TY - JOUR AU - Knittel,Christopher R. AU - Sandler,Ryan TI - Carbon Prices and Automobile Greenhouse Gas Emissions: The Extensive and Intensive Margins JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16482 PY - 2010 Y2 - October 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16482 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16482.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Christopher R. Knittel MIT Sloan School of Management 100 Main Street, E62-513 Cambridge, MA 02142 E-Mail: knittel@mit.edu Ryan Sandler Federal Trade Commission 600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Mail Drop NJ-4136 Washington DC, 20580 E-Mail: rsandler@ftc.gov M3 - presented at "The Design & Implementation of US Climate Policy", May 13-14, 2010 AB - The transportation sector accounts for nearly one third of the United States' greenhouse gas emissions. While over the past number of decades, policy makers have avoided directly pricing the externalities from vehicles, both in terms of global and more local pollutants and Corporate Average Fuel Standards have changed little since the mid-1980s, there is now considerable interest in reducing greenhouse gas emissions form the transportation sector. Many have argued that the unique features of the sector imply that pricing mechanisms would have little affect on emissions. This paper analyzes how pricing carbon through either a cap and trade system or carbon tax might affect greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector by estimating how changes in gasoline prices alter consumer behavior. We analyze their effect on both the intensive (e.g., vehicle miles travelled) and extensive (e.g., vehicle scrapping) margins. We find large effects on both margins. ER -