TY - JOUR AU - Hall,Robert E. TI - Real Interest and Consumption JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 1694 PY - 1985 Y2 - August 1985 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1694 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w1694.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert E. Hall Hoover Institution Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6010 Tel: 650/723-2215 E-Mail: rehall@gmail.com AB - One of the important determinants of the response of saving and consumption to the real interest rate is the elasticity of intertemporal substitution. That elasticity can be measured by the response of the rate of change of consumption to changes in the expected real interest rate. A detailed study of data for the twentieth-century United States shows no strong evidence that the elasticity of intertemporal substitution is positive. Earlier studies flnding substantially positive elasticities are shown to suffer from a bias related to the timing of instrumental variables. ER -