TY - JOUR AU - Koijen,Ralph AU - Nieuwerburgh,Stijn Van AU - Yogo,Motohiro TI - Health and Mortality Delta: Assessing the Welfare Cost of Household Insurance Choice JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17325 PY - 2011 Y2 - August 2011 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17325 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17325.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ralph Koijen University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/834-4199 E-Mail: ralph.koijen@chicagobooth.edu Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh Stern School of Business New York University 44 W 4th Street, Suite 9-120 New York, NY 10012 Tel: 646/284-4141 Fax: 646/284-4141 E-Mail: svnieuwe@stern.nyu.edu Motohiro Yogo Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department 90 Hennepin Avenue Minneapolis, MN 55401-1804 Tel: 612/204-6476 E-Mail: yogo@minneapolisfed.org AB - We develop a pair of risk measures for the universe of health and longevity products that includes life insurance, annuities, and supplemental health insurance. Health delta measures the differential payoff that a product delivers in poor health, while mortality delta measures the differential payoff that a product delivers at death. A life-cycle model of insurance choice simplifies to replicating the optimal health and mortality delta through a portfolio of health and longevity products. For each household in the Health and Retirement Study, we calculate the health and mortality delta implied by its ownership of life insurance, annuities including private pensions, and long-term care insurance. We then compare them to the optimal health and mortality delta implied by the life-cycle model. For the median household aged 51 to 58, the lifetime welfare cost of market incompleteness and suboptimal insurance choice is 6 percent of total wealth. ER -