@techreport{NBERw16633, title = "Second-Order Approximation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Risk", author = "Gianluca Benigno and Pierpaolo Benigno and Salvatore Nisticò", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "16633", year = "2010", month = "December", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w16633", abstract = {This paper provides first and second-order approximation methods for the solution of non-linear dynamic stochastic models in which the exogenous state variables follow conditionally-linear stochastic processes displaying time-varying risk. The first-order approximation is consistent with a conditionally-linear model in which risk is still time-varying but has no distinct role -- separated from the primitive stochastic disturbances -- in influencing the endogenous variables. The second-order approximation of the solution, instead, is sufficient to get this role. Moreover, risk premia, evaluated using only a first-order approximation of the solution, will be also time varying.}, }