. AU - Greenwood,Jeremy TI - The Rise and Fall of Unions in the U.S. JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18079 PY - 2012 Y2 - May 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18079 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18079.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Emin M. Dinlersoz Center for Economic Studies U.S. Census Bureau 4600 Silver Hill Road Washington, DC 20233 E-Mail: emin.m.dinlersoz@census.gov Jeremy Greenwood Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania 3718 Locust Walk McNeil Building, Rm 160 Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297 Tel: 215/898-1505 Fax: 215/746-2947 E-Mail: do-not-use@jeremygreenwood.net AB - Union membership displayed a ∩-shaped pattern over the 20th century, while the distribution of income sketched a ∪. A model of unions is developed to analyze these phenomena. There is a distribution of firms in the economy. Firms hire capital, plus skilled and unskilled labor. Unionization is a costly process. A union decides how many firms to organize and its members' wage rate. Simulation of the developed model establishes that skilled-biased technological change, which affects the productivity of skilled labor relative to unskilled labor, can potentially explain the above facts. Statistical analysis suggests that skill-biased technological change is an important factor in de-unionization. ER -