@techreport{NBERw17705, title = "The Competitiveness Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies", author = "Joseph E. Aldy and William A. Pizer", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "17705", year = "2011", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w17705", abstract = {In order to clarify ongoing debates over the competitiveness impacts of climate change regulation, we develop a precise definition that can be estimated with available domestic production, trade, and energy price data. We use this definition and a 20+ year panel of 400+ U.S. manufacturing industries to estimate and predict the effects a U.S.-only $15 per ton CO2 price. We find competitiveness effects on the order of a 1.0 to 1.3 percent decline in production among energy-intensive manufacturing industries, representing about one-third of the policy’s impacts on these firms’ output.}, }